Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point ME to Stonington ME Marine Forecast
|Today...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Becoming W 5 To 10 Kt Late This Morning And Early Afternoon, Then Becoming Sw Late. Seas 2 To 4 Ft.|
|Tonight...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Se 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. A Chance Of Rain After Midnight.|
|Mon...S Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming W In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Rain Likely. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm In The Morning.|
|Mon Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Increasing To 25 To 30 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Moderate Freezing Spray After Midnight.|
|Tue...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. Moderate Freezing Spray.|
|Tue Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft.|
|Wed...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft, Subsiding To 1 To 2 Ft After Midnight.|
|Thu...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 1 To 2 Ft.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Caribou ME
337am EST Sunday Feb 28 2021
High pressure will build in from the west today. Low pressure will approach tonight and track north of the area Monday morning pulling an occluded front through. An Arctic cold front will cross the area Monday night. Cold high pressure will build in from the west on Tuesday as low pressure intensifies over the Maritimes. Low pressure will remain over the Maritimes Wednesday and Thursday.
Near Term - Through Tonight
Skies are clrg across the FA in the predawn hrs and this trend will cont allowing for mostly sunny skies. Winds over Northern areas will diminish by late morn/erly afternoon as a weak surface ridge apchs and then crosses the FA late in the afternoon. Hi temps this afternoon will be above average ranging from the upper 30s N to lower 40s E Cntrl and Downeast.
Hi and mid cldnss ahead of the next s/wv complex alf from the upper Great Lakes and OH vly will arrive late in the day and erly eve over Wrn areas and spread over the rest of the FA durg the ovrngt hrs. Winds, which will initially be light durg the eve, will begin to increase from the SSE late tngt, meaning ovrngt lows will be mild and occur erly around mdngt, with temps steady and slowly rising by daybreak. Longer range models bring light sn across the N and light mixed precipitation Cntrl/Downeast by daybreak Mon ahead of lengthy N-S occluded front apchg from Wrn QB with a slower trend in onset timing from prev model runs and forecast updates by about 3 to 6 hrs.
Short Term - Monday Through Tuesday
Low pressure tracking into Quebec Monday morning will pull an occluded front into the area. This front will extend south to a triple point low tracking off Southern New England. This system will bring some snow north and rain Downeast Monday morning. Warmer air lifting north ahead of the occlusion may change precipitation over to rain as far north as southeastern Aroostook County by midday Monday before the front and precipitation slides east of the area. Snow amounts Monday morning will range from 2 to 3 inches north to little or none Downeast. As the occlusion slides east, the triple point low will rapidly intensify over the Maritimes. This low, combined with high pressure building into the Mid-west, will usher in bitterly cold Arctic air on very strong gusty northwest winds Monday night into Tuesday. Some snow showers or an isolated snow squall are possible over the north Monday evening as the Arctic air surges in. Frigid wind chills and freezing spray over the waters will be likely Tuesday. Winds will diminish Tuesday night.
Long Term - Tuesday Night Through Saturday
Tuesday's cold blast will be a quick hitter with high pressure building in and upper level ridging building over bringing moderation on Wednesday. Thursday will remain dry and be a little milder as high pressure moves through. Low pressure over the Maritimes is then expected to retrograde toward eastern Quebec Friday possibly backing some of the cold Arctic air to our north back down into our area. Models differ on the timing of the return of this cold air. It does not, however, look as severe as the cold blast expected on Tuesday. Dry weather is expected to persist through the weekend as a broad upper level ridge builds into the nations mid-section and low pressure tracking off the Mid-Atlantic coast passes well out to sea.
Near Term: SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds and seas will persist across all of the waters til about 6 am, then remain over the outer waters til midday, with a break from SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions Sunday afternoon and eve. S winds and seas ramp back up to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions by daybreak Mon. Kept close to blended model guidance for forecast wv heights with most wv energy contained in nwrd propagating 7-9 sec group with a faint 3-4 sec SE propagating group this morn.
Short Term: A SCA (Small Craft Advisory) will likely be needed Monday, increasing to a gale Monday night through Tuesday with freezing spray likely late Monday night into Tuesday. Winds will diminish to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) late Tuesday night then drop below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) Wednesday into Thursday.
NOAA Caribou ME Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
ME...None. MARINE...Gale Watch from Monday evening through late Tuesday night for ANZ050>052. Small Craft Advisory until 6am EST early this morning for ANZ052. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for ANZ050-051.