Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tonight...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers. |
| Monday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers. |
| Monday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 5 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Protected Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Thursday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Protected Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 730pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday Night) Issued at 218pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 Additional rain is moving along the FL Big Bend coast per KLTH WSR-88D associated with an MVC, which shows up nicely on the GOES East Meso 2 1-minute satellite imagery. This will result in an additional swath of rainfall from the FL Big Bend into Southwest GA this evening. Overall, anomalously moist tropical air mass remains in place through Tuesday, as shortwave energy within the southwest flow aloft leads to low pressure development along the Gulf Coast. This supports additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches for most of the area w/ locally higher amounts of up to 6 inches possible, especially the Emerald and Forgotten Coasts through Monday. Another area of concern is over south-central GA where locally heavy rainfall since Friday afternoon has primed the region more so than the rest of our area, so it won’t take as much rain to cause flash flooding. As a result, a Flood Watch remains in effect for most of the area and has been extended through Monday evening. Addt'l widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected w/ localized amounts up to 6 inches possible, especially along the coast of the FL Big Bend and Panhandle. Much of the region is also under a Slight (Level 2 of 4) risk of Excessive Rainfall through Monday. By Tuesday, the focus for rain is expected to shift into the Southeast FL Big Bend. Portions of the FL Panhandle, especially near the coast, are under a Marginal (Level 1 of 5) risk for severe weather through tonight. A brief spin-up waterspout/tornado along the coast cannot be ruled out with low LCLs in place and increasing low-level shear, although a limiting factor will be the lack of instability. Overall, the chance is low, around 2%, but it’s something we’ll monitor, especially with any “mini” supercells. Looking ahead to Monday, it's possible for this low threat to shift to the FL Big Bend coast, so stay tuned. Long Term (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 218pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 The guidance is supporting a much drier forecast from Wednesday through Friday, although the ultimate location of the stalled front will greatly dictate whether we continue to see rain much of the week, with the immediate coast and Southeast FL Big Bend being most at risk. Otherwise, drier conditions filter in behind the front and will allow temperatures to be near to slightly below normal for early to mid October. Developing upper-low over the Southern Plains brings the aforementioned front back north by next weekend, with a a return of tropical moisture and elevated rain chances. Marine Issued at 218pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 Gentle to moderate Southeast breezes continue through Monday, then clock around to the Northwest as a cold front approaches the coastal waters. Scattered to numerous showers and thunder- storms are forecast through midweek as the front stalls over the waters. This may result in locally higher winds and seas, with waterspouts possible. As the pressure gradient tightens and winds clock around to the northeast on Tuesday, there is an increasing probability of fresh breezes, lasting through much of the work week. Fire Weather Issued at 218pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 Little to no fire weather concerns are forecast through early next week. Pockets of low dispersion are forecast on Monday as a cold front brings beneficial rain to the region. Additional widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible, especially along the coast of the FL Big Bend and Panhandle. A much drier air mass with breezy conditions is expected by Wednesday. Hydrology Issued at 218pm EDT Sunday Oct 4 2026 A Flood Watch remains in effect for most of the area and has been extended through Monday evening. Additional widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected with localized amounts up to 6 inches possible, especially along the coast of the Florida Big Bend and Panhandle. The environment remains supportive for high rainfall rates of 2”+ per hour, with poor drainage or urbanized areas most susceptible to flooding. Despite drier antecedent conditions, some rivers could reach Action Stage and some smaller river streams could see minor flooding, particularly basins where localized amounts up to 6 inches occur. Most at risk include portions of the Shoal, Ochlockonee, St. Marks, Withlacoochee, Aucilla, and Chipola Rivers. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...Flood Watch through Monday evening for FLZ007>019-027-108-112- 114-115-118-127-326-426. High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115. GA...Flood Watch through Monday evening for GAZ122>131-142>148- 155>161. AL...Flood Watch through Monday evening for ALZ068-069. GM...None. |
Tallahassee FL Radar
Gulf Radar