Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming S 5 To 10 Kt In The Late Morning And Early Afternoon, Then Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt Late. Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Thu Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Fri...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Fri Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Sun...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Showers Likely. |
| Mon...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Mon Night...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 343am EDT Thu April 2 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The backdoor cold front has trended a bit farther to the south today. Otherwise, no substantial changes to the previous forecast. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A backdoor cold front slips southwest today, impacting areas north of I-64 and especially across the Eastern Shore. Otherwise, the warm weather continues through Saturday with even a few record highs possible. 2) A cold front brings a higher coverage of showers or thunderstorms Easter Sunday. 3) Temperatures trend to near or slightly below average early next week with the potential for frost/freeze headlines. As of 230am EST Thursday... KEY MESSAGE 1...A backdoor cold front slips southwest today, impacting areas north of I-64 and especially across the Eastern Shore. Otherwise, the warm weather continues through Saturday with even a few record highs possible. Early this morning, a nearly stationary frontal boundary remains situated just north of the forecast area. Showers and thunderstorms that developed along and south of the boundary earlier in the night will continue to diminish over the next few hours, with mainly dry conditions returning as we approach sunrise. The main story for today will be a backdoor cold that slowly creeps southwest this morning through this afternoon. Some of the hi-res early morning guidance has started to bring the front a bit farther to the SE, potentially approaching the I-64 corridor by this evening. Areas across the Maryland Eastern Shore (especially Ocean City) will see temperatures fall this morning, eventually falling back into the 40s and 50s this afternoon as a cooler marine layer pushes onshore. Patchy fog and widespread cloud cover is also expected across northeastern portions of the area today. Slightly more uncertainty for areas north of I-64, with more recent runs of the HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) trying to push the front to along or just north of I-64 by this evening. This will result in falling afternoon temperatures, especially across the Northern Neck. A few showers or isolated thunderstorms will be possible in the vicinity of the boundary this afternoon/evening, but coverage will not be nearly as widespread as what we saw Wednesday evening-night. For areas along/south of I-64, temperatures will climb into the low to mid 80s this afternoon with mostly sunny skies. The boundary lifts back to the north tonight into Friday as low pressure advances NE towards the Great Lakes region. Widespread warmth is expected for Friday with high temperatures in the 80s (70s Eastern Shore/immediate coast). Even warmer for Saturday with widespread mid to even upper 80s. Record highs may be challenged at all climate sites outside of potentially Elizabeth City. KEY MESSAGE 2...A cold front brings a higher coverage of showers or thunderstorms Easter Sunday. A strong cold front approaches from the northwest on Sunday and crosses the area, bringing an end to the well above temperatures. The latest model consensus early this morning has the front crossing the local area from late morning across the NW to the early evening across the SE, sliding offshore Sunday night. Showers and isolated thunderstorms develop along/ahead of the front and will progress across the area from W to E during the day on Sunday. Instability seems somewhat limited ahead of the front, with the highest instability likely existing across the far SE. There will be at least be the potential for a few stronger storms, especially SE, with machine-learning/AI models still hinting at the possibility. Total rainfall from this system likely ranges from 0.25" to 0.50" with locally higher amounts in storms. It will also become breezy along and ahead of the front during the day Sunday. High temperatures will range from the low 70s NW to around 80 or low 80s across the SE. KEY MESSAGE 3...Temperatures trend to near or slightly below average early next week with the potential for frost/freeze headlines. Temperatures trend closer to average or below average early next week in the wake of the front. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will generally be in the 60s. Another front drops south Tuesday-Tuesday night with strong high pressure building north of the area for Wednesday. High temperatures will likely struggle to get out of the 50s for a majority of the area Wednesday due to cool NE flow. There will be the potential for frost or freeze headlines both Tuesday night-Wednesdayam and Wednesday night-Thursdayam for areas where the growing season has started with temperatures falling back into the 30s. Marine As of 230am EDT Thursday... Key Messages: - A brief uptick in S to SW winds is expected this evening, mainly near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay, as a front moves south across the area, but wind speeds should remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds. - Benign marine conditions through early weekend, with a stronger front crossing the area Sunday bringing possible SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions. Strong high pressure remains centered over the central Atlantic Ocean early this morning. A slow moving cold front is currently stalled near the Mason-Dixon line and will continue pushing south during the day through about half of the local waters. S-SW winds are currently around 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt in the Ches. Bay and 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the coastal waters. A brief uptick is expected this evening, mainly near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay where the front stalls, but wind speeds should remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds. Another brief, marginal surge is possible Friday night into Saturday as well, but overall, winds should remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds. The next best chance for SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions coming late this weekend as a front moves through the local waters. Climate New record highs were set at Norfolk (86) and Wallops Island (80) and tied at Salisbury (83) on Wednesday, April 1. Record highs through Saturday, 4/4: Richmond: Record High: Thu (4/2) 89/1967 Fri (4/3) 93/1963 Sat (4/4) 87/2011 Norfolk: Record High: Thu (4/2) 87/1967 Fri (4/3) 91/1963 Sat (4/4) 86/2025 Salisbury: Record High: Thu (4/2) 85/1967 Fri (4/3) 86/1963 Sat (4/4) 83/1999 Elizabeth City: Record High: Thu (4/2) 86/2014 Fri (4/3) 89/1967 Sat (4/4) 88/2025 NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine None. |
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