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Hurricane Center - Atlantic


Tropical Outlook

altantic tropical storm outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Thursday November 30 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season.  Routine issuance of the
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2018.  During the
off-season, Special Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

Forecaster: Jack Beven, National Hurricane Center

For detailed analysis see the Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion.

Sea Temperatures

sea temperatures

sea temperatures north atlantic

sea temperatures south atlantic

Tropical Discussion

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
...CORRECTED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

CORRECTED CARIBBEAN SEA SECTION Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0000 UTC.

Monsoon Trough And Intertropical Convergence Zone - ITCZ
(The ITCZ is also known by sailors as the doldrums)


The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 06N11W, to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues from 04N20W to 01N26W 02N34W, to the Equator along 50W. Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong rainshowers are from 02N to 08N between 11W and 21W. rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 10N southward from 60W eastward.

Discussion: Gulf Of Mexico
An upper level trough is pushing a cold front through the Gulf of Mexico, now passing through the Florida Panhandle, into the N central Gulf waters, into and beyond NE Mexico. Rainshowers are possible to the NW of the 28N80W 23N97W.

A stationary front cuts across Andros Island in the Bahamas, through the Straits of Florida, to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong rainshowers cover inland and coastal areas of Central America, from 13N in Honduras to 21N in the Yucatan Channel between 86W and 96W in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico.

The current cold front will reach the SE Gulf on Saturday, where it will stall and dissipate. High pressure will build in the wake of the front and prevail through Tuesday.

Discussion: Caribbean Sea
A stationary front cuts across Andros Island in the Bahamas, through the Straits of Florida, to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong rainshowers cover inland and coastal areas of Central America, from 13N in Honduras to 21N in the Yucatan Channel between 86W and 96W in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. Isolated moderate rainshowers cover the area from Cuba to 25N between 72W in the Atlantic Ocean and 85W in the Gulf of Mexico.

A NE-to-SW oriented middle level trough extends from the north central Caribbean Sea into the SW corner of the area. Precipitation: Scattered moderate to strong rainshowers cover the area from 05N to 11N between 72W and 78W, mostly in Colombia and possibly a bit in NW Venezuela.

A surface trough is moving through the Mona Passage from 15N to 21N. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 16N to 22N between 64W and 69W.

Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail in the south central Caribbean Sea. Gentle to moderate trade winds are expected elsewhere.

Discussion: Atlantic Ocean
A stationary front passes through 32N69W to Andros Island in the Bahamas, through and beyond the Straits of Florida. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 20N northward from 60W westward.

A central Atlantic Ocean cold front covers the area that is from 22N northward between 44W and 58W. A 1018 mb low pressure center is near 29N49W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate rainshowers are from 22N to 30N between 42W and 47W. rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 20N northward between 30W and 60W.'

The current stationary front will dissipate this evening. A second cold front will move into the northwest waters Fri night, reach from 31N74W to southern Florida Sat night, then slowly dissipate by Sunday morning. A third cold front will push south of 31N Sun. This front will reach from 30N65W to the northern Bahamas Monday night and from 25N65W to the central Bahamas on Tuesday night.

Forecaster: Mike Tichacek, National Hurricane Center

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