Chesapeake Bay From Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD Marine Forecast
Rest Of This Afternoon...W Winds 15 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
Tonight...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
Sat...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
Sat Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
Sun...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
Sun Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
Mon...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft. |
Tue...S Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 Ft. |
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 155pm EDT Fri Nov 1 2024 Synopsis High pressure will build over the region tonight through Monday morning before moving offshore later in the week. A cold front will cross the area around the middle portion of next week. Weak high pressure returns for the second half of next week. Near Term - Through Tonight Clearing skies and gusty NW winds through the remainder of the afternoon, then clear and turning much cooler tonight with lows some 20F degs cooler than this morning. High pressure gradually builds into the region tonight through early next week. Short Term - Saturday Through Sunday Night High pressure will continue to build into the area through Monday morning supporting fair weather and seasonable temperatures in the low 60s during the day and around 40 at night. Long Term - Monday Through Friday A large surface high over Southern New England moves offshore at the start of next week. A potent upper trough and associated surface cold front rapidly move across the Great Lakes into the Northeast states Tuesday into Wednesday. The surface high that moved offshore begins to slide south toward the west central Atlantic in response. There remains considerable disagreement in the models as to what occurs in the middle of next week. Some of the guidance indicates the upper trough quickly traverses the area, with little to no rainfall, while others stall the front out directly overhead. These solutions would yield considerably different results, making the current forecast from Tuesday night onward very uncertain at this time. Temperatures once again warm to well above normal, with highs going from the 60s Monday to 70s to near 80F by Wednesday. Marine Solid SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are expected through 06Z, before winds diminish overnight. Borderline/marginal SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are possible across the southern waters Saturday into Sunday morning before diminishing further as high pressure settles to the north. Strong high pressure over southern New England moves offshore at the start of next week. This causes our local winds to shift southeast Monday, then south to southwest on Tuesday. Southerly channeling is possible Monday night into Tuesday, which could result in Small Craft Advisory conditions over the open waters of the Chesapeake Bay. These elevated winds could continue into Tuesday night. Fire Weather Red Flag Warning continues until 6pm tonight for northern MD, portions of northern VA and eastern WV. Rh's have dropped into the mid 20s at Cumberland and winds have gusted as high as 44 mph in northern MD. Red Flag conditions will continue to develop southeastward as MaxT are reached and dewpoints to continue to drop in dry air advection on gusty NW winds. Winds will rapidly diminish as sunset approaches. NOAA Baltimore MD/Washington DC Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories DC...None. MD...Small Craft Advisory until 6am EDT Saturday for MDZ008. Red Flag Warning until 6pm EDT this evening for MDZ003>006- 008-011-502>508. VA...Red Flag Warning until 6pm EDT this evening for VAZ028-031- 505-506. WV...Red Flag Warning until 6pm EDT this evening for WVZ050>053- 504. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6am EDT Saturday for ANZ530>534- 537>543. Small Craft Advisory until 2am EDT Saturday for ANZ535-536. |