Marine Weather Net

Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

NW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT

N
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SAT NIGHT

SW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
ANZ451 Forecast Issued: 1117 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
Rest Of Today...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds.
Tonight...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 4 Seconds.
Sat...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Ft. Wave Detail: N 2 Ft At 4 Seconds.
Sat Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Building To 4 To 6 Ft After Midnight. Wave Detail: Sw 4 Ft At 4 Seconds And N 1 Foot At 3 Seconds, Becoming S 5 Ft At 6 Seconds. Rain, Mainly In The Evening.
Sun...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: W 5 Ft At 4 Seconds And S 5 Ft At 7 Seconds.
Sun Night...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: W 5 Ft At 4 Seconds And S 4 Ft At 8 Seconds.
Mon...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft.
Mon Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming W 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft.
Tue...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon.
Tue Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening.
SHARE THIS PAGE:           
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
133pm EST Fri Nov 14 2025

Synopsis
High pressure will slowly shift eastward into the area through Saturday. Low pressure will approach the area Saturday night, with a warm front passing through the area. A cold front will move through on Sunday. A few reinforcing shots of cool air arrive Sunday into Monday. A weak disturbance should track to the south of the region Tuesday, keeping conditions somewhat unsettled. Otherwise, high pressure will gradually build in to the area through mid-week.

Near Term - Through Saturday
At the surface, high pressure dominates, but is centered well to our southwest near the central Gulf Coast. One strong surface low is well to our northeast over the Canadian maritimes with another well to the northwest over the Canadian prairie provinces. The pressure gradient is slowly relaxing across the region as high pressure becomes more dominant, so winds are not nearly as much of a factor today. Aloft, we remain in the fast northwesterly flow between the closed low to the northeast and the upper ridge over the western Gulf.

A potent shortwave moving southeastward through the aforementioned fast northwest flow will bring a lot of clouds back to the region thru tonight, with even some virga noted on radar, but not expecting any precipitation given dry low levels. This should help keep lows a little milder that it might otherwise get tonight despite winds becoming light and variable and low dew points, so forecast lows are mostly in the 30s, 20s coldest spots north and 40s warmest spots south.

Should see some breaks in the clouds late tonight into Saturday morning, but clouds then return by afternoon as warm advection gets underway ahead of the next system, which is a warm front moving ahead of the aforementioned surface and upper-level lows in south-central Canada. Some guidance races the precipitation into the region quickly late in the day Saturday, but for now kept POPs mostly slight chance to chance and mainly from Philly north and west. Highs will range from near 50 Poconos to low 60s far south Jersey and the Delmarva. Winds will turn southerly as the day wears on, but remain fairly light thru the day.

Short Term - Saturday Night Through Sunday Night
The trough to the east departs Saturday night and the upper- low over Manitoba will shift southeastward into Quebec by Sunday morning. Synoptic scale forcing for ascent will be over the region Saturday night and continuing through Sunday morning as we will be located in the exit region of the cyclonically curved jet associated with the upper-low. The upper-low will shift into northern portions of New England through the day Sunday, with height rises and enhanced northwesterly flow aloft through Sunday night. At the surface, a warm front will lift northeastward through the region Saturday night, followed by a cold front Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon. High pressure will quickly begin to build back in Sunday night behind the cold front.

Most of the region will be overcast as evening starts Saturday. Rainfall will be most widespread during Saturday night, with PoPs ranging from 40-60% across the Delmarva and southern NJ generally south of the Philly metro, to 70-90% for the Philly metro and northward. Model soundings across the area feature some modest elevated instability, so a rumble of thunder or two will be possible. While rain is expected, significant amounts are unlikely, and still generally appear to be under 0.25", and highest for northern portions of the area. Warm advection will be ongoing through much of the night Saturday night, so lows will be fairly warm. Temperatures may not fall out of the 50s for the Philly metro southward, with temps in the low-mid 40s north. Rain chances will continue through the first half or so of Sunday, tapering off from west to east as a cold front approaches and moves through. Where the cold front clears earlier, highs may struggle to reach 50. This would be across our northern eastern PA counties and far northern NJ. Across the remainder of the area, upper 50s to near 60 will be likely once again.

After the cold front clears the area by Sunday afternoon, breezy northwesterly winds will set in. Wind gusts in the 30-35 mph range will be likely. Otherwise, skies will clear from west to east. Under mostly clear skies and with cold advection occurring behind the front, low temperatures will be noticeably cooler Sunday night, with a freeze expected across the higher terrain of the Poconos and into far northern NJ. Mid-upper 30s are expected elsewhere.

While not currently explicitly forecast, guidance is in fairly good agreement that this northwesterly flow regime behind the front Sunday into Sunday night could lead to some lake effect snow to the northwest of the area. It is not entirely out of the question that a snow shower or two could make it into far northern portions of the area, and this will continue to be monitored in future forecast cycles.

Long Term - Monday Through Friday
Height rises and slowly weakening flow aloft will continue through the day Monday. On Tuesday, a weak impulse will track eastward out of the Tennessee and Ohio Valley regions and should pass to the south of the area by Tuesday evening as it phases with the primary trough exiting our area. Northwesterly flow will continue through mid-week with only a few weak potential impulses glancing the area. At the surface, the general trend will be for high pressure to slowly continue to build in. A weak surface low will pass to the south of the area on Tuesday associated with the mid-level impulse.

Monday into Monday night should feature partly to mostly clear skies. On Tuesday, widespread cloud cover is expected across the entire area, with a little light precipitation. Slight chance PoPs are present across the entire area, but 30-40% Probability of Precipitation are limited to along and south of I-78. There is an outside chance that precipitation could start as a rain/snow mix especially towards I- 78, but it looks like mostly rain. In any event, amounts currently look quite light.

Wednesday and Thursday currently look dry but mostly cloudy across the area. Below average temperatures are expected to continue through the long term, with highs generally in the 40s and lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Marine
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the coastal waters from Cape Henlopen DE north to Sandy Hook NJ rest of today. West to northwest winds will average 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Winds diminish toward sunset, with sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions tonight and Saturday. Winds become southerly and start to ramp up later on Saturday, but still below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels.

Outlook... Saturday night through Monday...Marine headlines are likely. Saturday night southerly wind will increase to 20-25 kt. Sunday, winds will shift to northwesterly at 20-30 kt. Winds look to remain enhanced through Monday. While uncertain, there remains a possibility for a period of gales Sunday into Monday. Seas increasing to 4-7 feet.

Monday night...Lingering SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions possible, but winds and seas will generally be on the decline.

Tuesday...No marine headlines anticipated with winds below 25 kt and seas below 5 feet.

NOAA Mount Holly NJ Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None.

Marine
Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon for ANZ430-431. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST this evening for ANZ450>454. Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon for ANZ450>455.