Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 2 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Northeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Northeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Friday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday Night...West Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Sunday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 935pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 ...New .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 931pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 - Above average temperatures are expected this week with afternoon temperatures running 3-7 degrees above normal over inland areas. There is a low to medium chance of peak heat index values exceeding 107F on one or more afternoons from mid week into the weekend across portions of the Florida panhandle and Apalachicola National Forest. - Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms will continue through the week. The highest chances are expected be across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, with lower chances across Southeast Alabama and Southwest Georgia. The best chance of rain appears to be Thursday. Issued at 931pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 The only update of note was adjusting rain chances based on nearly no radar activity this evening outside of a decaying isolated storm pushing west towards Wewahitchka. A warm, quiet night is store for us with pathcy fog possible over parts of the FL Panhandle and I-75 corridor. The latter has the best chance given the long-lived seabreeze that pushed through off the Atlantic earlier today. .SHORT TERM... (This Evening through Wednesday) Issued at 149pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 A smattering of showers and storms across southern Georgia and Florida are expected this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. Temperatures will run near to slightly above normal for lows, lower to middle 70s, and highs, lower to middle 90s. Heat indices will generally run between 100 to 105, although a few of our traditionally hotter and humid locations across the eastern Florida Panhandle and Apalachicola National Forest may make a run at 108. This could lead to a small Heat Advisory, but confidence wasn't high enough on this shift to issue one for Wednesday afternoon. A sprawling H5 ridge over Kentucky and Tennessee means our mean flow will generally be out of the east through at least Wednesday. Combine that with surface high pressure over the Appalachians means we'll keep rain chances confined mostly along the seabreeze in the Florida Panhandle in the afternoon and the East Coast seabreeze in Georgia and the Florida Big Bend later in the afternoon and evening today and again Wednesday. With the core of the H5 ridge north of us, we'll escape the big heat the first few days of September, but still likely be above normal for temperatures with lower to middle 70s tonight and lower to middle 90s again Wednesday afternoon. Long Term (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 149pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 Rain chances will be highest on Thursday as deep tropical moisture overspreads the area. Elevated rain chances linger Friday before returning to more seabreeze driven shower and thunderstorm chances Saturday and Sunday. We'll monitor the potential for north to south moving clusters of showers and storms late Sunday into Labor Day. Temperatures will be a bit "cooler" Thursday thanks to ample clouds and showers in the forecast, but they'll still climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s. We'll then see daytime highs rebound back into the middle 90s Saturday and Sunday before easing back into the lower to middle 90s near the end of the period. Ample tropical moisture currently located over the Florida Peninsula migrates northwest later Wednesday night into Thursday. Precipitable Water values are forecast to be between 2.2" to 2.4"; these values are easily over the 90th percentile, around 2.1", for early September and would rival daily max values. Add in a shortwave moving east to west underneath the H5 ridge over KY/TN and this will lead to the best opportunity for rain on Thursday. The shortwave continues pushing west Thursday night into Friday, taking the high PWATs (Precipitable Waters) along with it. This keeps rain chances elevated for Friday. The H5 ridge then builds over the region later Friday into Saturday, cranking up the heat. Temperatures are forecast to soar back into the middle 90s with some upper 90s sprinkled in for good measure. The combination of heat and humidity will create heat indices between 103 to 110 Saturday and Sunday, which would necessitate Heat Advisories for much, if not all, of the area. As the H5 ridge retrogrades back over the Central Plains Sunday into Monday, it opens the door for north to south moving clusters of showers and storms. Interestingly, the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) EFI (Extreme Forecast Index) highligheights the potential for elevated CAPE over our area Sunday and again Monday, but it keeps the better combination of shear and CAPE more over the Carolinas and eastern Georgia. Still, it's something we'll monitor as we head into the holiday weekend. Marine Issued at 149pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 Light to gentle easterly breezes generally prevail through the work week thanks to high pressure to our north. Some nocturnal easterly wind surges are possible the next couple of nigheights for our waters east of Apalachicola. Nearshore seabreezes will interrupt the easterly flow each afternoon. Morning showers and storms are forecast Wednesday with more widespread coverage anticipated to end the work week. Fire Weather Issued at 149pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 General easterly flow prevails for much of the week with daily chances of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The highest chances will be over our Florida and far South Georgia districts Wednesday before spreading across the entire area Thursday and Friday. Above normal temperatures are expected, with a seasonably moist and unstable air mass. High dispersions are expected over portions of southeast Alabama again Wednesday afternoon. Hydrology Issued at 149pm EDT Tuesday September 1 2026 Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms through this week may lead to short-lived nuisance runoff issues beneath the core of heavier storms. The best chance of seeing a higher coverage of rain over the most of the area looks to be on Thursday with some potential continuing into Friday. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. |
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