Eastport ME to Schoodic Point ME out 25 NM Marine Forecast
|This Afternoon...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 4 To 7 Ft, Subsiding To 3 To 5 Ft.|
|Tonight...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Se 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt After Midnight. Seas 4 To 6 Ft.|
|Mon...Se Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming W 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. Rain Likely. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm In The Afternoon.|
|Mon Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Light Freezing Spray After Midnight.|
|Tue...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt. Seas 5 To 8 Ft. Moderate Freezing Spray.|
|Tue Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Seas 4 To 7 Ft.|
|Wed...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft.|
|Thu...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Caribou ME
104pm EST Sunday Feb 28 2021
High pressure will cross the region today. Low pressure will approach tonight and track north of the area Monday morning pulling an occluded front through. An Arctic cold front will cross the area Monday night. Cold high pressure will build in from the west on Tuesday while low pressure intensifies over the Maritimes. Low pressure will remain over the Maritimes Wednesday and Thursday.
Near Term - Through Tonight
Update... High pressure will cross the region this afternoon with generally partly sunny skies across the forecast area. High temperatures will range from the mid to upper 30s north, to the lower 40s Downeast. Have updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along with afternoon temperatures and clouds. The Small Craft Advisory has also been extended through 5pm for much of the waters, with the exception of the intracoastal waters, due to seas.
Previous Discussion... Hi and mid cldnss ahead of the next s/wv complex alf from the upper Great Lakes and OH vly will arrive late in the day and erly eve over Wrn areas and spread over the rest of the FA durg the ovrngt hrs. Winds, which will initially be light durg the eve, will begin to increase from the SSE late tngt, meaning ovrngt lows will be mild and occur erly around mdngt, with temps steady and slowly rising by daybreak. Longer range models bring light sn across the N and light mixed precipitation Cntrl/Downeast by daybreak Mon ahead of lengthy N-S occluded front apchg from Wrn QB with a slower trend in onset timing from prev model runs and forecast updates by about 3 to 6 hrs.
Short Term - Monday Through Tuesday
Low pressure tracking into Quebec Monday morning will pull an occluded front into the area. This front will extend south to a triple point low tracking off Southern New England. This system will bring some snow north and rain Downeast Monday morning. Warmer air lifting north ahead of the occlusion may change precipitation over to rain as far north as southeastern Aroostook County by midday Monday before the front and precipitation slides east of the area. Snow amounts Monday morning will range from 2 to 3 inches north to little or none Downeast. As the occlusion slides east, the triple point low will rapidly intensify over the Maritimes. This low, combined with high pressure building into the Mid-west, will usher in bitterly cold Arctic air on very strong gusty northwest winds Monday night into Tuesday. Some snow showers or an isolated snow squall are possible over the north Monday evening as the Arctic air surges in. Frigid wind chills and freezing spray over the waters will be likely Tuesday. Winds will diminish Tuesday night.
Long Term - Tuesday Night Through Saturday
Tuesday's cold blast will be a quick hitter with high pressure building in and upper level ridging building over bringing moderation on Wednesday. Thursday will remain dry and be a little milder as high pressure moves through. Low pressure over the Maritimes is then expected to retrograde toward eastern Quebec Friday possibly backing some of the cold Arctic air to our north back down into our area. Models differ on the timing of the return of this cold air. It does not, however, look as severe as the cold blast expected on Tuesday. Dry weather is expected to persist through the weekend as a broad upper level ridge builds into the nations mid-section and low pressure tracking off the Mid-Atlantic coast passes well out to sea.
Near Term: The Small Craft Advisory has been extended through 5 PM for much of the waters, with the exception of the intracoastal waters, due to seas. Conditions will be below small craft advisory levels on the intracoastal waters through this afternoon. S winds and seas ramp back up to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions by daybreak Mon.
Short Term: A SCA (Small Craft Advisory) will likely be needed Monday, increasing to a gale Monday night through Tuesday with freezing spray likely late Monday night into Tuesday. Winds will diminish to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) late Tuesday night then drop below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) Wednesday into Thursday.
Tides / Coastal Flooding
A high astronomical tide around 12pm on Monday combined with a potential storm surge could generate a few areas of minor splash over across low lying roadways.
NOAA Caribou ME Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
ME...None. MARINE...Gale Watch from Monday evening through late Tuesday night for ANZ050>052. Small Craft Advisory until 5pm EST this afternoon for ANZ050- 051.