Sabine Lake Marine Forecast
| Tonight...South Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming Northwest Late. Lake Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers This Evening, Then Showers After Midnight. |
| Saturday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Lake Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Saturday Night...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Lake Waters Rough. |
| Sunday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. |
| Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. |
| Monday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Diminishing To Around 5 Knots In The Afternoon. Lake Waters Light Chop. |
| Monday Night...East Winds Around 5 Knots In The Evening, Becoming Light And Variable. Lake Waters Smooth. |
| Tuesday...East Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Lake Waters Smooth. |
| Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Lake Waters Light Chop. |
| Wednesday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Lake Waters Light Chop. |
| Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 526pm CST Fri Jan 9 2026 .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday night) Issued at 522pm CST Fri Jan 9 2026 Conditions have been eerily quiet across the forecast area this AM. The sky has been rather clear and temperatures are in the mid 70s to around 80 already. Unfortunately this means our atmosphere is thermodynamically primed for when stronger shear develops across the region. The 18z RAOB (Radiosonde Observation or Upper-Air Observation) is off the ground and has sampled a strong EML with capping inversion at just over 700 mb. This has the look of a "loaded gun" sounding and could point to explosive convection later today as the jet moves overhead. Two large areas of convection are now set to develop, and are already doing so: a wide band of storms from west to east going up across the lakes region to Rapides parish and then an area of discrete cells developing offshore to Vermilion parish which will move inland. There are indications these features are initializing now beneath strong upper level divergence. Elongated storms with rapidly growing updrafts are developing to the west of Tyler county with the band of the convection around Baton Rouge getting the same look. Expect storms to develop west to east between these storms, however, flow should carry them north of our border by 1 PM. My main concern are the cells developing offshore and moving into south central LA. They are moving into an airmass primed to 2500 to 3000 surface CAPE (far more than expected) with 0-3 km SRH expected to progressively increase in the next 4 to 6 hours. As these cells intrude inland, they will be monitored very closely for rapid organization into dominant cells (0-6 km bulk shear > 50 knots) capable of producing damaging winds and tornadoes as well as heavy downpours and perhaps some hail. Keep your head on a swivel through the remainder of the day as the ingredients are present for a rather zealous overachievement on the current severe weather forecast. The main threat for supercells will be east of HWY 165. Storms to the west will be under primarily parallel flow, keeping them in a more linear fashion. Damaging winds and embedded rotating segments will be a concern for areas west of 165 until the line can sweep through. The show begins its end when main trough moving across the south Plains ejects north, forcing exiting with it. This will result in that same unidirectional flow to expand west to east. The wind shift associated with the frontal passage will also be moving west to east about this time (10pm ish to the west, sweeping east into south central LA around midnight), congealing any remaining storms along its edge as it goes. Damaging winds and embedded rotating segments will be a hazard, but with waning instability, this line shouldn't cause too much heartburn. Cooler and drier conditions are expected thereafter. 11/Calhoun Long Term (Monday through Friday) Issued at 522pm CST Fri Jan 9 2026 Little change in thinking for the longterm period. Northerly winds will keep cool temps in the forecast thru Monday with a very mild temp moderation anticipated Tuesday and Wednesday. Another front moves through in the midweek bringing cool temps back again on Friday. High pressure in control will keep conditions dry. 11/Calhoun Marine Issued at 522pm CST Fri Jan 9 2026 Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing ahead of a strong cold frontal passage late tonight. Winds and seas will be volatile near to thunderstorms. Some storms could produce waterspouts and most storms will produce frequent lightning. Strong offshore winds develop into Saturdayam and hazardous Small Craft Advisory conditions will spread from west to east after sunrise. Expect strong winds and very elevated seas thru at least mid day Sunday. Winds diminish on Monday and will remain variable thru the midweek. Fire Weather Issued at 522pm CST Fri Jan 9 2026 Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing ahead of a strong cold frontal passage late tonight. Winds will be volatile near to thunderstorms and frequent lightning may cause dry grasses and vegetation to burn. Quick downpours with runoff can be expected, not widespread heavy rain. Strong north winds develop into Saturday as a much cooler and drier airmass moves back into the northern Gulf. Fire weather will possibly be a concern Sunday as winds continue sustained at around 15 to 20 MPH with higher gusts and daytime minimum RH values 25 to 30 percent. Winds will diminish and airmass start to moisten again on Monday. NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories LA...None. TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from noon Saturday to noon CST Sunday for GMZ430-432-435-436. Small Craft Advisory from 6am Saturday to noon CST Sunday for GMZ450-452-470-472. Small Craft Advisory from 9am Saturday to noon CST Sunday for GMZ455-475. |
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