James River From The James River Bridge To The Hampton Roads Bridge Tunnel Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Fri...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt, Becoming N In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Fri Night...Se Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Sat...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sun...W Winds 15 Kt, Becoming Nw In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. Showers Likely In The Evening. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 643am EDT Fri May 1 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Quantitative Precipitation Forecast has trended downward for most of the area Saturday with much of the rainfall focused across the southeastern third of the area. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry today with a slight chance for a few showers tonight. Low pressure passes south of the area on Saturday with appreciable rainfall likely confined to southeast VA and northeast NC. 2) Cool Sunday with a warming trend Monday and Tuesday. Another front brings the chance for precipitation back to the area Wednesday into Thursday. As of 250am EDT Friday... KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry today with a slight chance for a few showers tonight. Low pressure passes south of the area on Saturday with appreciable rainfall likely confined to southeast VA and northeast NC. Surface analysis shows a secondary cold front has cleared the area with cooler and drier air filtering into the region. Winds remain somewhat elevated near the coast through sunrise or so before surface high pressure builds over the area. Mainly sunny skies today with temperatures near 70 inland with low to mid 60s expected along the coast. A northern stream shortwave approaches the area after sunset with a chance for isolated showers. Not expecting more than a few hundredths of precipitation before midnight. A southern stream disturbance will rapidly advance from the Gulf Coast ENE toward the Carolinas tonight with increasing precipitation chances across the SE half of the area late. 00z deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to favor the SE for additional precipitation on Saturday with Quantitative Precipitation Forecast dropping off rapidly with NW extent. In coordination with neighboring offices, have gone below the blended guidance for both Probability of Precipitation and Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, mainly for areas along and west of the I-85 corridor, extending NE into the Northern Neck and MD Eastern Shore. Total Quantitative Precipitation Forecast is now forecast to be a few hundredths at most along and west of a line from Farmville NE into the Richmond metro and continuing through the Northern Neck and Dorchester County, MD. 0.1-0.25" is forecast to the east of that line with Quantitative Precipitation Forecast at or above 0.5" confined to far SE VA and NE NC. Despite paltry Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for most of the region, Saturday will likely be cool and cloudy with temperatures struggling to reach 60 degrees. It will also be breezy near the coast as low pressure deepens as it lifts NE offshore. Cool Saturday night with lows mostly in the 40s, a few upper 30s are possible in the NW Piedmont. KEY MESSAGE 2...Cool Sunday with a warming trend Monday and Tuesday. Another front brings the chance for precipitation back to the area Wednesday into Thursday. Clearing skies with continued cool temperatures are expected Sunday. Highs will mainly be in the mid 60s with breezy NW winds. Falling dew points and lack of appreciable rainfall may result in some fire weather concerns Sunday afternoon, mainly for inland areas. Flow turns SW on Monday with temps moderating back into the mid and upper 70s as high pressure migrates offshore. Warmer and dry Tuesday with highs around 80. Another front approaches the region Wednesday with precipitation chances returning to the area through Thursday. Marine As of 225am EDT Friday... Key Messages: - Small Craft Advisories remain in effect this morning for the Chesapeake Bay and southern coastal waters with winds gusting to ~25 knots. - Low pressure intensifies off the NC OBX later Saturday into Saturday night, bringing the next round of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions for the Chesapeake Bay, coastal waters, and Currituck Sound. Early this morning, a cold front has dropped south across the waters with N-NW winds gusting to ~25 knots in its wake. Seas range from 3 to 4 feet across the northern waters and 4 to 5 feet south. Waves in the Bay are generally running around 2 to 3 feet (up to 4 feet at the mouth). SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) across the middle Bay have been extended to match the lower Bay and will expire at 7 AM. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) across the southern coastal waters expire at 10 AM. High pressure settles over the area later today and moves offshore overnight ahead of a southern stream disturbance. Winds/waves/seas drop off rather quickly later this morning. A southern stream low pressure system will initially be suppressed to south of the local waters Saturday, but will likely tighten the gradient enough over the southern waters (lower bay/James, coastal waters south of Cape Charles and the Currituck Sound) for solid SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions by Saturday afternoon. While the wind probs for 25+ knots remains high, the probs for gale force gusts have diminished. Expect a mainly high-end SCA (Small Craft Advisory) event, with gusts reaching as high as 30 knots. Seas will also build to 5 to 7 feet across the southern waters (~8 feet well offshore) and 4 to 5 feet across the northern waters. Coastal low pressure deepens offshore with increasing NW winds expected by early Sunday morning, followed by diminishing winds and waves/seas late Sunday and Monday. Multiple rounds of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions will again be possible both Monday night and Tuesday night due to increasing southerly winds. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 7am EDT this morning for ANZ630>632-634. Small Craft Advisory until 10am EDT this morning for ANZ656- 658. |
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