Lake Erie - Eastern Canadian Waters Marine Forecast
| Winds... Wind Southwest 10 Knots Becoming Light This Evening Then Becoming Southeast 10 Late Overnight. Wind Increasing To Southwest 15 Thursday Morning Then Diminishing To Southwest 10 Thursday Evening. |
| Waves... Waves 0.5 Metres Or Less Building To 0.5 To 1 Near Noon Thursday Then Subsiding To 0.5 Or Less Thursday Evening. |
| Skies... Scattered Showers Overnight And Thursday With A Risk Of Thunderstorms. |
| Friday...Winds Light. |
| Saturday...Winds Northeast 15 Knots Diminishing To Light Late In The Day. |
| Sunday...Winds Light Becoming East 15 Knots Late In The Day. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 735pm EDT Wednesday Jun 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes to the forecast. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Mainly dry through this evening, then increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms late tonight and Thursday. 2) Trending warmer this weekend and into next week. KEY MESSAGE 1...Mainly dry through this evening, then increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms late tonight and Thursday. Fairly dry airmass (PW ~0.75-0.90") still over the region this evening but we will see moisture ramp up (PW ~1.2-1.4")late tonight and Thursday. Given dry airmass...the showers to our east will struggle to produce much of anything, possible a sprinkle but likely just virga. So it's likely we will continue to see dry weather this evening and much of tonight. Expect increasing mid and high cloudiness overnight, with chances for showers late. Lows tonight will be in the 50s to 60s. Weak mid level wave and warm frontal segment will move into the region Thursday morning. Showers will increase ahead of these features from west to east by Thursday morning. Another round of showers and embedded thunderstorms will develop Thursday afternoon/evening with a cold frontal passage. Instability will be initially muted early in the day with coverage of showers and cloud cover, but cloud breaks by afternoon should build at least weak to moderate instability. Marginal shear profiles with 0-6 km bulk shear of 30 to 40 knots could develop an isolated stronger to severe storm with damaging winds the primary hazard. The greatest risk for stronger storms will be across the western Southern Tier. KEY MESSAGE 3...Trending warmer this weekend and into next week. Heigheights will start to build into the Great Lakes this weekend and then shift east into the Northeast CONUS through next week. Temperatures will trend upward by the end of the weekend and early next week with lower humidity. Heat will continue to build through the middle of next week with humidity also increasing, which will bring the potential for heat-related headlines as the risk for dangerous heat indices increases. Marine Light winds and minimal wave action expected on area lakes through tonight. Winds and waves freshen Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front which may produce some chop on area lakes, but still below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Potential for showers and thunderstorms, will bring the risk for localized higher winds and waves. Winds and waves will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria Friday and into the weekend. NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NY...None. Marine None. |