Marine Weather Net

Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

E
WINDS
20
KNOTS

SUNDAY

E
WINDS
15
KNOTS

SUNDAY NIGHT

NE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

MONDAY

E
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ836 Forecast Issued: 139 PM EDT Sat Oct 04 2025

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Tonight...East Winds Around 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms Early This Evening, Then Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms Late This Evening.
Sunday...East Winds Around 15 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Monday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Scattered Showers, Mainly In The Evening.
Tuesday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Isolated Thunderstorms. Isolated Showers In The Morning, Then Scattered Showers In The Afternoon.
Tuesday Night...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots, Becoming Northeast 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Wednesday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Thursday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
127pm EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Issued at 124pm EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Broad surface high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states continues to ridge westward through the southeast U.S. and just north of Florida. Closer to Florida, a pair of weak low pressure centers is located along a frontal boundary extending over south Florida and into the northern gulf. The first one to our east is a weak area of low pressure near the Bahamas. This area will slowly drift westward over the next couple of days producing higher rain chances on Sunday, especially over the east coast of Florida and south Florida. A little farther to the west, another area of weak low pressure is located in the north central gulf. Both of these areas are being monitored by the NHC, but have a very low chance of tropical development. A tight pressure gradient between the high pressure to the north and these areas of low pressure will produce persistent breezy east-northeast winds through the remainder of the weekend.

By Monday morning, the high pressure to the north moves farther eastward into the western Atlantic allowing for a weaker pressure gradient over the area, resulting in decreasing winds. East- northeast winds will persist though, resulting in the highest rain chances over the east coast and interior early in the day with scattered showers and isolated storms traversing from east to west late afternoon and evening hours. This pattern will remain relatively unchanged through next week. Near seasonal temperatures expected through the period, with mid to upper 80's to low 90's expected each afternoon. Overnight lows will remain in the upper 60's to mid 70's.

NHC is also monitoring one other disturbance in the eastern Atlantic. This area has a 50 percent chance of development over the next 7 days as it traverses west-northwestward and may become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week. It's too early to tell if and when any impacts will be felt for west central and southwest Florida from this system, but will be closely monitored over the next week.

Marine
Issued at 124pm EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Hazardous marine conditions for small craft operators continue today and Sunday as gusty winds of 20 to 30 knots persist, producing offshore wave heigheights in the 5 to 8 foot range. Inland waters will also remain choppy to rough, especially in areas with high wind exposure. Scattered showers and an isolated storm will be possible across the coastal waters during the afternoon to early evening hours. While winds are forecast to slightly decrease on Sunday, the seas will still take longer to subside. East-northeast winds around 15 knots or slightly higher will persist into next week keeping 2 to 4 foot wave heigheights over the eastern gulf waters.

Fire Weather
Issued at 124pm EDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Abundant moisture will keep humidity values above critical levels through the period. Scattered showers and isolated storms possible each day through the period. Gusty east-northeast winds will produce some high dispersions for the next couple of days.

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8pm EDT Sunday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM- Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 2pm EDT Sunday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.