Lake Erie - Dunkirk to Buffalo NY Marine Forecast
| Tonight...East Winds 10 Knots Or Less Becoming South. A Chance Of Rain Showers Late. Waves In Ice Free Areas 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Sunday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Northwest. Rain Showers. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 15 Knots. Rain Showers Likely With A Chance Of Snow Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Snow Showers Overnight. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Monday...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming West. Mostly Cloudy In The Morning, Then Becoming Partly Sunny. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Monday Night...Northwest Winds 10 Knots Or Less. Mostly Cloudy In The Evening, Then Clearing. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Tuesday...Southwest Winds 10 Knots Or Less. Partly Cloudy, Then Becoming Mostly Cloudy. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Southeast. A Chance Of Rain And Snow Showers Wednesday Night. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Thursday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming Northwest. Rain Showers Likely With A Chance Of Snow Showers. Waves 1 To 3 Feet. Wave Heights Are For Ice Free Areas. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 205pm EDT Sat Mar 21 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes with this update. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A mix of snow and rain east of Lake Ontario tonight. 2) Widespread rain Sunday, possibly ending as light snow Sunday night. KEY MESSAGE 1...A mix of snow and rain east of Lake Ontario tonight. Clipper low will track along a baroclinic zone orientated NW to SE across the Great Lakes, with the center of the low sliding from the upper Great Lakes tonight to northern New York Sunday. A period of warm advection snow will develop east of Lake Ontario tonight before changing to mainly rain by Sunday morning, as warmer air spreads northward. A brief mix with sleet/freezing rain is possible before the transition to all rain. Snow accumulation should be minor (<2") with latest HREF probabilities showing a 10% to 20% of amounts greater than 2 inches. KEY MESSAGE 2...Widespread rain Sunday, possibly ending as light snow Sunday night. Clipper low slides across New York State Sunday sending a cold front south through the area. This will bring a round of rain to areas south of Lake Ontario. Rainfall amounts generally a tenth to a quarter inch. Colder air filtering in Sunday night may bring a change to all snow, but any accumualations will be very light, with HREF probabilities showing only about 10% for amounts greater than an inch. Marine A clipper low approaching from the northwest will cause easterly winds to increase on Lake Ontario this evening. Northeasterly winds will briefly increase on Lake Erie as well, though small craft headlines are not anticipated. Light to moderate onshore flow will develop on the lower Great Lakes Sunday, with northerly winds further strengthening Sunday night behind a cold front. This may result in a period small craft advisory conditions on Lake Ontario, particularly the eastern end of the lake. Winds become northwesterly and diminish to 15 knots or less Monday. Calmer conditions are expected through mid week. NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NY...None. Marine None. |
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