Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Tonight...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet This Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Increasing To A Chance After Midnight.|
|Monday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Monday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Tuesday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast In The Afternoon. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Wednesday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast In The Afternoon. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Wednesday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Thursday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Thursday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Friday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.|
|Friday Night...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
808pm EDT Sunday July 3 2022
53pm EDT]... .NEAR TERM [Through Monday]... Showers and thunderstorms will continue to prevail through the afternoon and evening today, especially along and south of I-10. Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected diminish overnight We will be under the influence of upper level ridging as we head into the holiday which will continue the southerly/southwesterly low- level flow that has been driving our daily showers and thunderstorms. Probability of Precipitation will be highest on Monday (around 60%-70%) along and north of I-10 during the afternoon and evening. These showers and thunderstorms pose a risk for heavy downpours, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. Temperatures will be seasonal in the low 90s but the added humidity will have heat indices above 100 degrees. Overnight lows will be in the low 70s.
.SHORT TERM [Monday Night Through Tuesday Night]... Upper level ridging will build across the region during the short term with the center of the ridge north of the CWA. Initial northeast upper level winds will become more easterly. While the ridge builds in across the CWA, the tri-state area will still see showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday. Expect highs in the lower to mid 90s with lows in the mid 70s.
Long Term - Wednesday Through Sunday
The upper level ridge will continue to strengthen across the region on Wednesday and may help to keep Probability of Precipitation slightly below what we have seen the past few days, though still in the 40-60% range. We'll have to monitor this pattern in terms of MCS potential though and that would obviously affect PoPs. The potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue each day and may be enhanced again over the weekend as a trough sweeps across the eastern CONUS. With the upper level ridge in place, high temperatures will trend upward with more locations seeing the mid 90s mid to late week. This may also result in heat indices in the mid to upper 100s, with the higher values across the Big Bend region. Lows will remain in the mid 70s.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected each day with the best chances in the morning hours for convection over the marine area. Winds will be variable over the next few days with speeds around 10 knots or less. Winds may increase to around 15 knots next weekend. Seas will be 2 feet or less through the week.
Moist conditions will continue through Monday, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the area. Winds will generally be light, outside of gusty and erratic winds associated with thunderstorms. Very low dispersion values will be possible across the region Monday and Tuesday afternoon.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected each day this week. While river flooding is not anticipated, localized heavy rain may lead to some areas of isolated flooding, especially in poor drainage and urban areas.
NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.