Marine Weather Net

Lake Erie - Dunkirk to Buffalo NY Marine Forecast


THIS AFTERNOON

E
WINDS
< 10
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NE
WINDS < 10
KNOTS

THURSDAY

VARIABLE
WINDS

THURSDAY NIGHT

N
WINDS
5 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
LEZ041 Forecast Issued: 1004 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026

This Afternoon...East Winds Less Than 10 Knots Becoming North. Sunny. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Tonight...Northeast Winds Less Than 10 Knots. Mainly Clear. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Thursday...Light And Variable Winds Becoming North 5 To 10 Knots. Sunny. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Thursday Night...North Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming East. Becoming Mainly Clear. Waves 1 To 3 Feet.
Friday...East Winds 10 Knots Or Less Becoming Southeast. Mainly Clear. Waves 2 Feet Or Less.
Saturday...South Winds 10 Knots Or Less. Clear. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Sunday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Southwest. Mainly Clear, Then Becoming Partly Cloudy. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
716pm EDT Tuesday Oct 20 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED... Minor changes to the forecast with this update.

.KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry and tranquil weather will prevail through the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry and tranquil weather will prevail through the weekend.

High pressure surface and aloft will remain in place across the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes through Wednesday night, maintaining dry weather and clear skies. Some river valley fog will develop late tonight through Wednesday morning across the Southern Tier, and again late Wednesday night through Thursday morning.

A mid level trough will dig southeast across Quebec Thursday, with an associated cold front moving southeast across the eastern Great Lakes. The majority of the height falls and large scale ascent will be displaced well northeast of the area across Quebec, leaving a weakly forced and moisture starved cold front crossing our region. This front will bring some increase in cloud cover, but will likely move through dry. Cooler air aloft will bring some increase in lake induced instability, but the lack of synoptic scale moisture will likely only support a few lake effect and upslope clouds.

High pressure surface and aloft will build back into the eastern Great Lakes and New England Friday through the weekend with a continuation of dry weather and sunshine.

Marine
Northeast winds will continue to produce a moderate chop on both lakes tonight through early Wednesday morning before diminishing further through the day Wednesday.

Another period of elevated north to northeast winds will develop Thursday through Thursday night behind a weak cold front. Winds and waves may approach Small Craft Advisory criteria for portions of the lower Great Lakes before subsiding Friday afternoon.

NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NY...None.

Marine
None.

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