South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri...W Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming Sw In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Becoming W 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Chance Of Showers. |
| Sun...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Showers Likely. |
| Sun Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Mon Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 744am EDT Thu Jun 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Temperatures gradually warm, with summerlike temperatures Friday and Saturday. Humidity levels should remain tolerable. 2) Unsettled conditions arrive Saturday night, and likely linger into Sunday. 3) Mainly dry conditions return early next week, with temperatures gradually warming through Wednesday. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Upper level ridging to the west gradually builds east over the next few days. The upper level ridge is forecast to deamplify some by most of the guidance over time and will have implications on the temperature forecast. Overall temperatures continue to gradually warm over the next few days. Temperatures at 5kft will slowly warm from around 14 C by late today. As the ridge axis slides east temperatures warm further aloft and at the surface with 5kft temperatures getting to around 16 C by later in the day Friday. This should eventually get temperatures to around 90, or into the lower 90s for a good portion of the area to close out the week for both Friday and Saturday with night time minimums rising throughout the week. However, the humidity is expected to remain at very tolerable levels so heat indices are not expected to get above the actual air temperatures which should prevent heat headline issuance. In any event expect warmer 80s, to around 90 for metro NJ today. Then lower to a few middle 90s for the metropolitan and inland locations during both Friday and Saturday afternoons. Most dew point readings are expected to remain between 55 and 60, with a few lower 60s dew points out on Long Island on Saturday despite the cold front drawing closer as a synoptic SW flow prevails. Immediate coastal sections will experience a hybrid sea breeze with more of a southerly component to the winds, thus keeping these locations cooler and mainly in the 80s Friday, and especially Saturday. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Most of the global and AI NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) guidance hold back any lead shortwave ahead of the main upstream trough towards Saturday afternoon. This should keep most of the area primarily dry during the day Saturday. Most of the forecast guidance delays the arrival of any shortwave feature(s) until Saturday evening / night. At this point it appears the chances for showers and a few thunderstorms increase late in the day and evening with a pre-frontal trough. The relatively higher chance for any convection would be for western most sections, with chances increasing further east Saturday night into Sunday morning. Sunday should feature unsettled conditions at times with showers and possible thunderstorms around until the cold front completely moves through. .KEY MESSAGE 3... The upper level trough late in the weekend is now forecast to be more progressive Sunday night and into early next week. Thus, NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) consensus now points to ridging to the west returning more quickly, with another warming trend taking shape into Tuesday and Wednesday. This should lead to another stretch of dry weather into the early and middle portion of next week. Marine Sub advisory conditions prevail for much of this week, with basically the only exception to this being for a portion of the western ocean out to 20 nm with an Ambrose jet late this afternoon when gusts could approach 25 kt. During Saturday the chances increase for more widespread small craft conditions, particularly for the ocean out to 20 nm with gusts around 25 kt and ocean seas around 5 ft. Other than marginal small craft seas for the eastern ocean during Sunday, sub advisory conditions are expected to prevail behind a cold front for later in the weekend. The winds then become northeast Sunday night, and then east on Monday as the pressure gradient increases some. This could lead to a period of marginal small craft conditions, mainly for the central and eastern ocean during the day Monday. Otherwise, sub advisory conditions prevail Tuesday as a high pressure ridge builds across the waters. Rip Currents There will remain a low risk of rip currents through Thursday. However, the rip current risk could increase to a moderate risk late in the afternoon or evening on Thursday in a strengthening southerly flow. A moderate risk is more likely on Friday with a building southerly swell at 2 ft 8s. Climate Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures: Friday, June 5 KEWR: 95 (2021) KBDR: 87 (2025) KNYC: 99 (1925) KLGA: 94 (2010) KJFK: 90 (2010) KISP: 88 (2010) Saturday, June 6 KEWR: 97 (2021) KBDR: 93 (2021) KNYC: 98 (1925) KLGA: 95 (2021) KJFK: 90 (1968) KISP: 90 (2021) Daily Record High Minimum Temperatures: Saturday, June 6 KEWR: 71 (2021) KBDR: 67 (2025) KNYC: 77 (1925) KLGA: 76 (2021) KJFK: 69 (2024) KISP: 68 (2024) NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 2pm this afternoon to 11pm EDT this evening for ANZ355. |
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