Florence OR to Point St. George between 60 and 150 NM Offshore Forecast
| Tonight...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 9 To 11 Ft. |
| Sun...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 9 To 12 Ft. |
| Sun Night...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 8 To 12 Ft. |
| Mon...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 5 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To Less Than 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 5 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 6 To 7 Ft. |
| Thu...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt, Becoming 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 7 Ft. |
| Thu Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 143pm PDT Sat Oct 10 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Cooler, near to slightly below normal temperatures this weekend and into Monday. * Frost and freeze conditions in valleys west of the Cascades tonight into Sunday morning and again Sunday night into Monday morning. * Temperatures trend warmer Tuesday through Friday as high pressure builds, peaking at about 5 to 10 degrees above normal late in the week. * No significant chances for precipitation over the next week. Much cooler conditions begin today area wide with high temperatures about 10-20 degrees F lower than yesterday. This means highs in the 50s to low 60s over the East Side and largely 60-70F west of the Cascades. A few areas of clouds persist this afternoon, but the area on average is seeing mostly sunny skies. While most areas will likely remain dry, it's conceivable there's an isolated shower or two along the coast or over the coastal waters today. The front has slowed considerably, almost fully stalled, over far SE Oregon and NE California this afternoon, with a deep upper trough digging into eastern Washington and NE Oregon. Again, most locations will remain dry, but we can't rule out isolated showers from around the Mt. Shasta region over to around the Warner mountains during this time period. Subsidence on the back side of the upper trough should lead to clearing over most western valleys tonight with good radiational cooling. Many areas will drop into the low to mid 30s with frost/freezing conditions, so frost/freeze headlines are up. It's getting late in the season, so harvest what you can if you still have the backyard garden going. On Sunday, the trough will elongate and stretch from NE California up into northern Idaho. Most of our forecast area will remain on the west side of the trough, and thus, the dry side. We still can't rule out an isolated shower or two over far SE sections, but that's about it. Breezy N-NE winds develop, especially in the afternoon/evening with peak gusts in the 20-30 mph range. Winds die off Sunday evening and good radiational cooling is expected again Sunday night. With lower dew points and a drier air mass, temperatures will probably be a touch lower than tonight. As such, the Freeze Watch has been upgraded to a Freeze Warning for the western valleys of NorCal as well as Jackson/Josephine counties. Frost is also increasingly possible in portions of the Umpqua Basin, so a Frost Advisory has been issued for that area Sunday night into Monday morning. The upper trough/low just hangs out moving to around NW Nevada on Monday, then finally pivoting across Nevada Monday night and into Utah on Tuesday. The cool weather pattern will continue into Monday, but high pressure will build Tuesday through Friday and this will result in a decided warming trend. It won't be hot like last week, but with the ridge axis overhead by Thu/Fri, it'll be warm for mid-October with forecast high temperatures of 80-85F for west side valleys. Models then show a fizzling front pushing toward the coast Saturday. Not much confidence this system will make much (if any) impact on area weather, though a slight cool down is possible next weekend. Marine Updated 1230pm PDT Saturday, October 10, 2026...The passing cold front has disrupted the thermal trough today. Winds and seas will diminish very slightly and for a brief time today before the thermal trough re-stregnthens tonight into Sunday morning. As a result, gusty north winds and steep to very steep wind-driven seas will persist through Sunday night. Winds will be strongest and seas will be highest south of Port Orford. Occasional gale force gusts (up to 40 kt) are possible just offshore of Brookings this afternoon/ evening and again south of Gold Beach on Sunday afternoon/evening. Winds and seas begin to subside Monday, but steep seas are likely to continue into Monday night. Further improvement is likely to follow. Guidance continues to depict the arrival of the first west-northwest long period swell of the season this weekend. While the high energy swell is not expected to exceed 6 feet, the arriving swell of 1 foot at 27 seconds today will build to a peak at around 6 feet at 20 to 22 seconds later Sunday. This could produce dangerous bar conditions, heavier than normal surf, and abnormal currents. Swell will then very slowly diminish Monday into Tuesday, continuing at 4 to 6 ft while period lowers to 14 seconds. -Spilde .BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 1230pm PDT Saturday, October 10, 2026... The first long period swell of the season arrives today. The west- northwest swell (around 1-2 feet) will move into the southern Oregon waters this afternoon/evening with a period over 25 seconds. Swell will then build through Sunday, peaking Sunday afternoon and evening at around 5 to 6 feet at 19 seconds. This very long period swell will result in a heightened risk for sneaker waves and wave run-ups of unusual size through Monday evening. While the threat for sneaker waves will be persistent throughout Sunday and Monday, the highest risk is expected during periods of incoming tides. High tides along the southern Oregon coast are expected roughly around noon to 1pm PDT, and again around Midnight to 1am PDT. If visiting the coast Sunday or Monday, stay vigilant for incoming waves. Stay far away from the surf zone and never turn your back to the ocean. NOAA Medford OR Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories OR...Freeze Warning from 2am to 8am PDT Sunday for ORZ024-026. Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Monday afternoon for ORZ021-022. Frost Advisory from 2am to 9am PDT Monday for ORZ023-024-026. CA...Freeze Warning from 2am to 8am PDT Sunday for CAZ080>082. PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11pm PDT Monday for PZZ350-356-370. Hazardous Seas Warning until 11pm PDT Monday for PZZ356-376. |
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