Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point ME to Stonington ME Marine Forecast
| Today...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. Rain, Snow And Freezing Rain Likely This Morning, Then A Chance Of Rain This Afternoon. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Tonight...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Se After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening, Then Rain Likely After Midnight. Patchy Fog. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Wed...Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt, Becoming S 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Building To 5 To 7 Ft In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 4 Seconds, Becoming Se 7 Ft At 6 Seconds. Patchy Fog In The Morning. Rain. Vsby 1 Nm Or Less. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 35 To 45 Kt With Gusts Up To 60 Kt. Seas 8 To 11 Ft. Wave Detail: S 11 Ft At 10 Seconds And Se 5 Ft At 7 Seconds. Rain. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 8 To 11 Ft, Subsiding To 5 To 7 Ft In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: S 11 Ft At 11 Seconds And Sw 1 Foot At 3 Seconds, Becoming S 7 Ft At 11 Seconds And Sw 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Rain Likely In The Morning. |
| Thu Night...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: S 6 Ft At 11 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 8 Seconds. A Chance Of Snow Showers In The Evening. |
| Fri...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. |
| Fri Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Ne Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming E After Midnight. Seas 1 To 2 Ft. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 125am EST Tuesday Dec 10 2024 Synopsis An occluded front will move into the area overnight and lift to our north Tuesday into Tuesday night. Intensifying low pressure will approach on Wednesday, track to our west Wednesday night, then continue north into Eastern Canada on Thursday. High pressure will follow on Friday into Saturday. Near Term - Through Today Update... High pressure exits across the Maritimes overnight, while a weakening occluded front approaches from the west. Light snow is already occurring across west-central and Downeast portions of the forecast area and will persist through the duration of the night with snow accumulations up to around an inch possible. However, the snow could begin to taper to a light wintry mix across Downeast areas late. Drier air with retreating high pressure is slowing the arrival of snow across northern areas where any accumulations overnight will be less than an inch. Temperatures will be near steady, or slowly rise, through the duration of the night. Have updated to adjust for current conditions along with expected overnight temperatures and clouds. Previous Discussion... Tuesday... The steadier precipitation slowly wanes from SW to NE during the day Tuesday, as warm advection continues. Warm advection aloft will be stronger than at the surface, with some low-level cold air damming. Thus, the setup will become increasingly conducive for freezing drizzle and freezing rain from SW to NE as the above-freezing layer aloft strengthens, and as the moisture becomes more shallow and we are left with just supercooled water in the cloud later. Issued a winter weather advisory for the freezing drizzle and freezing rain, from Tuesday into Tuesday night, with later start and end times the further NE you go. The sub-freezing air at the surface stays the longest near the Central Highlands and north into the North s and Aroostook County into Tuesday night. Meanwhile, the immediate coast should poke above freezing by midday. Either way, any ice totals during the day Tuesday look very light. However, it doesn't take much ice to cause issues. Low levels will be quite saturated and this does look like an efficient freezing drizzle scenario especially later Tuesday and into Tuesday night. Short Term - Tonight Through Thursday The low pressure system to the north will continue to swing the occlusion through the region Tuesday night. The concern will be the cold air damming at the surface before the warmer S winds push in. Expect freezing rain/drizzle from the Central Highlands and north. The most amount of ice accumulation is expected during the early morning hours of Wednesday, causing travel issues for morning commuters. As the warmer air moves north, all precipitation should switch to rain by sunrise Wednesday morning. By this point, the triple point of the occlusion should move north into New England. The concern for Wednesday should be the continuous rain, increasing temps, and increasing winds in the afternoon. The combination of above normal temps and rain is expected to melt the majority of the snowpack. By Wednesday night, a new low center should develop from the triple point of the occlusion and move across the west of the state. The movement of the center of the low and the cold front across the region is expected to bring a heavy rain band across the region. With the frozen ground, melting snowpack, and heavy rain, large amounts of runoff are a concern for the existing river ice. Hydro concerns could develop from early ice jams to urban and small stream flooding. In addition, S winds will increase with gusts up to 65 mph along the Downeast Coast. Further inland areas could see gusts up to 55 mph while the north could see up to 45 mph. Isolated to scattered power outages are expected with this storm. By Thursday, the cold front will pick up speed, exiting the region by the late morning. Warm temps in the morning will cool with the cold air on the backside of the system. This should switch any remaining precipitation to snow showers by the afternoon. In addition, the winds should switch to the SW and decrease throughout the day. Long Term - Thursday Night Through Monday High pressure is expected to return Thursday night into Friday, bringing inactive weather for the beginning of the weekend. Expect sunny skies and temps returning to the mid 20s. The models lose consistency by the beginning of next week. Upper air models show a trough developing across the Great Lakes. While the GFS (Global Forecast System) shows the trough flattening, the Euro has the trough deepening becoming the next storm on Sunday. Both GFS and CmC show a shortwave moving in with some precip, confidence is low with this next system. Decided to go with the NBM and keep precipitation as chance for the early week. Marine Near Term: Small craft advisory conditions overnight through Tuesday. Rain and snow overnight. A wintry mix or rain Tuesday. Short Term: Winds and seas will increase to storm force by Wednesday evening to Wednesday night. A Storm Watch has been issued for Wednesday night. Winds should decrease to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels Thursday morning, and remain until Friday night. NOAA Caribou ME Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories ME...Winter Weather Advisory from 4pm this afternoon to 7am EST Wednesday for MEZ001-002. Winter Weather Advisory from 7am this morning to 4am EST Wednesday for MEZ003>006-010-011-015>017-031-032. Winter Weather Advisory from 7am this morning to 1pm EST this afternoon for MEZ029-030. High Wind Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning for MEZ029-030. Marine Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning for ANZ050>052. |
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