Marine Weather Net

Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

S
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

SW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

THURSDAY

NE
WINDS
20 - 25
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ750 Forecast Issued: 134 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2024

SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
Tonight...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy.
Wednesday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop.
Wednesday Night...Southwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Becoming Northeast 20 To 25 Knots After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough. A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Thursday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots, Becoming East 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters Rough.
Thursday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy.
Friday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 5 Seconds. Protected Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Friday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Saturday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Evening.
Sunday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet With A Dominant Period Of 6 Seconds. Protected Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Sunday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Protected Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Evening. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
258pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

.SHORT TERM... (Wednesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 246pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

Cold front transits the region Wednesday night. The front will be moving into an increasingly dry air mass with much of the lift to the rear (Anafront). Greatest chance of showers will be in the GA counties and a brief rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out. Lows still above average ranging from the mid-40s to mid-50s w/ breezy northwest winds gusting around 20 mph.

Considerable cloudiness on Thursday as the column remains moist, with southwest flow aloft atop of northeast surface flow. Cannot rule out a brief shower, but lower PWAT (Precipitable Water) and a lack of lift should largely discourage this. Cooler highs compared to Wednesday, in the mid-60s to around 70, which is closer to average. Still a bit on the breezy side with northeast winds gusting 15 to 20 mph.

A modest low-level jet develops near the FL Panhandle/SE AL late Thu night with northward moist transport increasing as a result. Forecast is dry for now, but cannot rule out showers making their way into the aforementioned area toward Friday morning.

Long Term
(Friday through Monday) Issued at 246pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

An increasingly active pattern will get underway Friday and remain into at least early next week with a nearby quasi-stationary frontal boundary, which will occasionally move northward as a warm front in advance of several southern stream disturbances. While this will provide a focus for precip, modest PWATs/lack of deep moist should preclude significant rainfall, with ridging nearby to the northeast. Instability is also limited with considerable cloud cover. While a couple strong storms cannot be ruled out, the severe threat is low through this weekend. That could change early next week with the approach of a cold front, when a better alignment of instability and deep layer shear is possible, and the potential for heavy rain increases. A warm pattern is on tap with above average temperatures with highs mainly in the 70s and lows in the 50s and 60s.

Marine
Issued at 246pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

Southerly flow will prevail ahead of a cold through Wednesday, reaching close to 20 knots tonight west of Apalachicola, where seas will build to 5 feet. The cold front will sweep across the waters Wednesday Night, with winds becoming northeast behind it. These winds could reach advisory levels for small craft, mainly for the waters west of the Ochlockonee River, from Wednesday night into Thursday. Winds will remain elevated between 15 and 20 knots into Friday morning, when they will become southeast through this weekend, as a frontal boundary remains draped to the south of the waters.

Fire Weather
Issued at 246pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

Dry and breezy conditions continue this afternoon and into the early evening hours, before decreasing a bit overnight night. Breezy winds will pick back up tomorrow will ahead of a cold front. Right now they gustiest of winds are forecast to be north of I-10 with sustained spreads peaking between 15 and 25 mph for areas north of I- 10 with gusts up to 35 mph being possible during the afternoon. For areas south of I-10, conditions will still be breezy but sustained speeds should be closer to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 or 30 mph being possible. MinRH values for tomorrow are forecast to fall into the 45 to 60 percent rage for GA and AL counties and 60 to 80 percent for FL. The chance for light rain and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder moves in during the evening and overnight hours; however, wetting rain is not expected. Dry weather returns for Thursday with the next chance for rain being Friday. Outside of the winds, high dispersions will be possible for SW GA and SE AL tomorrow with low dispersions returning on Thursday for portions of SE AL, SW GA, the far W FL Panhandle, and along the FL coast.

Hydrology
Issued at 246pm EST Tuesday Feb 27 2024

No meaningful precipitation through Thursday, with all rivers in the Hydrologic Service area below action stage at this time. The chance for precipitation will increase on Friday, when a wet patterns gets underway, and lingers into early next week. CPC has indicated a risk of heavy precipitation as we get into early next week, so that is our next concern for any hydrologic impacts.

Along the gulf coast, a brisk southerly flow is contributing to a modest surge close to 1 foot above the astronomical tide, which is not overly high to begin within the current lunar cycle. Guidance indicates the potential for some sites in Apalachee Bay to reach action stage with the Wednesday evening high tide, before the wind becomes offshore in the wake of a cold frontal passage. This should be most pronounced along the Wakulla County coast. However, minor coastal flooding is not expected.

NOAA Tallahassee FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Wednesday night for FLZ108- 112-114-115.

GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.