Point Piedras Blancas to Santa Cruz Island CA between 150 and 250 NM Offshore Forecast
| Today...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Tonight...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Sat...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Sat Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. |
| Sun...N To Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. |
| Mon...N To Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N To Nw 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 411am PDT Fri August 14 2026 Synopsis 14/1248 AM. Much cooler than normal temperatures will gradually to near normal early next week, with night through morning marine layer clouds shrinking in coverage each day. Short Term - Today through Sunday 14/1248 AM. The weak troughing along the West Coast has indeed brought much cooler than mid-August normal temperatures to Southwest California. A large area of high pressure will begin to build further west, slowly but steadily increasing 500 mb heigheights over Southwest California. In conjunction with weakening onshore flow, temperatures will begin to rise each day. Although we will see the gradual warming trend kicking off today, temperatures are still forecast to remain below seasonal normals through the weekend. The very deep marine layer has yet again spread all the way into interior SLO and Santa Barbara Counties, and it will continue to move deeper in the the valleys south of Point Conception. In fact, clouds are already making their way into Santa Clarita Valley. The marine layer depth and thus extent of inland coverage will decrease each day due to the increasing 500 mb heigheights and weakening onshore flow, and likely only the coasts and some lower valleys will see marine layer clouds come Sunday. The absence of morning low cloud coverage will also help accelerate the warming over the valleys, while coastal areas will see the smallest warming. Due to the position of the trough, morning drizzle is possible through the weekend, as is afternoon mountain convection (10% chance). The atmosphere has lost a lot of its juice in terms of available mositure, so we will most likely just see a few cumulus buildups. Long Term - Monday through Thursday 14/1248 AM. A fairly benign pattern will continue through the forecast period, although high temperatures will continue to warm to near seasonal normals by mid-week and the large ridge of high pressure builds further west until it eventually centers across the Southwestern US. Any night through morning low clouds and fog should become confined to the coast by Monday. While there is good agreement amongst models through Wednesday, beginning Thursday there becomes more disagreement in how the pattern will evolve into the weekend. Some ensemble members suggest the ridging to continue and potentially intensify, while others favor a troughing pattern moving in and pushing the ridge to the east. A northerly surface pressure gradient is forecast to develop early next week, likely bringing gusty northerly winds across southern Santa Barbara County and through the Interstate 5 Corridor. Advisory level Sundowner winds could develop during this time, but there is some uncertainty in the timing and the actual strength of the winds. Marine 13/809 PM. High confidence that conditions will remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) criteria across all coastal waters through Saturday morning. There is a 30-50% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds across the outer waters and the western portion of the inner waters starting Saturday afternoon, with the highest chances for the waters south of Point Conception and the Santa Barbara Channel during the afternoon/evening hours. Chances increase Sunday afternoon, and at least SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conds will continue through mid-week. Gusts of 30-35 kt will be possible starting Monday, with highest likelihood around Point Conception. Seas may approach 10 ft across portions of the Outer Waters Tuesday and Wednesday. NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...NONE. PZ...NONE. |
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