Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: North 1 Foot At 2 Seconds And Southeast 1 Foot At 4 Seconds, Becoming North 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And Southeast 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. |
| Tonight...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Wednesday...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northwest 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: North 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet, Building To 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: Northwest 4 Feet At 4 Seconds, Becoming West 6 Feet At 6 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Thursday...Northwest Winds Around 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 6 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 7 Feet At 8 Seconds. |
| Thursday Night...Northwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 6 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet. Wave Detail: West 7 Feet At 9 Seconds. |
| Friday...North Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. |
| Friday Night...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Saturday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 150pm EDT Tuesday Oct 28 2025 Issued at 127pm EDT Tuesday Oct 28 2025 A cold front is slowly pushing through SWFL this afternoon in association with a developing mid-latitude cyclone just off the coast of the Carolinas. As this storm system moves further way, a slightly more mild northerly flow is advecting low clouds across North Florida. These gradually erode further to the south where greater instability exists due to the warmer temperatures and for limited cloud cover. The next 24 hours look fairly quiet. The main weather impact is for another round of fog and low clouds mainly to the north of Tampa Bay. Elsewhere, there is really no major weather concerns in play. However, the next frontal boundary will approach tomorrow evening, leading to significant changes in our weather. As a retrograding low weakens a ridge over Southern Canada, a trough axis will dig into the southeast and Northern Gulf Coast region. In association with this trough, a strong cold front will push the coldest airmass into our region since the late March/early April time-frame. With Major Hurricane Melissa passing to the east of Florida and surface high pressure tries to build in from the west, a strong pressure gradient will set up over the state, leading to a period of gusty winds beginning late Wednesday and lasting into Friday. While this could blow unsecured objects, the greater impact will be hazardous marine conditions across coastal waters. Over land, the more noticeable change will of course be the temperatures. The coldest morning looks to be on Friday as it will take time for the coldest air to filter in and gusty winds will pull in and mix any residual warmer air aloft towards the surface. As winds subside Thursday night, the setup is favorable for efficient radiational cooling. Thus, Friday morning lows will dip into the low 40s to mid 50s. Starting on Saturday and continuing into Sunday, the ridge axis will slide farther east, allowing the low-level flow to back to the east and eventually SE. This will allow a warmer and more humid airmass to advect back in late in the weekend and early next week. There are notable differences in the potential setup for the early part of next week. However, the basic synoptic pattern is fairly clear: the next front will be on our doorstep. Whether this boundary passes with little fanfare or leads to a period of stormy weather is not super clear yet. However, the forecast is gradually trending towards higher rain chances and more clouds. For now at least, one can look forward to the very nice change in weather that will be taking place over the next day or so. Marine Issued at 127pm EDT Tuesday Oct 28 2025 Light northerly winds favor seas of 2 to 3 feet or less through tomorrow. Another cold front approaches tomorrow night and will bring a quick-passing line of showers and considerably stronger winds behind its passage. These winds will cause seas to increase to as much as 8 feet offshore, with Bay and Inland waters becoming choppy to rough. These conditions will be hazardous for small craft. Gradual improvement will take place on Friday and into the weekend before the next system approaches early next week. Fire Weather Issued at 127pm EDT Tuesday Oct 28 2025 No major fire weather concerns through tomorrow as light winds and ample moisture keep fire danger low. A quick-passing line of showers is forecast tomorrow night as another cold front moves through. Behind this front, gusty winds and a significantly colder and drier airmass is forecast to move across the region. This will yield higher dispersions and lower RH values. However, red flag conditions do not look to be met at this time. NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. Gulf waters...None. |
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