Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Tonight...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming North 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Dominant Period 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop.|
|Monday...Northeast Winds 10 Knots Becoming Southeast 5 To 10 Knots Early In The Afternoon, Then Becoming Southwest Late In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop.|
|Monday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 7 Seconds. Protected Waters Mostly Smooth.|
|Tuesday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.|
|Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Period 7 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening.|
|Wednesday...South Winds 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms Through The Day. Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.|
|Wednesday Night...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.|
|Thursday...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers.|
|Thursday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop.|
|Friday...Northeast Winds 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers.|
| Synopsis for the Suwannee River to Okaloosa-Walton County Line out to 60 nm - GMZ700|
216 PM EDT Sun Apr 11 2021
Winds and seas will remain elevated through tonight but will gradually return to tranquil boating conditions by tomorrow.
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
141pm EDT Sunday April 11 2021
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Dixie County and the adjacent coastal waters has been cancelled. The threat for severe weather has diminished. For the remainder of the afternoon, additional showers and thunderstorms are possible mainly to the east of a Panama City to Fitzgerald line, as a cold front moves eastward across the area. Isolated, small hail and gusty winds possible with any storms that develop.
Near Term - Through Tonight
An upper level low will continue to lift northeast across the Great Lakes region through tonight while a front associated with the surface low pushes across the southeast during the near term. The cold front this morning remains west of the CWA and was draped across central AL and back into southern LA.
Another shortwave moving across the southeast today will help to enhance convection across the region again this morning. Have already started to see development across the Gulf waters and the FL Panhandle. Activity will greatly increase over the next few hours with the best chance for showers and thunderstorms across southern portions of the FL Panhandle, the Big Bend and the marine area. Some of these thunderstorms may be severe, with the greatest threats being wind and hail, although a tornado is also possible. The severe threat will decrease into the afternoon as the main complex of storms sinks southward.
For tonight, a few light showers cannot be ruled out across the eastern portion of the CWA for the first half of the night, however overall chances are on the low side. The cold front will exit the eastern portion of the CWA tonight.
.SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday]... Dry conditions Monday/Monday Night with deep layer ridging in place. The upper ridge flattens on Tuesday as a shortwave translates eastward from the western to the central Gulf coast. This will bring a slight chance for rain mainly across the Florida panhandle and southeast Alabama by late in the day. Otherwise, dry conditions will continue. Highs both days will be in the lower to mid 80s with lows Monday night mainly in the mid 50s.
Long Term - Tuesday Night Through Sunday
A cold front will drop into the southeast CONUS on Wednesday. This in conjunction with a shortwave over the northeast Gulf will bring better chances for rain to the entire Tri-state region. We should briefly dry out Thursday/Thursday night with the passage of the front. Thereafter, deep layer moisture accompanying embedded impulses in the zonal flow across the gulf coastal states will keep rain chances in the forecast to finish out the extended period. Lows will mostly be in the mid and upper 50s, with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
Winds and seas will remain elevated today and tonight but will return to tranquil boating conditions on Monday.
Aside from possible low daytime dispersion Monday, there are no other fire weather concerns.
After Saturday's rains, riverine flooding will take time to develop, given the rainfall distribution. The Choctawhatchee, Chipola, Apalachicola, and Lower Flint could all experience minor flooding in the days ahead. Further east, the Ochlockonee River could reach minor flooding should 4 inches of rain fall upstream of Leon County after tomorrow. Other remaining basins in the region could rise into the action category, but minor flooding is unlikely based on the latest forecasts.
NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 10pm EDT /9pm CDT/ this evening for Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.
GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.