Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Tonight...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Dominant Period 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Patchy Fog.|
|Monday...Southwest Winds 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Dominant Period 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop.|
|Monday Night...South Winds 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers And Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.|
|Tuesday...South Winds 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Dominant Period 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers Through The Day.|
|Tuesday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Dominant Period 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Chance Of Showers And Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight.|
|Wednesday...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming West 10 To 15 Knots Late In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Showers Likely And Chance Of Thunderstorms.|
|Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming Northeast 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers.|
|Thursday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Chance Of Rain Showers In The Afternoon.|
|Thursday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Chance Of Showers And Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.|
|Friday...South Winds 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Chance Of Showers In The Morning. Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms Through The Day. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.|
| Synopsis for the Suwannee River to Okaloosa-Walton County Line out to 60 nm - GMZ700|
934 PM EST Sun Dec 5 2021
High pressure will hang on over North Florida tonight. A weakening cold front will dive south through Alabama on tomorrow, turning up stationary near the Northwest Florida coastline on Tuesday. The front will lift back northward on Tuesday night and Wednesday, pushed along by a freshening southerly breeze over the waters. A brief turn to northerly breezes is possible Wednesday night as the front wavers back south. It will dissipate on Thursday, so winds will quickly clock around from the southeast and south later Thursday and Friday.
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
949pm EST Sunday Dec 5 2021
The main update to this forecast package was the issuance of the Dense Fog Advisory for the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama, and the following counties in Georgia: Early, Miller, Seminole, Decatur, Grady, Thomas, Brooks, and Lowndes. Some areas have already started reporting reduced visibility; however, widespread fog formation is expected to occur between 6Z and 9Z tonight. There is some uncertainty as to how widespread this will be as high cloud is forecast to move into the region. Meaning, tonight's forecast isn't the slam dunks we've had the past few nights. On that note, if you're traveling tonight and tomorrow morning be sure to practice fog safety! Slow down when you encounter areas with reduced visibility, allow extra time for travel, and use low beam ligheights are some good examples.
Other than the fog update, no major changes were made to the
40pm EST]... .NEAR TERM [Through Monday]... Fog will once again become widespread late tonight, and continue through the morning hours. Expect visibilities to reduce down to 1/4 mile through the region. Winds at the surface will remain southerly to southwesterly throughout the day on Monday. With an approaching cold front during the day on Monday, the fog may break earlier in the morning compared to the last several days as surface winds ahead of the front will allow for quicker mixing in the morning. Overall the best rain chances will be in the evening as the front approaches; however, the highest and best chances for seeing precipitation are expected to remain in SE Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. The precipitation associated with the front is expected to completely dissipate as it reaches the Georgia/Alabama border late in the evening on Monday. This is mainly because the upper level forcing for the front is expected to lift well north and west of the region causing the front to stall across western portions of the forecast area. With plentiful mixing ahead of the front on Monday, and an earlier dissipation of fog, high temperatures are expected to be well above normal with temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 70s across the region. Lows tonight will fall into the mid to upper 50s for most across the area.
.SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Tuesday Night]... A weakening cold front will move through the Wiregrass Region and into Northwest Florida on Monday evening. There may be a gusty line of convection upon approach to Coffee County, AL, but the line will be weakening and dying as it continues southeast.
Fog on Monday night will be more confined to the eastern Big Bend and Nature Coast, thanks to the turn to northerly winds elsewhere.
The front will turn up stationary along the NW FL coast over to near Valdosta on Tuesday morning. This feature will set up a wide range of high temperatures across the area from lower 60s north of Blakely to 75+ degree readings down near Cross City. Cannot rule a little light rain, mainly along and north of the front as the upper low currently over the Gulf of California opens up and zips across across MS, AL, and GA.
Long Term - Wednesday Through Sunday
That stationary front will come more to life on Wednesday, as a fairly deep but low amplitude fast-moving upper trough pushes across the eastern U.S. As the tail end of the trough interacts with the leftover frontal boundary, rain and perhaps an embedded thunderstorm or two will blossom over the area. The heaviest rain will remain up over Alabama and Georgia, with the rain weakening as it enters our Florida counties later in the day. Guidance varies on rainfall amounts from about 0.5" to about 1.5", with lesser amounts down toward the Nature Coast. The good news is that the number of ensemble members showing a low-end severe threat on Wednesday has dwindled to nearly negligible.
The front will again waver north on Thursday. For Friday and Saturday, the forecast area will be squarely in the warm sector, with much above normal temperatures expected. Dewpoints in the 60s and southerly flow suggest that nighttime and morning fog will again become an issue.
A big upper trough over the western U.S. late this week should move east next weekend. There are plenty of possibilities for how amplified, how potent, or how far north this trough will eject. Nonetheless, the notion is enough to support a bump in rain chances around Saturday or Saturday night. Less anomalously warm weather would follow on Sunday.
NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...Dense Fog Advisory from 1am EST /midnight CST/ to 9am EST /8 am CST/ Monday for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay- Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes- Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette- Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.
GA...Dense Fog Advisory from 1am to 9am EST Monday for Brooks- Decatur-Early-Grady-Lowndes-Miller-Seminole-Thomas.
AL...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 8am CST Monday for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.