Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Today...W Winds 5 Kt, Becoming Se This Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. A Slight Chance Of Showers Late This Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms This Afternoon.|
|Tonight...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms Early In The Evening.|
|Sun...W Winds 5 Kt, Becoming E In The Late Morning And Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot.|
|Sun Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft.|
|Mon...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft.|
|Mon Night...S Winds 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft.|
|Tue...S Winds 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft.|
|Tue Night...S Winds 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft.|
|Wed...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon.|
|Wed Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Evening. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Tstms.|
Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
651am EDT Sat August 8 2020
A weak surface boundary will remain near the local area today. This boundary will allow for additional showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall possible. High pressure settles over the area late in the weekend. Widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms will again be possible early next week.
Near Term - Through Tonight
As of 240am EDT Saturday... Latest analysis shows a nearly stalled frontal boundary in the vicinity of northern VA over to the MD eastern shore. This has been the focus for much of the precipitation early this morning. Overall coverage should diminish over the next several hours but will maintain slight chance to chance probability of precipitation over the entire area. The front will slide a little further south today, thus the focus of scattered convection this afternoon and evening should be over the southern half of the area, however will keep at least chance probability of precipitation in for the entire area. Isolated flash flooding threat will continue as soils remain saturated and flash flood guidance in the urban areas are under 1 inch per hour. Convection diminishes after 06Z Sunday, with just slight chance probability of precipitation over the eastern half of the area through sunrise Sunday. High temps this afternoon in the mid to upper 80s and low temps Sunday morning in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
Short Term - Sunday Through Monday
As of 240am EDT Saturday... The front lingers in the vicinity of the area on Sunday, which will keep the chance of afternoon/evening showers and storms in the forecast, mainly over southern VA and NE NC. High temps will be a bit warmer ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s. Low temps Sunday night in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
High pressure builds into the area from the west on Monday, and will help keep much of the area dry, however a weak front to our south will keep slight chance to chance probability of precipitation in during the afternoon and early evening over the southern half of the area. High temps a couple degrees warmer on Monday generally in the lower 90s, with upper 80s close to the coast. Low temps Monday night in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
Long Term - Monday Night Through Friday
As of 345pm EDT Friday... Still looking like a more typical summertime pattern for the medium range period (Monday night through Fri). The large scale pattern through much of the period will feature high pressure (at the surface and aloft) offshore of the SE CONUS coast. At the beginning of next week, weak upper troughing is forecast to be centered in the vicinity of the Mississippi River Valley. The main upper level flow will remain well to our north (mainly near or just north of the US/Canada border). The area of upper troughing will slowly approach the area from the west next week. This will allow for diurnal (mainly aftn-evening) tstm chances to continue from Tue-Fri. Will generally trend Probability of Precipitation slowly upward from Tue-late next week as the weak upper trough nears the area. Will cap Probability of Precipitation at 50% in the grids for now, while noting that the blends have likely Probability of Precipitation for much of the forecast area during the aftn-evening on Thu/Fri. Highs Tuesday in the low-mid 90s, falling back into the low 90s on Wed. Highs around 90F on Thu/Fri with increased cloud cover/tstm chances. Lows mainly between 70-75F through the medium range period.
As of 240am EDT Saturday... Quiet marine conditions expected this weekend despite a stalled frontal boundary lingering across the area. The boundary dissipates across the region allowing high pressure to return early next week.
Variable winds aob 10 kts across the north with SSE winds aob 10 kts across the south thru Sun. South winds return thru the middle of next week. Waves 1-2 ft. Seas around 2 ft.
NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None.