Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Tonight...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less.|
|Wednesday...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 1 Foot Or Less.|
|Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less.|
|Thursday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less.|
|Thursday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then 2 To 3 Feet After Midnight. Scattered Showers After Midnight.|
|Friday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Scattered Showers.|
|Friday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Scattered Showers.|
|Saturday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Scattered Showers.|
|Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Scattered Showers.|
|Sunday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Scattered Showers In The Afternoon.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
805pm EDT Tuesday May 17 2022
A few storms continue to develop along the center of the state but things should quiet down after 02Z. Temperatures today ranged from the lower 90s inland to mid to upper 80s near the coast. Tomorrow is setting up to be another warm day, accompanied by a slight uptick in moisture. No changes were made to the forecast at this time, everything remains on track.
.Prev /issued 245pm EDT Tuesday May 17 2022/
Ridging continues to sit mainly over us giving us neutral flow and an afternoon seabreeze. This would normally be a good set up for activity for afternoon and evening thunderstorm activity however we still remain under some drier air. A few showers and thunderstorm will still be possible inland and north of I-4 this afternoon. We are already seeing a storm or two in inland Pasco and Hernando Counties. The drier air will also allow temperatures to increase bring inland areas into the mid 90's.
As we get into Friday and the weekend the ridging shifts to the north as we see a surge of moisture coming from the south. This will increase our shower chances significantly for Friday and into the weekend. The south to southeast flow will also favor storm more on the western half the state.
Moisture decreases slightly for early next week but shower and storm coverage will remain very similiar with continued south to southeast flow.
AVIATION... VFR conditions expected throughout the period with winds generally staying below 10 knots out of the west. We will have a small chance of thunderstorms away from the coast but kept it out of the TAFs.
High pressure will remain over the area keep a light westerly flow over the gulf with dry conditions and no boating hazards. As we go into Friday and the weekend we will see ridging shifting to the north which will result in a more south to southeast flow and an increase in winds. Winds during the weekend could be borderline SCEC at times. Rain showers chances will also increase with scattered showers and storms mainly in the afternoon and evening.
Ridging overhead through Thursday will result in borderline critical RHs in the afternoon but winds will remain light. After that south to southeast flow will significantly increase RHs with no fire weather hazards expected.
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.