Lake Okeechobee Marine Forecast
|Today...N Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Tonight...N Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To Around 20 Kt. Lake Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Sat...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Lake Waters A Moderate Chop.|
|Sat Night...E Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Lake Waters A Light Chop.|
|Sun...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Lake Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.|
|Sun Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Lake Waters A Light Chop.|
|Mon...S Se Winds Around 5 Kt. Lake Waters Smooth.|
|Mon Night...Se Winds Around 5 Kt. Lake Waters Smooth.|
|Tue...E Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Lake Waters A Light Chop.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Miami FL
329am EST Fri Jan 27 2023
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM,
EACHES... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 323am EST Fri Jan 27 2023
A seasonably cool northerly wind has settled across South Florida in the wake of the cold front which passed through the area yesterday and currently over the Straits of Florida. Plenty of moisture just above the surface is streaming NE across South Florida from the Gulf of Mexico, causing mostly cloudy skies along with a few light showers across a good portion of our area early this morning. Expect this overall pattern to remain in place today as the shallow cold air advection is overrun by low/mid-level moisture associated with weak 700-500 mb disturbances moving across the region. Light precipitation will be possible, but amounts are expected to be very light.
Surface high pressure over the SE U.S. will slide east tonight while the front stalls over the lower Straits. Surface winds are expected to become NE late tonight and Saturday, and lead to a few showers moving onshore the east coast metro areas mainly south of West Palm Beach. High-res model guidance is a bit aggressive in increasing Probability of Precipitation over the east coast metro, suggesting as high as 40%. For now, we’re keeping Probability of Precipitation generally in the 20% range tonight and Saturday, but some upward adjustments to rain chances may be required if the trends in the high-res models continue. The high-res guidance is also indicating upper-end rain amounts exceeding 0.25-0.50” in a few spots over the east coast metro, which is certainly plausible in this type of pattern. Western sections and areas around Lake Okeechobee should stay mainly dry except for the potential of a couple of showers making it across the peninsula to Collier County on Saturday as the NE low level flow strengthens. It will be breezy, especially on Saturday.
After a cool morning with lows in the 50s and 60s, clouds and continued cold-air advection will keep temperatures a few degrees below normal today. Highs should remain in the 60s from the Lake Okeechobee area to most of the interior and Gulf coast, and reach the lower to mid 70s over the east coast metro. The cold-air advection will end after today as low level winds become NE. Thus, lows tonight/early Saturdayam should be about 5 degrees warmer than this morning, and highs on Saturday reaching the mid-upper 70s, possibly near 80 over western interior locations.
(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 323am EST Fri Jan 27 2023
The warming trend which begins on Saturday will continue through the rest of the upcoming weekend and for most of next week as the surface high pressure progresses eastward over the Atlantic and our wind flow becomes E and eventually SE. The remnants of the front over the Straits of Florida may move back north across our region Saturday night and Sunday, continuing the chances for showers primarily along the east coast metro areas. By Monday, a strong mid-level high pressure area sets up from the central/southern Bahamas and Greater Antilles north to Florida, characterized by 500 mb heigheights in the 588-590 dm range which is as much as two standard deviations above normal. This high is forecast by the global model consensus to remain in place for most of next week, resulting in a mainly dry and warm next week. Average temperatures should be around 7-10 degrees above normal, resulting in highs in the 80s area-wide...and perhaps even approaching 90F in a few of the typical warm spots of the deep interior peninsula each afternoon from Monday through Thursday. Lows each morning are expected to be in the 60s, with lower 70s along the east coast. These temperatures resemble average readings for April rather than the end of January and beginning of February.
Issued at 323am EST Fri Jan 27 2023
N-NE winds will be in the 15-20 knot range today with seas as high as 6 feet, continuing the Small Craft Advisory for the Gulf waters, and initiating advisories for the Atlantic waters. Marine conditions are expected to remain hazardous through the weekend as winds stay in the 15-20 knots range out of the NE-E. As the high pressure moves farther east over the Atlantic on Monday, winds and seas should finally begin to subside from Monday through most of next week.
Issued at 323am EST Fri Jan 27 2023
The rip current risk will likely remain high along all Atlantic beaches through the weekend due to the breezy N to eventually NE-E winds. Lingering wave energy from the Gulf will result in a moderate risk of rip currents at the Collier County beaches today, then decreasing over the weekend as winds become offshore.
NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 7am EST this morning through Saturday morning for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1pm this afternoon to 8am EST Saturday for AMZ650-651-670-671.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1pm EST this afternoon for GMZ656- 657-676.