Schoodic Point ME to Stonington ME Marine Forecast
|Overnight...Nw Winds 25 To 35 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt. Seas 8 To 11 Ft.|
|Wed...Nw Winds Around 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft.|
|Wed Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Gusts Up To 40 Kt In The Evening. Seas 6 To 9 Ft.|
|Thu...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Subsiding To 2 To 3 Ft In The Afternoon.|
|Thu Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Ft. A Chance Of Rain And Snow In The Evening, Then Rain, Snow And Sleet After Midnight. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm, Decreasing To 1 Nm Or Less After Midnight.|
|Fri...E Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Building To 6 To 9 Ft In The Afternoon. Rain, Snow And Sleet In The Morning, Then Rain In The Afternoon. Vsby 1 Nm Or Less, Increasing To 1 To 3 Nm In The Afternoon.|
|Fri Night...N Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight.|
|Sat...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Seas 6 To 9 Ft, Subsiding To 3 To 5 Ft.|
|Sun...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. A Chance Of Rain And Snow Showers After Midnight. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm.|
|Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Caribou ME
1119pm EST Tuesday Nov 13 2018
Synopsis: Intensifying low pressure will exit across the Maritimes overnight. Bitter cold Arctic air will follow on Wednesday with strong gusty winds. Another coastal storm is expected to impact the region Friday.
Near Term - Through Wednesday
Update... Have cancelled all Winter Storm Warnings/Winter Weather Advisories with this update. Intensifying low pressure will exit across the Maritimes overnight. Isolated to scattered snow showers are expected across the north and mountains overnight with cold air advection around the exiting low. Any additional snow accumulations are expected to be less than an inch. Cloud cover will decrease Downeast overnight. The pressure gradient will tighten overnight between the intensifying Maritimes low and high pressure to the southwest. West to northwest winds will increase overnight with gusts of 30 to 40 mph expected late. Blowing and drifting snow is possible across northern areas. The winds will also help transport much colder air across the region which could support a flash-freeze. Overnight low temperatures will range from around 10 to 15 north, to the upper teens to around 20 interior Downeast with lower 20s along the Downeast coast. Have also updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along with overnight temperatures, cloud cover and snow shower chances.
Previous Discussion... The big story for Wednesday will be the cold temps and windy conditions. Winds are expected to gust to 40+ mph especially across the open and higher terrain. The NAM and GFS soundings show llevel lapse rates steepening to 8.0 c/km. Momentum transfer of 40+ kts possibly mix to the sfc. So, wind headlines may be needed. Could also see some streamers coming off the St. Lawrence River w/the WNW wind. If these streamers do set up, they could reduce visibilities at times during the day.
Short Term - Wednesday Night Through Friday
First Potential Winter Storm for the Bangor and Downeast Region Friday... Wednesday night into Thursday the cold airmass remains in place as the surface ridge crests over the area. Temps will be running a good 15 degrees below normal with highs struggling to get out of the 20s north and above freezing near the coast. The good news is the winds will be light and the sun will be out.
Thursday night into early Friday morning clouds will be on the increase as the next coastal wave approaches from the Mid- Atlantic. Still some spread in the exact track of this coastal low with the GFS camp remaining the furthest east outlier with better agreement on a closer to the coast track from the NAM/CMC/ECMWF. WPC is favoring a closer to the coast track at this time, but still plenty of time for things to trend differently. What we are confident about that is that the majority of the region will get some wintry weather on Friday with snow likely across the interior of the state and a snow/sleet/rain mix for the coast. Things will begin to iron out over the coming days in regards to the track.
Long Term - Friday Night Through Tuesday
Forecast Confidence looks to be below average this weekend leading into Thanksgiving week. What we are confident about is that this period will have well below avg temperatures with a few shots of cold weather. In general the mean 500mb trough will stay entrenched across the Northeast CONUS with multiple 500mb shortwaves moving through with weak waves developing on the surface cold fronts. In general western mountains will keep light snow shower activity at times through this period. Overall didn't feel enough confidence on timing of pops, so broad brushed with some higher probability of precipitation over the terrain. Overall we should run 10 to 15 degrees below average for this period, with the chance for a slight warm up on Saturday and Sunday.
Near Term: A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters overnight into the early morning hours Thursday. Northwest wind gusts up to 40 to 45 knots are expected overnight into Wednesday night.
Short Term: Gales persist into Wednesday night, then remaining at SCA levels into Thur morning. Seas will diminish to about 5ft Thu morning with high pressure building over the waters on Thu. Winds and seas will increase again on Friday as next coastal system moves south of the waters. Winds will come out of the east to northeast through day on Friday before switching offshore by Friday night as surface low pulls out to the north.
NOAA Caribou ME Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
Gale Warning until 1am EST Thursday for ANZ050>052