Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. |
| Thursday Night...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. |
| Friday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. |
| Friday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. |
| Saturday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Saturday Night...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northeast 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Waves 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Sunday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. |
| Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Monday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Waves 2 To 4 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. |
| Monday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming East 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Waves 2 To 4 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 108am EDT Thu Oct 6 2022 Near Term (Through Thursday) Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 Another shortwave will move into the eastern U.S. overnight helping to reinforce the broad longwave trough over the eastern CONUS. This will keep the dry and pleasant weather in place along the Gulf Coast through Thursday. Overnight temperatures will be slightly warmer than last night, with lows in the lower to mid 50s, still below normal for early October. Highs will reach the mid 80s on Thursday, about right for this time of year. .SHORT TERM... (Thursday night through Friday night) Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 While conditions will remain quiet on most weather fronts to end the week, the main story will be of the fire weather variety. A lack of rainfall over the last 3 to 4 weeks, especially across the western half of our forecast area, has lead to fairly dry conditions along the ground. Upper level cyclonic flow over the southeastern US and west-northwest flow overhead will keep a steady transport of dry mid-level air into the forecast area Thursday evening and into Friday. While low wind speeds will likely keeping us from reaching critical fire weather conditions, the fire danger will likely be elevated on Friday due to the dry conditions on the ground and low relative humidities around 25 to 30% during the warmest part of the day. We advise that folks be extremely careful with any flames, as new fires could easily spread given the dry conditions in place. Please follow the advice of local officials regarding any recommendations they have with respect to outdoor burning. Long Term (Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 Cyclonic upper level flow begins to flatten out through the weekend and into next week as the local area will be situated on the northern periphery of an expanding upper level ridge. At the surface, a weak frontal boundary is expected to slide through on Saturday as surface high pressure translates east across the US. This should lead to an increase in lower level winds over the weekend. A slight reduction in temperatures is possible, but the main concerns will continue to be fire weather. While slightly cooler temps will lead to slightly higher relative humidities on Saturday, the higher winds will likely mean no reduction in fire weather concerns for Saturday. Sustained winds around 5 to 10 mph are expected and occasional gusts up to 15 mph are possible, especially across the Panhandle and southeast Alabama. For the remainder of the weekend and into next week, low level easterly flow begins to take hold as surface high pressure moves east into the Atlantic. No rain is expected but a slight increase in lower level moisture should at least give a small reprieve in fire weather concerns as relative humidity values increase into the middle of next week. Marine Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 Light northerly winds can be expected through the end of the work week with falling seas. A dry cold front will cross the waters Friday night into Saturday morning which will bring an increase in northeast winds and higher seas, especially in offshore zones. Cautionary conditions are likely. By next week, we'll see easterly flow develop, but winds and seas will likely remain at around cautionary levels. Fire Weather Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 Light transport winds over the next couple days will result in low dispersions across parts of the area on Thursday, especially south of I-10. Dispersions should see some improvement by Friday. Fire danger increases heading into late week due to low relative humidity and drying fuels. Minimum relative humidity values will drop into the mid-20s to near 30 Thursday and Friday afternoons. This combined with drying fuels will result in an increased fire danger potential. However, we will fall short of red flag criteria as winds will remain light both days. Hydrology Issued at 357pm EDT Wednesday Oct 5 2022 There are no hydrology concerns through the next week with no rainfall in the forecast. NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. |
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