Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...West Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming Northeast With Gusts Up To 20 Knots Late. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: West 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And Northeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers Early This Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers Late This Evening. |
| Friday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 4 Feet At 7 Seconds And North 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Friday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: North 4 Feet At 7 Seconds And East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Saturday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: East 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And Northwest 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And North 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Monday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Showers Likely. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Monday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northwest 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet, Building To 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet After Midnight. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Tuesday...North Winds 20 To 25 Knots. Seas 5 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet, Building To 7 To 9 Feet, Occasionally To 11 Feet In The Afternoon. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Morning. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 206pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026 ...NewARINE,Fire Weather .KEY MESSAGES... -Drier on Friday but a few showers and storms may linger across southern areas. -Unsettled weather at times this weekend with daily showers and storm chances. -Much cooler and drier air arrives early next week in the wake of a strong cold front. Issued at 201pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026 A cold front is moving southeastward across north central Florida this afternoon and will push into south Florida tonight before stalling around the northern FL Keys and northern Bahamas into the weekend. Ahead of the frontal boundary, a line of mostly showers and perhaps an embedded storm or two will move through the forecast area through the remainder of the day but the expectation is that this activity will continue to weaken as it becomes increasingly displaced from better upper level support north of the area. Thus, expecting this to be a non-severe frontal passage with some opportunity of beneficial rainfall, though with Quantitative Precipitation Forecast amounts mostly ranging between 0.25-0.50 inches and up to locally an inch or so, this won't be nearly enough to deliver meaningful drought improvements. Drier air moves in on Friday in the wake of the frontal boundary but the deeper moisture will not be completely scoured out due to the front not pushing too far south of the region. This will result in low clouds in the morning gradually lifting to SCT/BKN stratocu in the afternoon with temperatures still above normal in the low/mid 80s, though humidity values will be somewhat more comfortable. In addition, there might be enough lingering moisture combined with diurnal heating to support a few showers/storms in SWFL and southern interior areas in closer proximity to the frontal boundary but most areas will probably miss out on rainfall tomorrow. However, rain chances will increase by the weekend for a larger portion of the forecast area as the aforementioned frontal boundary pulls northward as a warm front and deeper moisture builds in from the south. Meanwhile, troughing aloft gradually builds into the Gulf and will combine with shortwave impulses embedded in a southwesterly flow aloft regime to support daily shower and thunderstorm chances throughout the weekend. By early next week, an upper level trough will dig across the central and eastern US as the associated surface low deepens quickly in the Great Lakes region. The cold front associated with this surface low will sweep through the FL peninsula sometime late Monday into early Tuesday with additional rainfall chances before a much cooler airmass puts a brief end to the prolonged stretch of very warm conditions recently. While it also trends generally drier in the wake of this frontal passage, there remains uncertainty with how far from the area the frontal boundary eventually stalls so will keep a consensus blend in the forecast for now, which highligheights low Probability of Precipitation through the middle of next week. Marine Issued at 201pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026 Small Craft Advisory conditions will develop tonight across the northern Gulf waters with small craft exercise cautionary levels elsewhere in the wake of a frontal passage. Northeasterly winds will then prevail on Friday with winds of 10-15 kts and seas of 2-4 ft. Winds and seas will decrease further at the start of the weekend but marine conditions start to deteriorate late in the weekend and into next week ahead of a strong cold front. As a result, headlines may eventually be needed early next week as strong northerly winds develop in the wake of this frontal boundary. Fire Weather Issued at 201pm EDT Thu Mar 12 2026 A line of showers will move through the area through this evening with drier air building in on Friday, though a few showers and storms may develop across SWFL or southern interior areas late in the day tomorrow as the frontal boundary stalls south of the areas. For areas further with less humidity, RH values may drop into the 40s but humidity values will remain above critical levels. Weather conditions will remain somewhat unsettled heading into the weekend as deeper moisture starts to build back into the area so daily shower and thudnerstorms chances are expected with no fire weather concerns at this time. NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8pm this evening to 8am EDT Friday for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM. |
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