Lake Ontario - Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay including Irondequoit Bay Marine Forecast
| Tonight...West Winds 15 To 20 Knots Becoming Southwest 10 To 15 Knots. Partly Cloudy Early, Then Becoming Mainly Clear. Waves 3 To 5 Feet Subsiding To 1 To 3 Feet. Waves Occasionally Around 6 Feet. |
| Saturday...West Winds 5 To 15 Knots Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots. Sunny. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Saturday Night...Southwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Mainly Clear In The Evening, Then Becoming Mostly Cloudy. Waves 1 To 3 Feet. |
| Sunday...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming West. Showers In The Morning, Then Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. |
| Sunday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots. Showers With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. Waves 1 To 3 Feet Building To 3 To 5 Feet. Waves Occasionally Around 6 Feet. |
| Monday...West Winds 15 To 20 Knots Becoming Southwest 5 To 15 Knots. Partly Cloudy. Waves 3 To 5 Feet Subsiding To 2 Feet Or Less. Waves Occasionally Around 6 Feet. |
| Tuesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming South. A Chance Of Showers Tuesday Night. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. |
| Wednesday...South Winds 5 To 15 Knots. A Chance Of Showers During The Day, Then Showers Likely Wednesday Night. Waves 2 Feet Or Less. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. The Water Temperature Off Rochester Is 54 Degrees. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 803pm EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes made to the forecast. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Fair weather through Saturday night, then showers and thunderstorms return Sunday with at least some risk for a few strong to severe storms. KEY MESSAGE 1...Fair weather through Saturday night, then showers and thunderstorms return Sunday with at least some risk for a few strong to severe storms. High pressure building eastward across the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians will provide us with fair dry weather through Saturday night. Things will then deteriorate on Sunday as the next potent shortwave trough rounds the base of a mid-level low near James Bay and passes across the eastern Great Lakes...with an associated surface low making its way from the central Great Lakes to the Saint Lawrence Valley. In the process...this latter feature will swing its trailing cold front across our region...with favorable moisture return (PWATs (Precipitable Waters) climbing to 1.5-1.75 inches) out ahead of the front combining with forcing from the front/surface wave...DCVA/height falls aloft...and favorable upper jet coupling to generate a round of widespread showers and thunderstorms. While a current multi-model consensus still tends to favors an earlier frontal timing that would keep instability levels weak to modest and therefore less favorable for strong storms...some individual model runs continue to portray a somewhat slower frontal passage...which would in turn allow for greater amounts of instability to develop. Were this to be realized...the strong forcing and presence of a 40-60 knots of deep-layer bulk shear (significantly more than what was in place across our region during Thursday) could present a risk for at least a few strong to severe thunderstorms...with strong/damaging wind gusts the primary risk. This potential is captured by SPC's latest Day 3 Convective Outlook which places our entire area within a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe storms...with the greatest risk found inland from the lakes. Marine Moderately brisk westerlies to southwesterlies early this evening will relax some tonight and Saturday...though speeds of 10-15 knots may still produce some choppy conditions at times. Southwest winds will eventually turn westerly later Sunday/Sunday night following the passage of a cold front. Speeds near 20 knots on Lake Ontario may bring a period of small craft headlines, especially on the eastern end. The frontal passage on Sunday will also help to generate widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms...with some of the storms possibly producing locally higher winds and waves. NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories NY...Beach Hazards Statement until 10pm EDT this evening for NYZ005>007. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 10pm EDT this evening for LOZ044- 045. |
Cities 
Tides 
This Coastal Forecast 
Buffalo NY Radar
Northeast Radar