Point Piedras Blancas to Santa Cruz Island CA between 150 and 250 NM Offshore Forecast
| Today...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W To Sw 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. |
| Tonight...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 7 Ft. |
| Mon...W To Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N To Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt, Becoming 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 6 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 15 To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 8 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 6 To 10 Ft. |
| Thu...N Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 8 To 13 Ft. |
| Thu Night...N Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 10 To 14 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 1044pm PST Sat Feb 28 2026 Synopsis 28/817 PM. Steady cooling trend through Monday with some low clouds and dense fog developing. Gusty west to north winds will form Sunday Night through early Tuesday. Widespread moderate to locally strong winds west to north winds likely Wednesday and Thursday with possible showers over the mountains. Short Term - Saturday through Tuesday 28/816 PM. Surface pressure gradients turned weakly onshore and that brought some cooling to coastal and valley areas, but still many 80 to 90 degree readings across the district. In fact, several record highs occurred today including land Hills at 90 degrees, Lancaster at 84 degrees, Palmdale at 82 degrees, and Sandberg at 73 degrees. In addition, we had a couple locations tie for record high including Paso Robles at 82 degrees and Burbank at 87 degrees. As pressure gradients continue to trend onshore and we see the upper level ridge break down, looking for steady cooling Sunday into Monday. Slight warming likely to follow on Tuesday. The cooling will be enhanced on Monday by a weak low pressure system that will take an inside slider path Monday into Tuesday. While there might be a few light rain showers on the north slopes, this system will make it biggest impression through winds. Look for west to northwest winds Sunday Night into early Monday focused over the coastal, mountains and desert areas. Most areas should stay below Wind Advisory levels, except possibly southwest Santa Barbara County. The winds increase during the day and evening on Monday as they shift to more northerly. A few localized Wind Advisories are possible. The winds will weaken on Tuesday as they turn northeasterly. With the flow trending onshore after a very warm and dry spell, we will expect a low and strong marine inversion to form, making conditions more favorable for some patchy dense fog developing later tonight into Sunday morning, potentially requiring a dense fog advisory. Exactly where it forms one the first day is always one of the hardest things to predict in this business, but the highest chances are on the Central Coast and southern Los Angeles County. Low clouds and fog will likely expand on Monday, but with a weak inversion from the passing low pressure system, any clouds may not be very organized or blanketing. The winds should help decrease any coverage Monday Night into Tuesday. Long Term - Wednesday through Saturday 28/105 PM. Another inside slider system will dive through California Wednesday Night through Tuesday. This system has more energy than the Monday system and thus a higher potential for widespread impactful winds, but it also has more uncertainty. As usual, the exact path of this system will determine a few key details. If it takes a bit more of a westerly track over eastern California (like the 12Z ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) show and about half of the ensembles) the winds will be more localized and light showers will be more common over the mountains and maybe even eastern LA County. If it stays more to the east (like the 12Z GFS (Global Forecast System) and the other half of the ensembles) then winds will be more widespread and any showers will be confined to the Kern/Ventura County borders. With that said, either scenario will bring at least moderate winds to the coastal waters and the mountains - with hazardous seas, roads, and potential for downed trees and power outages. If the windier solution plays out, then those concerns will be enhanced and spread out over a larger area which includes many coastal and some valley areas. Regardless of which scenario plays out, temperatures will remain fairly steady and hover slightly above normal. Low clouds and fog will likely be minimal. After Thursday, most of the projections have the low retrograding back towards southern California to close the week. While there is still a range of outcomes, one scenario does bring rather strong northeast (offshore) winds to the region. Marine 28/1038 PM. For the Outer Waters, current forecast looks on track with ongoing Small Craft Advisory level winds focused around Point Conception and southward. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds should become more widespread Monday, and somewhat stronger, resulting in a moderate chance (30-40%) of Gale Force wind gusts near the Channel islands during the afternoon and evening. Winds will strengthen significantly bringing very hazardous conditions Wednesday into Friday morning. There is a likely chance (60-70%) of GALES during this timeframe. For the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, conditions will remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels through at least Sunday morning. There is a 30% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level NW winds that afternoon and evening. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds are very likely (60-90%) Monday thru at least Thursday. There is a moderate chance (30-40%) for GALES Wednesday/Thursday. For the inner waters south of Point Conception, good confidence in SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level W of 20-25 kt becoming widespread across the channel by Sunday afternoon, lasting through the evening. There is a moderate chance (30-40%) of GALE Force wind gusts across western/southern portions Monday afternoon and evening. Reduction of winds to possible sub- SCA (Small Craft Advisory) is possible Tuesday morning. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds will likely stay confined to western portions through early Wednesday morning. Thereafter through Friday morning SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds are likely across most if not all of the channel. There is a moderate chance (30%) for GALES across western/southern portions during this timeframe. Moderate chances for SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions across at least western portions of PZZ655 Sunday and Monday, & possible more widespread on Thursday. A lull below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels looks likely Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...NONE. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from noon Sunday to 3am PST Monday for zone 650. Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3pm Sunday to 3am PST Monday for zone 655. Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3am PST Monday for zones 673-676. |
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