Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel Marine Forecast
| Through 7 Am...N Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Today...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 10 Seconds And N 2 Ft At 4 Seconds. |
| Tonight...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 4 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 3 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sat...Ne Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 4 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sat Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Sun...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 2 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Mon...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 Kt, Becoming Nw After Midnight. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Ne 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 258pm EDT Thu Oct 22 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Coastal Flood Warnings have ended. Coastal Flood Advisories continue into Friday for some areas. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Continued dry with mostly sunny conditions expected late week into the weekend. 2) Elevated tidal anomalies through Friday with minor to locally moderate tidal flooding forecast. As of 255pm EDT Thursday... KEY MESSAGE 1...Continued dry with mostly sunny conditions expected late week into the weekend. Subtropical Storm Josephine continues to pull away from the CONUS this afternoon as high pressure centered over the Great Lakes builds eastward. Clear skies this afternoon will continue tonight. Low temps are forecast to be a few degrees above what we saw this morning due to slightly stronger winds behind a dry front. Lows will mainly be in the low 40s inland upper 40s to low 50s near the water. A few of the typically cooler spots could drop into the upper 30s prior to sunrise, especially if winds are able to completely decouple for a few hours. Breezy and slightly cooler Friday behind the front with temps ranging from the mid to upper 60s to around 70 degrees. High pressure builds over the region Friday night into Saturday. Clear skies and light/calm winds will allow temps to fall back into the 30s, mainly for northern/northwestern portions of the area. Latest statistical guidance has edged upward regarding low temps Friday night but still could see some frost in the cooler spots by sunrise Saturday. High pressure will dominate the local weather pattern this weekend and likely well into next week. Not much change in the forecast with seasonal temperatures and near zero indications for much needed rainfall returning to the region. KEY MESSAGE 2...Elevated tidal anomalies continue through Friday with minor tidal flooding forecast. Subtropical Storm Josephine is moving NE away from the coast this afternoon. However, large swell continues to propagate toward the coast. Meanwhile, high pressure over ON/QB is gradually building S in the wake of Josephine. Tidal anomalies remain ~2ft above normal primarily due to the swell from Josephine. These anomalies should remain steady and/or slowly fall tonight into Friday. Therefore, primarily nuisance to minor tidal flooding is expected and any lingering Coastal Flood Warnings have been converted to Coastal Flood Advisories. Nuisance to locally minor tidal flooding could linger into the weekend as swell continues to propagate toward the coast with persistent (but weaker) onshore flow, as well as a gradual increase in astronomical high tides as we approach full moon. High Surf Advisories continue through 7pm for VA Beach and Outer Banks Currituck. Marine As of 255pm EDT Thursday... Key Messages: - Elevated N to NE winds continue into the weekend. Small Craft Advisories continue over the nearshore waters through Saturday night, through tomorrow night across the lower Chesapeake Bay, and tomorrow morning across the Middle Chesapeake Bay. - Additional Small Craft Advisory flags may be needed Friday night into Saturday morning for the Chesapeake Bay and lower James River. Subtropical Storm Josephine is tracking NE away from the coast this afternoon. Meanwhile, 1028mb high pressure is centered over ON/QB. The wind is generally N 15-20kt across the Ches. Bay and ocean, and 10- 15kt elsewhere. Seas range from 6-8ft N to 8-10ft S, with 2-3ft waves in the Ches. Bay (3-4ft at the mouth). Strong, chilly high pressure builds in from the northwest tonight and Friday, serving to re-tighten the pressure gradient. There is an additional northerly surge tonight, so the SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) for the middle Bay have been extended through 10am Friday. As the surface high centers north of the local waters later Friday into Saturday, winds veer around to the E-NE. Channeling likely drives winds back up into SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds, and in- house wind probs have trended up to 60-90% probability of 18-22kt sustained winds across the lower Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound during this time period. So, additional SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines may be needed Friday night into Saturday for these zones. Regarding waves and seas, N-NE swell/wind wave subsides slowly through the weekend. However, persistent onshore NE flow will keep coastal seas at 5-8 ft (potentially 8-10ft S), with waves in the lower Bay at 3-5 ft. Therefore, expect SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines for seas will likely remain necessary along coastal zones and the mouth of the Bay through the weekend and into early next week, even as wind speeds diminish. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4am EDT Friday for MDZ021>023. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for MDZ024- 025. NC...High Surf Advisory until 7pm EDT this evening for NCZ102. VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for VAZ099- 100. High Surf Advisory until 7pm EDT this evening for VAZ098. Coastal Flood Advisory until 3pm EDT Friday for VAZ075-077. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT Friday for VAZ076-078- 082>086-089-090-518-520>524-528. Coastal Flood Advisory until 9pm EDT this evening for VAZ097- 098-525-529>531. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 10am EDT Friday for ANZ630-631. Small Craft Advisory until 7am EDT Saturday for ANZ632-634. Small Craft Advisory until 7am EDT Sunday for ANZ650-652-654- 656-658. |
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