Lake Ontario - Sodus Beach to Mexico Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...Northeast Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming North. Becoming Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 To 3 Feet. |
| Tonight...Northeast Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming East. Partly To Mostly Cloudy. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Saturday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Showers Likely. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 10 Knots Or Less Becoming East. Showers Likely In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers Overnight. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Sunday...East Winds Less Than 10 Knots. Becoming Mainly Clear. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Monday...East Winds 10 Knots Or Less Becoming Southeast 10 To 15 Knots. Mainly Clear, Then Becoming Partly Cloudy. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Tuesday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots Becoming South 10 To 15 Knots. Showers Likely. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 410am EDT Fri April 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes with this forecast update. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Wet weather returns tonight through Saturday. KEY MESSAGE 1...Wet weather returns tonight through Saturday. A large surface low over the southern Canadian Prairies will occlude and become cut-off from its main cold front over the Central CONUS. This will occur as a secondary low develops at the systems triple point over the Upper Midwest this morning. The new surface low will track southeast, centering over the western end of Lake Erie tonight. The surface low will track along a stationary front placed from the Central Great Lakes to/across PA. Shower potential will start to increase this evening as the surface low tracks southeast to the western end of Lake Erie and the original occluded front to the north tracks toward the area at the same time. Showers will continue to increase in coverage as a shortwave trough tracking across the southern Great Lakes increases forcing over the region. Both the shortwave trough and surface low will continue to track southeast to the Delmarva by late Saturday night. The surface low and shortwave trough will cross just south of the area at the same time, increasing forcing overall and causing more organized showers with some embedded thunderstorms through at least the early evening on Saturday. There still remains some uncertainty in how quick the system tracks across the region. Showers and thunderstorms may be heavy at times, with the best potential overall for more organized rain expected for areas south of Lake Ontario. Areas east of Lake Ontario may stay rain free as the system tracks across the western portions of the area and then southeast. Rainfall amounts for areas of WNY will be around one inch, with amounts lowering to around a tenth of an inch for areas southeast of Lake Ontario. To go along with the rain, winds will increase out of the east as the surface low tracks to the south of the area and a tightening pressure gradient develops with an area of high pressure to the north. Wind gusts of up to 30 MPH will be possible near the western Lake Ontario shore, with gusts diminishing farther inland closer to the passing surface low. Marine Winds will remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels today, but a tightening pressure gradient over the region will start to increase winds out of the northeast and then east later today and through Saturday. An area of low pressure tracking toward and then south of the BUF forecast area will cause the pressure gradient to increase with high pressure to the north. This will likely increase winds and waves to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels along the the central and western portions of the Lake Ontario shoreline for this evening through the day on Saturday. Winds will diminish through the night on Saturday night and into the day Sunday as the pressure gradient weakens with the departing surface low. NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NY...None. Marine None. |
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