Point Piedras Blancas to Santa Cruz Island CA between 60 and 150 NM Offshore Forecast
| Today...Nw Winds 5 To 15 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft. |
| Tonight...W To Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. |
| Mon Night...Nw Winds 10 To 20 Kt. Seas 5 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue...N To Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 7 Ft. |
| Tue Night...N To Nw Winds 15 To 25 Kt. Seas 5 To 8 Ft. |
| Wed...N Winds 15 To 25 Kt. Seas 5 To 9 Ft. |
| Wed Night...N Winds 20 To 30 Kt. Seas 7 To 12 Ft. |
| Thu...N Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 10 To 14 Ft. |
| Thu Night...N Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 12 To 14 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 337am PST Sunday Mar 1 2026 Synopsis 01/259 AM. Steady cooling trend through Monday with some low clouds and dense fog developing. Gusty west to north winds will form this afternoon and continue through early Tuesday. Widespread moderate to locally strong winds northwest to northeast likely Wednesday through Saturday, with possible showers over the mountains. Short Term - Today through Tuesday ...01/259 AM. At upper levels, a trough will swing through California fairly quickly today, moving east out of California by Monday evening. This trough will help facilitate a fairly dramatic cooldown region- wide, with further cooling occurring Monday as the trough moves through the state. By Monday, high temperatures in the high 60’s to mid 70’s will be common across Southwest California. As the trough swings through Monday, southwest flow will turn sharply northwest, save for localized northeast winds across Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo interior mountains. There may be some light precipitation on the north slopes of northern Los Angeles and Ventura County at the border of Kern County with the upslope flow. Then fairly weak offshore flow, with some localized areas of 25-35 mph, will take over on Tuesday as the trough begins to weaken near the Rockies. Offshore flow combined with a weak Probability of Precipitation up ridge will contribute to a few to several degrees of warming, with the San Fernando Valley potentially touching the low 80’s again. A wind advisory for Sundowner Winds has been issued for this evening through early Tuesday morning for southwestern Santa Barbara County. A brief lull in the winds is likely Monday morning through early afternoon, but localized gusts to 45 mph may still occur during this period. While winds across the Antelope Valley and adjacent foothills do not look like they will reach advisory levels today, there is a moderate chance that the northwest to northeast flow Monday will be strong enough to warrant widespread wind advisories through at least late Monday night across northern Los Angeles County (including the Antelope Valley & adjacent foothills), northern Ventura County Mountains, as well as the eastern Santa Ynez and interior mountains of Santa Barbara County. A dense fog advisory has been issued for the Central Coast through later this morning as the shallow marine inversion is keeping the newly formed marine layer at the surface, producing visibility less than ¼ mile. While low clouds and fog are forecast to expand to Los Angeles County through later this morning, confidence is fairly low in where, when, and even if (they develop). A more expansive blanket of low clouds will likely return with higher ceilings and thus visibility as the trough and onshore flow will work to lift the clouds higher. Marine layer clouds will likely breach the skies of coastal valleys tonight into Monday morning. Long Term - Wednesday through Saturday 01/259 AM. Although the synoptic picture remains fairly complex, there is much better agreement now between the EC and the GFS. A trough will swing into the West Coast on Wednesday, moving east into the Great Basin by Thursday. After stalling over the Western CONUS, the trough begins to detach itself from the main upper level flow, cutting off and swinging to the southwest into SoCal late Friday into Saturday. Northerly winds will begin to increase and become widespread through the day on Wednesday, with advisory level winds looking likely at this point, especially across higher elevations. There is even a low risk for high elevation warning level winds late Wednesday into Thursday. Northerly winds will strengthen come Friday as the upper low detaches and moves across SoCal. Winds will peak sometime Friday through Saturday as upper level support lines up well with the surface level winds, allowing for winds to mix down to the surface. While widespread advisory level winds appear likely at this point–even at low elevations, higher terrain areas are at risk for damaging, warning level winds. This system is quite moisture starved (PWATs (Precipitable Waters) less than ⅓ inch), so any significant precipitation looks highly unlikely at this point. However, PWATs (Precipitable Waters) are forecast to increase to around ¾ of an inch late next weekend into the early second week of March as the upper low siphons some moisture from the south. Still, however, most ensemble members are dry or show very inconsequential precipitation totals. Their AI counterparts have pretty solid agreement with each other, but they both differ slightly from the non AI versions. In this case, the AI models keep the low more to the south and east, which would result in weaker winds. Time will tell whether the legacy or new-age models perform better in this scenario. Marine 01/336 AM. Moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. High confidence in the sea forecast through Monday, then moderate confidence thereafter. Moderate to high confidence in the wind forecast through the period with higher confidence in the winds for southern waters versus the northern waters through Monday. For the waters from near Point Sal south to San Nicolas Island and west of the Channel Islands, there is a 60-70 percent chance of Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds this morning, increasing to 70-90 percent chance by this afternoon. Widespread SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds are expected from this evening into early Tuesday with an 80-100 percent chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions. There is a high to likely (50-60 percent) chance of GALES on Monday and Monday night. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds are likely (60-70 percent) between Tuesday and Wednesday morning, then there is a imminent (80-90 percent) chance of widespread SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions with a high (45-55 percent) chance of GALES between Wednesday night and Friday. There is a low (15-20 percent) chance of STORM FORCE wind gusts during the afternoon and evening hours Wednesday and Thursday. For the waters northwest of Point Sal and the nearshore waters along the Central Coast, there is a low to moderate (20-40 percent) chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds through Monday morning, then there is a high to likely (50-70 percent) chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levelfrom Monday afternoon through Tuesday, highest for the nearshore portions. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds are likely (55-65 percent) between Tuesday and Wednesday morning, then there is a imminent (75-85 percent) chance of widespread SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions with a high (45-55 percent) chance of GALES between Wednesday night and Friday. There is a very low (10-15 percent) chance of STORM FORCE wind gusts during the afternoon and evening hours Wednesday and Thursday. Inside the southern California bight, there is a low to moderate (20-40 percent) chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds this morning, highest across the western portions. Then, there is a likely (60-70 percent) chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds developing between this afternoon and Monday night. Winds will likely diminish below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels between Tuesday and Wednesday morning, then there is a likely (60-70 percent) chance of widespread SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions with a high to likely (50-60 percent) chance of GALES between Wednesday night and Friday. NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CA...Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect until 10am PST this morning for zones 340-341-346-347. Wind Advisory now in effect from 6pm this evening to 3 AM PST Tuesday for zones 349-351. PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from noon Monday to 3am PST Tuesday for zone 645. Small Craft Advisory in effect from noon today to 3pm PST Monday for zone 650. Gale Watch in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night for zones 650-673-676. Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3pm this afternoon to 3 am PST Tuesday for zone 655. Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3pm Monday to 3am PST Tuesday for zone 670. Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3pm PST Monday for zones 673-676. |
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