Marine Weather Net

Lake Ontario - Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay including Irondequoit Bay Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

W
WINDS
5 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

N
WINDS
5 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

NW
WINDS
5 - 15
KNOTS

THURSDAY

N
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
LOZ043 Forecast Issued: 951 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

Rest Of Tonight...West Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming Northwest. Showers Likely Late This Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. Waves 2 To 4 Feet Subsiding To 1 To 3 Feet.
Wednesday...North Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming Northwest. Becoming Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 To 2 Feet.
Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 15 Knots Becoming North. Mainly Clear In The Evening, Then Becoming Partly Cloudy. Waves 1 To 2 Feet.
Thursday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots Becoming Northwest. Sunny. Waves 1 To 2 Feet.
Thursday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming Northwest. Mainly Clear. Waves 1 To 2 Feet.
Friday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots Becoming West. Mainly Clear. Waves 2 Feet Or Less.
Saturday...West Winds 10 Knots Or Less Becoming Southeast. Partly Cloudy, Then Becoming Mostly Cloudy. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Sunday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Partly To Mostly Cloudy. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. The Water Temperature Off Rochester Is 50 Degrees, And The Central Lake Ontario Buoy Water Temperature Is 56 Degrees.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1030pm EDT Tuesday May 28 2024

Synopsis
Showers will decrease in coverage across western and north central NY overnight. Showers and a few thunderstorms are possible across western NY Wednesday. Dry weather will return Thursday into the weekend. We can also expect a day to day warming trend.

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6pm WEDNESDAY EVENING/... Regional radar shows an area of light rain across far western NY and scattered showers across the remainder of the eastern Great Lakes region late this evening. There are decaying thunderstorms on the leading edge of the heavy rain across eastern Lake Erie into Chautauqua county. This activity will continue to move south and weaken tonight.

A shortwave trough will move east and exit the region tonight. With dwindling support shower activity will wind down. We will remain overcast though with temperatures settling into the low to mid 50s.

While the base of the longwave trough will remain centered over our region on Wednesday...shortwaves moving through the deep cyclonic flow should largely track by to our south. A weak secondary cold front will stall across Pennsylvania at that time as well...so the only organized shower activity for our area will be over the western Southern Tier. Otherwise...partial clearing will be found further to the north...particularly east of Lake Ontario. Unfortunately...high temperatures will once again only in the 60s.

.SHORT TERM /6pm WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/... Mid-level trough axis will sweep across the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday night through Thursday. Despite the trough overhead, departing low pressure and surface cold front across the southern Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic coast line Wednesday night, will give way Thursday to surface high pressure gradually building east into the eastern Great Lakes. Surface high pressure will then reside across the area through Saturday.

Given the weather pattern, dry weather will persist from Wednesday night through Saturday. In addition to the dry weather, temperatures will start off on the chillier side for the end of May with lows Wednesday and Thursday nigheights bottoming out in the 40s with a few upper 30s possible across the higher terrain of the Western Southern Tier and the eastern Lake Ontario region. With the exit of the mid- level trough, temperatures will gradually warm by the end of the week. Highs by Saturday will range in the 70s, with the warmer readings occuring across the Lake Plains and the Genesee Valley.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A broad upper level ridge and surface high pressure will shift east of the region through the back half of the weekend. While this should allow for generally quiet and rain-free weather to persist across the eastern Great Lakes, confidence is low in how quickly the ridge breaks down. Depending on how this longwave pattern evolves, some weak shortwave energy and a small uptick and moisture could sneak in from the west and bring a few showers or thunderstorms to the region Saturday night through Monday, though chances remain low (15-30%). More potent shortwave energy and deeper moisture is expected to move into the Great Lakes region moving further into the workweek, which will bring greater chances for more widespread precipitation by Tuesday.

With high pressure ridging moving towards and away from the East Coast leading to a gentle prevailing southerly flow, temperatures will continue to see a day-to-day warming trend this period. High temperatures moving into the first week of June are expected to be mainly in the 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 50s and 60s.

Marine
Winds and waves will continue to diminish on the waters this evening. A north to northwest breeze late tonight into Wednesday will produce some modest chop on both lakes.

NOAA Buffalo NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NY...None.

Marine
None.

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