Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
8:15AM EDT (1215 UTC) Sun Nov 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

Active and Developing Storms
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area is located near 28N58W. The low continues to produce scattered to numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms over the E semicircle of the low, from 20N to 31N between 38W and 62W. The low is forecast to move generally east-northeastward over the central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed a broad band of near-gale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring in the NE quadrant within 240 nm of the low center. Seas of 8 to 16 ft occurring within the area of gales and convection. Gale-force winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to continue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through Sun.

Monsoon Trough And Intertropical Convergence Zone - ITCZ
(The ITCZ is also known by sailors as the doldrums)
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends SW to 07N19W. The ITCZ extends from 07N19W to 04N51W. Scattered showers prevail along the ITCZ.

...Discussion: Gulf Of Mexico
A stationary front extends from south Florida to 23N90W where it weakens to 25N97W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds are ongoing E of 90W while moderate to fresh ESE winds are W of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 1 to 4 ft basin-wide.

For the forecast, the frontal boundary will weaken today and dissipate by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind the front. High pressure will then build across the area, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu, followed by freshening winds and building seas.

...Discussion: Caribbean Sea
A weak pressure gradient due to the low in the Special Features is supporting moderate or weaker winds and 3 to 4 ft seas basin-wide. Otherwise, a line of scattered heavy showers and tstms is moving across the NE Caribbean to the same low pres system. Scattered showers prevail offshore E Honduras and NE Nicaragua due to a lingering surface trough.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen over the central Caribbean by Tuesday and prevail through the week.

...Discussion: Atlantic Ocean
Please See the Active & Developing Storms section for information on a Gale Warning.

Aside from the low in Special Features, a stationary front extends from 31N72W to 26N80W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds prevail in the vicinity of the front with slight seas. To the E of the Special Features low, a cold front extends from 31N15W to 28N41W where it transitions to a warm front to 32N52W. Scattered moderate convection is ahead of the front N of 20N to the NW coast of Africa. Strong to near gale-force SW winds are ahead of the front where seas are 8 to 12 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the front E of 35W, where seas are 11 to 15 ft. South of the Special Features low, winds are fresh to strong to 20N between 45W and 62W, and seas are rough to 12 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features will continue to move east-northeastward through midweek. An area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 65W through today. Elsewhere, a weakening front over the NW waters will dissipate today.

Forecaster: Evelyn Rivera-Acevedo, National Hurricane Center