Cameron, LA to High Island, TX Marine Forecast
| Today...South Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Patchy Fog Early This Morning. |
| Tonight...South Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. Patchy Fog. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. |
| Sunday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Monday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Monday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Tuesday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. |
| Tuesday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. |
| Wednesday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. |
| Wednesday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 610am CDT Sat April 25 2026 (Today through Friday) Issued at 103am CDT Sat April 25 2026 TLDR; Broken line of showers and thunderstorms with stronger embedded wind segments and heavy downpours is moving southeast from the SHV metro. The environment points to a continued southeast motion with an arrival to Vernon/Rapides/Avoyelles roughly around 200 to 300am LT before riding down the Atchafalaya Basin into the sunrise hours. Confidence is low for intensity, but based on the forecast environment, storms will most likely not maintain a very strong severe threat but there could be isolated pockets of strong wind gusts and svr hail along and east of I-49 through sunrise. Streaming showers are developing between LCH and Ft. Polk. These could be the CAPE-robbing showers seen on recent guidance which would further limit severe potential for the line when it does arrive. ... Radar is quiet... too quiet at this hour. But to the north, there is a broken, semi-congealed cluster of showers and thunderstorms stretching from west to east along the I-20 corridor. West of the LA state line, cells which were once in a line have broken into discrete, weakening cells. To the east, there is more of that congealed line-look of a cold-pooled QLCS. Those storms on the Texas side are expected to taper off and evaporate before reaching Jasper/Newton. In the event they maintain life, they should only amount to a few sprinkles in northern portions of the counties. The cluster to the east will continue moving south and east along the eastern edge of weak ridging situated over the northwest Gulf and down along a moisture boundary following this same arc following the Atchafalaya. The line should maintain the weakening trend seen over this preceding hour as it nears the northern edge of Vernon/Rapides/Avoyelles parishes around roughly 200 to 300am LT, but a few embedded segments may still hold on to some stronger wind segments and or large hail cores as the cluster clips down into Lower Acadiana thru sunrise. While mesoanalysis is analyzing SBCIN in the -50 to -75 J/kg, plenty to keep a line like this in check, majority of this convective cluster is elevated, not surface- based. Thus, storms are able to tap into a slightly higher reserve of CAPE off the sfc; the HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) keeps a fetch of 1900 to 2200 MUCAPE within the corridor of anticipated travel. Even now, watching storm evolution via the SHV radar, a very evident outflow boundary is outracing even the stronger congealed segment of storms south of SHV moving southeast. This could be the start of the line ultimately dying on its way through the heart of LA. The outflow is also helping to nudge updrafts over the low cap, so even though there is outflow, cells are doing their best to catch up with it. I mention that to say, while there is now some increasing confidence for storm placement and timing, forecaster confidence for intensity and impacts down and east of I-49 remains low. Plan for gusts up to 30 to 50 MPH in the immediate cenLA area with a general decrease as the system slides south. Some guidance also probability of precipitation off some cells across the I-10 corridor in the hours just short of sunrise. Which we are beginning to see some evidence of on KPOE radar. These are surface based and so are bubbling under the cap. Not anticipating issues from these showers, rather, they may serve to absorb some CAPE and help to limit things as well. In the event any of these updrafts overcomes the standing cap, there could be a brief period of strong winds and hail with these cells as they lift north. After the system moves through, there will be some remaining local light rainfall which should end rather quickly. Majority of the day should largely be warm and dry otherwise. There is signal for another weather system to deflect across the same-ish corridor along the northern fringe of mid level ridging tomorrow evening (tis the MCS (Mesoscale Convective System, a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms) season!) but this time coverage and intensity is not expected. 11/Calhoun Marine Issued at 103am CDT Sat April 25 2026 Ridging over the west Gulf will keep most shower and storm activity at bay for the coming days. However, a thunderstorm cluster expected to move into the Atchafalaya Basin this morning may carry on south and clip portions of Vermilion Bay and or the nearshore waters to the south. Marine interests in eastern waters should be weather aware. Otherwise, low seas and moderate onshore winds will prevail. Fire Weather Issued at 103am CDT Sat April 25 2026 An area of disorganized showers and storms is set to move into portions of central Louisiana tonight. Some storms may be strong or severe with strong winds and heavy downpours possible from central LA down through Lower Acadiana. Rainfall totals up to 0.50 inches are possible along a tight corridor from I-49, east. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible along this same region Sunday afternoon and evening. Warm, humid conditions are anticipated otherwise. NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. |