Marine Weather Net

Bonita Beach to Englewood, FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

E
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

E
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

E
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

THURSDAY

E
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ856 Forecast Issued: 846 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
Tonight...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: East 4 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 10 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms Early This Evening.
Wednesday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: East 4 Feet At 4 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 10 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Wednesday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 4 Feet At 4 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 10 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Thursday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 4 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Numerous Showers And Scattered Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Thursday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 3 Feet At 4 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 8 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Numerous Showers And Scattered Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Friday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Southeast 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: East 2 Feet At 3 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Numerous Showers And Scattered Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Friday Night...East Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening.
Saturday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Numerous Showers And Scattered Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening.
Sunday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers. Isolated Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Scattered Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
746pm EDT Tuesday Jun 18 2024

A high pressure system to our north continues to dominate the weather pattern across the state, keeping things relatively dry for the rest of today. The main story continues to be the winds, with a gusty easterly flow persisting throughout the next few days. This is due to the tightly packed pressure gradients over our area that are associated with our position between the presiding ridging to the north and a strengthening low pressure system out in the Western Gulf of Mexico. Slightly warmer temperatures are expected around the lower 90s, particularly across the Western side of the state due to the strong easterly winds.

Heading into Wednesday, conditions should remain relatively the same with just the added potential of some scattered showers in the afternoon and evening hours as more moisture begins to move in to our area off the Atlantic coast. This added moisture will likely begin to bring back a more traditional Florida summertime weather regime, with isolated thunderstorms possible throughout the end of this week and heading into the weekend. Temperatures will continue to be fairly warm with low to mid 90s expected along the Western half of the state, and the increase in moisture will lead to heat index values beginning to surpass 100 degrees on Thursday and Friday during peak heating in the afternoon hours.

Long Term
Large upper ridge centered over the Tennessee River Valley Friday to slowly sink Sward into the Deep South/N Gulf Coast this weekend as persistent Central American Gyre holds over the Yucatan Peninsula. At the surface, models keep the next tropical wave or general low pressure area in the Bay of Campeche that may eventually become a W Gulf closed low while W Atlantic high pressure holds into the Deep South as yet another weak tropical wave may move towards the GA/SC coast with generally easterly flow continuing over the FL Peninsula. But model uncertainty abounds with all these features and will keep typical June diurnal seabreeze thunderstorm Probability of Precipitation through the weekend and into early next week as the warm and humid conditions continue.

Marine
Hazardous marine conditions with gusty easterly winds and choppy seas through at least Wednesday to keep Small Craft Advisories in effect. Winds begin to lighten Thursday but expect evening surges and additional headlines may be needed. Winds and seas expected to subside a bit Fri and into the weekend but remain unsettled and somewhat bumpy as rain chances increase as well.

Fire Weather
Warm and humid conditions to continue with gusty easterly winds through mid week with high dispersion values. Winds are expected to weaken at the end of the week and into the weekend along with increasing rain chances.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 3 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 3

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Wednesday for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM- Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.