Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming North. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southwest 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Late. |
| Sunday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: West 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 2 Seconds And West 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Monday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Monday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday...East Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Thursday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 854pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 ...New Issued at 853pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 PoPs have been reduced to better represent the isolated coverage we are currently seeing and expect to continue overnight, particularly with storms mostly occurring over our western zones. Otherwise, the forecast remains unchanged. Near Term (Through Sunday) Issued at 236pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 A broken band of heavy rain continues from Wakulla county up into Clay county in Georgia along an area of 925mb convergence. Locally heavy rain is the primary concern within this band of rain as rain rates of consistently been between 1 to 3 inches per hour with occasional rain rates up to 4"/hr. A stationary front is forecast to get pushed southwest across the area thanks to a 1025+mb high in the Northeast and a developing area of low pressure off the Carolinas. That will help push rain chances south and west into the Florida Panhandle for Sunday. Locally heavy rain is still the primary concern thanks to precipitable water values (PWATs) between 1.8" to 2.0". Soils are still really saturated across portions of the Florida Panhandle and western Florida Big Bend, so localized flooding is a concern during the day Sunday, especially along the Forgotten Coast. Temperatures are forecast to remain above normal tonight with lows in the middle 70s for most locations. Daytime highs are expected to remain in the 80s for highs for much of the area outside of our northern Georgia counties who could stay in the upper 70s if enough cloud cover lingers throughout the day. .SHORT TERM... (Sunday night through Monday night) Issued at 236pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 Continued troughing and rain looks to be the name of the game in the short term. Remnants associated with Francine continue to plague the region with precipitation as areas that have experienced over a foot of rainfall possibly receiving more. A disturbance off the southeast Atlantic coast looks to deepen and in doing so looks to finally absorb these remnants as it heads up the Atlantic coast. At the surface, instability will be limited as this disturbance off the coast pulls down northerly air on its western side. However, aloft the winds to look to be out of the west-southwest. This could lead to overrunning stratiform precip, which if training occurs could lead to additional flooding concerns, especially over our coastal Florida counties. Expect overnight lows generally in the upper 60s to low 70s with daytime highs generally in the low to mid 80s. Long Term (Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 236pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 In the extended the aforementioned disturbance allows troughiness to continue across eastern CONUS. This will place us under persistent north to northwest flow allowing us some reprieve from rainfall with lower Probability of Precipitation expected as the stationary front is pushed southward. Beyond the extended both the GFS (Global Forecast System) and Euro agree that the aforementioned disturbance actually looks to head back south, and might impact the area the following week. We'll have to see how this evolves over the next few days. Expect temps to gradually warm back up into the upper 80s and low 90s with overnight lows generally in the upper 60s to low 70s. Marine Issued at 236pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 Winds will be generally be light across the waters over the next several days, but given the presence of a stationary front and waves of low pressure, wind direction will be variable through the next 5 days. This front will also keep the weather rather unsettled with daily chances for showers and storms. Fire Weather Issued at 236pm EDT Sat September 14 2024 No fire weather concerns are anticipated the next several days thanks to recent wetting rains, a moist airmass in place, and a chance of showers and thunderstorms into next work week. Hydrology Issued at 256am EDT Sat September 14 2024 The wet pattern continues across the area for the next several days. A Flood Watch is in effect for southeast Alabama and most of southwest and south central Georgia. This is due to the HREF and other guidance suggesting that bands of heavy rain and thunderstorms could develop along a stationary front this evening. The best chance will be in the Flood Watch area, but some localized heavy downpours cannot be ruled out across far southern Georgia and the Florida counties. For Sunday through Tuesday, the stalled front will linger along the coast, unfortunately. This along with waves of low pressure will continue to yield a threat of localized heavy rainfall and flash flooding in areas that have seen 6 to 12 inches of rain (or more) already. We'll need to monitor for any potential flood watches for coastal areas during the next couple days. On the riverine front, depending on where heavy rainfall sets up over the next several days, rises on area rivers are possible, but probabilities of minor flood are relatively low outside of some of the smaller creeks. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11pm EDT /10pm CDT/ this evening for FLZ112-114. GA...Flood Watch until 8am EDT Sunday for GAZ120>131-142>148. AL...Flood Watch until 7am CDT Sunday for ALZ065>069. GM...None. |
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