Chesapeake Bay From Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Light Winds. Waves Flat. |
| Tonight...Se Winds Around 5 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. Rain. |
| Sat...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. Rain. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt...Becoming W After Midnight. Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. Rain. |
| Sun...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Morning. |
| Mon...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt...Becoming Sw 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 944am EST Thu Jan 8 2026 Synopsis A warm front will lift into the area Friday. A pair of cold fronts will cross the area Saturday night and Sunday. High pressure builds to the south of the region early next week. Near Term - Through Tonight Steep nocturnal stable layer is taking some time to mix out due to calm winds and low January sun angle. However when it does, temperatures should warm quickly into the upper 40s. Based on satellite imagery, we should see plenty of filtered sunshine before cirrus may become a bit thicker this afternoon. Looks like high temperatures will reach the 50s for most of the forecast area. Previous discussion: High pressure over the area this morning slides offshore by tonight ahead of an approaching cold front. Relatively benign weather conditions for today as dry and mild weather continues. Highs reach the 50s across the area with a light southeast wind. Sunshine this morning becomes mixed with cirrus overspreading the area in the afternoon. Lows tonight settle in the upper 30s to low 40s. Short Term - Friday Through Saturday Night A warm front lifts north into the area Friday morning as a strong cold front makes its way through the OH Valley. The warm front's slow progression will allow for a mix of low clouds, on and off light showers/drizzle, and breezy conditions for much of the day Friday. Well above normal warmth continues, and even with the cloud cover highs are going to reach the mid 50s to mid 60s. Southerly winds are going to gust around 20-25 mph, and up to 35-45 mph on the ridges, especially during the morning. The cold front stalls over the area Friday night, then the first of a series of waves of low pressure move across the area. This is going to produce a steady light to moderate rainfall by early Saturday morning. Very mild temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Rainfall continues for most of the day Saturday, though showers start to decrease in coverage during the afternoon as a secondary, stronger cold front approaches from the west. Well above normal high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s, with higher elevations staying in the mid 50s. The cold front progresses through the area during the second half of Saturday night, as rain chances come to an end from west to east. Colder air surges in, dropping lows to the upper 20s to 30s west of the Blue Ridge, and low to mid 40s to the east. Northwest winds ramp up quick, with near Wind Advisory conditions (gusts 45-50 mph) possible in the higher ridges. Long Term - Sunday Through Wednesday A highly amplified synoptic pattern unfolds into next week which also brings a return to near average temperatures to the region. The key players are a broad upper ridge along the West Coast and deep cyclonic flow extending across central/eastern sections of the continent. In particular, a positively-tilted upper trough crosses the Great Lakes and northeastern U.S. on Sunday. This brings a secondary cold front across the region which yields a chilly start to the work week. Modest lift underneath the parent upper low will bring isolated to scattered showers to the area. With temperatures near freezing along the Alleghenies, some of this comes in the form of a rain/snow mix. Forecast highs are likely to rise into the mid 40s to low 50s, with upper 20s to 30s across the mountains. Brisk winds accompany this pattern shift with westerly gusts to around 25 to 35 mph, nearing 45 mph along the Allegheny Front. Wind fields remain elevated into Sunday night with lows falling into the 20s (mid/upper teens for the Alleghenies). By Monday, the longwave trough exits toward the Canadian Maritimes while additional disturbances track through in the trailing northwesterly flow. This favors a drier pattern given limited moisture in the northern stream dominant pattern. Global ensembles seem to support Monday as the coolest day of the period as highs stay fairly close to average (upper 30s to mid 40s, 20s to 30s for the mountains). Surface high pressure stays off to the south through Tuesday which allows southwesterly flow to take fold over the Mid- Atlantic states. This aids in a gradual warming trend through mid- week with highs creeping back toward the 50 degree mark by Wednesday. Looking further ahead, another amplified trough may impact the area late next week which would support another marked cool down. It remains to be seen if this is accompanied by any uptick in snow chances. Marine Favorable marine condtions expected today as high pressure over the area moves offshore. Southerly winds return Friday afternoon, and this could result in SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions over portions of the waters. Winds are likely to further increase Saturday as the pressure gradient over the Mid-Atlantic tightens in response to an approaching cold front. In response to the secondary cold front, westerly winds will intensify in the wake on Sunday. Small Craft Advisories are likely needed as gusts push into the 20 to 25 knot range. Winds gradual turn more northwesterly on Monday with residual advisory-caliber gusts through the afternoon. Thereafter, winds begin to drop off as gradients weaken. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...None. VA...None. WV...None. Marine None. |
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