Marine Weather Net

Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

S
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

MONDAY

SW
WINDS
10
KNOTS

MONDAY NIGHT

SW
WINDS
10
KNOTS

TUESDAY

SE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ836 Forecast Issued: 844 PM EDT Sun May 22 2022

Rest Of Tonight...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots Then Becoming East Around 15 Knots In The Late Evening And Overnight. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms Early In The Evening.
Monday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots Then Becoming Southwest Around 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...Southwest Winds Around 10 Knots Then Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots Then Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Tuesday Night...South Winds Around 10 Knots Then Becoming East Around 15 Knots In The Late Evening And Overnight. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Wednesday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots Then Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Wednesday Night...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Thursday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots Then Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.
Thursday Night...South Winds Around 10 Knots Then Becoming Southeast Toward Morning. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Friday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots Then Becoming West In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
SHARE THIS PAGE:           
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
844pm EDT Sunday May 22 2022

Minor changes made to evening Probability of Precipitation to reflect latest obs/trends, otherwise forecast remains on track. Diminishing evening convection will give way to partly cloudy skies overnight with lows mostly in the lower 70s under a light east to southeast breeze.

.Prev /issued 801pm EDT Sunday May 22 2022/

AVIATION... Mainly VFR expected thru period although some VCTS/VCSH may briefly affect terminals this evening before diminishing overnight. VCSH potential Monday afternoon mainly for northern coastal terminals. Light/variable to E/SE winds overnight increase out of SE during morning, turning onshore with afternoon sea breeze.

Prev /issued 232pm EDT Sunday May 22 2022/

An upper trough from the Great Lakes to the western/central Gulf of Mexico lift northward and dampens out through Mon...allowing an upper ridge stretching northeast from Cuba to shift in across much of FL and off the southeast U.S. coast. Atlantic high pressure ridges westward...along Latitude 30 North...through Mon. A plume of deep moisture continues moving north...well offshore in the Gulf. Moisture across the area runs 1.5 to 1.9 inches of PWAT (Precipitable Water) through tonight then values of 1.4 to 1.6 inches drift in from the east.

Convection is getting off a late start this afternoon...possibly due to the morning clouds delaying heating. However anticipate showers and storms forming later this afternoon then slowly winding down in the evening. A storm or two could produce some locally heavy rainfall or strong gusts. Isolated showers or a storm or two may linger overnight on the Gulf. Monday will see slightly drier and more stable air as the upper ridge shifts into the area. However afternoon showers and storms are still expected with the highest coverage inland.

Tuesday through next Sun: An upper ridge centered off the southeast U.S. coast sprawls across the area until late week when it shifts east as an upper trough moves in from the west. The trough tracks across the eastern states then offshore during the weekend. A high pressure ridge axis residing along or north of the AL/GA/FL border exits to the east late in the week as a frontal boundary...accompanying the upper trough...approaches from the west and slips into FL then begins to dissipates during the weekend.

An easterly flow pattern with afternoon sea breezes and somewhat limited moisture prevails into Thu. Keeping diurnal showers isolated to scattered along with a few storms. Moisture increases as the frontal boundary approaches Fri...resulting in scattered to at times numerous showers and storms for Fri that continue into the weekend.

Marine
Still some 20 knot winds this afternoon but they drop off to around 15 knots or less tonight then through the period. However showers and storms...with increasing coverage toward the end of the week...could create locally higher winds and seas.

Fire Weather
There will be adequate moisture to preclude any low RH concerns and to support showers and storms. Locally high dispersions are expected Monday and Tue.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: 7 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: 7 For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.