Marine Weather Net

Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

N
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SATURDAY

SE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

SATURDAY NIGHT

W
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SUNDAY

W
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ836 Forecast Issued: 815 PM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Tonight...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast Late. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers And Thunderstorms This Evening. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Saturday...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Sunday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Numerous Showers And Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms.
Monday...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Numerous Showers. Scattered Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Numerous Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms.
Tuesday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Numerous Showers. Scattered Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Numerous Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Numerous Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening.
Wednesday...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
814pm EDT Fri July 24 2026

Issued at 152pm EDT Fri July 24 2026

We are seeing dry conditions across West Central Florida today. This can be seen with our morning sounding coming in at 1.5. Things are a little different down south. Miami skew-t is showing PW around 2.2 and showers are already crossing over the state from east to west. This will bring a big contrast across our CWA (County Warning Area) with drier conditions along and north of I-4 while SW Florida will experience a more active summer time storm pattern.

Moisture does look to return for everyone on Saturday as the ridge sits just to our north. This will help to keep easterly flow in place however it will be weak with average wind speeds between 1000 to 700mb around 4 to 5 knots. That means storms that do develop will head towards the west coast but be slow moving. Convection could die out before showers reach the coast in the late evening hours.

As we go into our Sunday a frontal boundary will start drop down into Florida. This will increase moisture and storm chances to end our weekend. However, thanks to the frontal passage winds will shift to the west and southwest keeping much of the convection inland and along the east coast. This boundary looks to stall across the state for our work week. This will keep us under a moist southwesterly flow. With this flow we can expect scattered showers during the morning hours along the west coast in the morning hours before showers and storms shift inland for the afternoon and evening hours. GFS (Global Forecast System) is also showing an upper level vort max pushing into the state on Thursday which could increase winds and storm chances on that day if it verifies.

Marine
Issued at 152pm EDT Fri July 24 2026

Winds will remain around 5 to 10 knots for both today and Saturday with some isolated storms pushing off the west coast during the evening hours. A boundary will push into Florida and stall in the state for Sunday and into early next week. This will keep winds out of the west around 10 to 15 knots each day. Due to the west flow and extra moisture from the boundary we will see overnight and morning showers and storms develop each day during this period. These storms will push onto the coast and inland during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Fire Weather
Issued at 152pm EDT Fri July 24 2026

We are see some drier air today across West Central Florida however moisture returns tomorrow and will stick around through next week as a frontal boundary stalls over the state starting on Sunday.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 8

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.