Point Arena to Pigeon Point between 150 and 250 NM Offshore Forecast
| Tonight...S To Sw Winds 5 To 15 Kt, Becoming S 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 8 To 13 Ft. |
| Sat...S To Sw Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 7 To 11 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. |
| Sun...Sw Winds 15 To 25 Kt, Becoming N To Nw 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. Slight Chance Of Rain. |
| Sun Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 8 To 10 Ft. |
| Mon...N To Ne Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 9 To 10 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 8 To 10 Ft. |
| Tue...N To Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 7 To 9 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 9 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 8 To 9 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 502pm PST Fri Feb 6 2026 .SHORT TERM... Issued at 146pm PST Fri Feb 6 2026 (This evening through Saturday) It's another Chamber of Commerce weather day across the central Cali coast with sunny skies and widespread temperatures in the 60s. However, the thin layer of stratocu that developed along the Big Sur coast is a sign of potential trouble for tonight. This is this sign of a bit of a marine layer working back on to the mainland. RAP Bufkit soundings highlight around a 1000 foot deep moist layer developing tonight, which means valley stratus and fog will become problematic. HREF/REFS are showing lower visibilities with fog developing for most of the major valleys in the region, with dense fog developing up through Salinas, the southern Bay into San Franciso Bay itself and up in the valleys of Napa and especially Sonoma county. This may lead to some fog/low stratus issues Saturday morning at all Bay area airports. For the rest of Saturday, we'll spend the morning burning off what fog/stratus we end up with, with another stellar afternoon of weather expected across the Bay area and central coast. Long Term Issued at 146pm PST Fri Feb 6 2026 (Saturday night through next Thursday) The big story for the long term is the much anticipated(?) pattern shift at the end of the period, with a western trough developing next weekend. Before that large scale pattern shift settles in, there will be a couple of blips to watch out for, late Sunday through Sunday night and Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The first trough that we see finally starting to beat down the ridge comes Sunday. This will be heading for Washington and Oregon though, with central California seeing a weakly forced plume of moisture moving south along the coast Sunday through Sunday night. EPS Quantitative Precipitation Forecast probabilities barely bring precipitation probabilities into northern Sonoma and Napa counties, so we continued to trim the southern extent of Probability of Precipitation across the Bay area Sunday night from the NBM. In the end, this looks to be a cloud and sprinkle maker, but not much more than that in the MTR area. Tuesday, a deeper trough starts working down the west coast. We'll see stronger onshore flow develop with this trough, with deeper moisture moving into California. Precip chances from the NBM Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night remain in the 40-60% range. A look at the individual members of the EPS for SFO, still shows about a 60/40 split between wet/dry members at SFO, so it's still not a lock that we see rainfall at some of the rain shadowed locations midweek. Even if we get rain, amounts still look light with up to 0.5" on the coastal ranges. Behind this wave, we see another ridge build in across California Thursday/Friday out ahead of the deepening trough over the northeast Pac. This ridge will dry us out and bring some sunny skies again for Thursday and Friday, giving us one more break before the deep troughing arrives. When that deep troughing gets here, we'll see an uptick in rainfall for the second half of next weekend that will continue into the following week. Also happening mid-February with the trough moving (week of 2/16) is freezing levels will be dropping, with snow levels starting to move down as well. At this point, it doesn't look like freezing levels will be low enough to significantly impact higher elevations in the MTR area, but those that are hoping to just see snow in western mountains somewhere, there is hope for you with the current outlooks in mid-February! Marine (Tonight through next Wednesday) Issued at 343pm PST Fri Feb 6 2026 A light northwest wind will increase and become more northerly this evening into Saturday. Northerly winds will increase in the Northern Monterey Bay on Saturday morning, with seas then diminishing into Saturday evening. A cold front moves southeastward over the coastal waters and bays gradually during the day Sunday and Sunday night, resulting in an increase in north-northwesterly winds Monday and Tuesday. Beaches Issued at 247am PST Fri Feb 6 2026 A High Surf Advisory will be in effect beginning 4am PST today at all Pacific Coast beaches, the High Surf Advisory continues through 9pm Saturday. Westerly swell will bring an increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with breaking waves 17 to 22 feet. Remember to stay off of jetties, piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure, remain out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean! NOAA San Francisco Bay Area Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...High Surf Advisory until 9pm PST Saturday for CAZ006-505-509- 529-530. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3am PST Saturday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm. Small Craft Advisory until 9am PST Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm. x.com/nwsbayarea |
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