Florence OR to Point St. George between 60 and 150 NM Offshore Forecast
| Tonight...N To Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. Scattered Showers. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 8 To 10 Ft. |
| Sun Night...N To Nw Winds 15 To 25 Kt. Seas 9 To 11 Ft. Scattered Showers. |
| Mon...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 9 To 14 Ft. Scattered Showers. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 9 To 14 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 7 To 13 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 9 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N To Nw 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N To Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Thu...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Thu Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 205pm PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 The upper level low has opened up and passed overhead, and is now moving to the east. An impulse dropping down on the back side of the tough, along with persistent onshore flow in the low levels, is producing some light shower activity across the region this afternoon. Most of these showers are currently resulting from some upslope flow along the western slopes of the Cascades and the north slopes of the Siskiyous. Most of the activity will stay along and west of the Cascades through tonight, but some showers could make it to the East Side at times. The next system arrives Sunday into Monday as a trough digs south along the Pacific Northwest coast from British Columbia, then turns back into the California coast near San Francisco Monday night into Tuesday morning. Precipitation intensity will pick up again along the coast and into the Umpqua Basin Sunday, then spread to the rest of the area Sunday night into Monday morning, before tapering off Monday afternoon. Guidance shows a band of heavier precipitation forming up somewhere between the coast and the Cascades Monday morning, but the exact location varies depending on the track of the low across the various models. Areas outside the band will see lighter rain totals, but another round of wetting rains is expected for all of the forecast area. Much of the area will dry out on the back side of the low Tuesday, but precipitation chances will linger over Siskiyou and Modoc counties, as well as far southern Klamath and Lake counties through Tuesday afternoon and early Wednesday as the circulation around the low pumps more moisture into those regions. Areas to the west of the Cascades are likely to remain dry, as the east winds produce downsloping effects from the Cascades. Throughout this time, temperatures will remain below normal for this time of year, and snow levels will lower from roughly 6000 ft this afternoon to about 5000 ft tonight, then after a brief rise through the day Saturday, will lower to 5000 ft again Saturday night. The same cycle repeats yet again Sunday into Sunday night. This will be the lowest snow levels so far this season, and will result in snow over the area peaks and our higher mountain passes. However, as this is expected during periods of more showery precipitation, and the ground remains somewhat warm, accumulations of only a couple of inches is forecast with little in the way of travel impacts. Higher elevations, such as Crater Lake National Park rim drive at over 7000 feet, will see heavier snows of up to a foot total through Monday evening, but are much more likely to stay at or below 6 inches. Otherwise, only a dusting to an inch of snow is expected for the higher terrain of the East Side. This low will finally push off to the east Wednesday, and upper level ridging will attempt to build into the area from the west, drying things out and allowing for some more seasonable temperatures. Models still diverge quite a bit for the latter half of the week, but are overall trending drier and warmer, aside from some sporadic shower chances as weak shortwaves attempt to push in on the ridge overhead. Most guidance keeps the seasonable temperatures and dry conditions in place until a larger trough and associated surface front potentially arrive late in the weekend. -BPN Marine Updated 200pm PDT Saturday, October 11, 2025...Low pressure will push inland tonight, though onshore flow will maintain a few showers through this evening. Northwesterly swell will continue to build into the waters tonight and will be steep enough to bring small craft advisory conditions across the northern waters and also beyond 10 NM from shore south of Cape Blanco. Another low pressure system will move in late Sunday and last into Monday evening. Similar to the last low, this one will bring widespread showers and a chance of thunderstorms. We expect stronger north winds to accompany this system, which will maintain steep seas, especially over the outer waters through Tuesday. Lighter winds and lower seas should return on Wednesday. -Spilde NOAA Medford OR Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories OR...None. CA...None. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 11pm this evening to 11pm PDT Sunday for PZZ350-370-376. |
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