South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Sw With Gusts Up To 20 Kt Late. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Chance Of Rain. |
| Thu...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Area Forecast Discussion ...CORRECTED National Weather Service New York NY 744am EST Tuesday Jan 13 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No changes with this forecast package. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A cold front will bring the relatively mild spell of weather to an end by Thursday. Single digits wind chills are expected Thursday night. 2) A series of weak frontal systems will bring possible occasional light snow this weekend within an increasingly cold airmass developing across the region. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Above average temperatures for this time of year will continue through Wednesday, followed by a change to colder and more typical temperatures for mid January for later this week. Ahead of the cold front the chances for showers in the form of rain will increase some during Wednesday afternoon, with the relatively highest chance at seeing some showers across northwestern portions of our region. Showers become more likely Wednesday night as the front gets nearer and eventually into the region. Colder air will rush in immediately behind the front with temperatures falling late Wednesday night into Thursday morning from west to east. Any rain will change quickly over to snow, especially further north and northwest early Thursday morning. Drier air however will also quickly rush in just behind the front. Thus any snowfall is expected to be minor with only a dusting to perhaps as much as an inch across some of the higher elevations inland, otherwise just a quick dusting in some spots. Any potential for a impactful east coast storm no longer exists as the shortwave energy is not expected to phase in time for our region. High temperatures on Thursday are likely to occur during the early to mid morning with strong cold air advection taking place throughout the day. Temperatures should hold in the lower half of the 30s for the metro and along the coast during the afternoon, with temperatures likely falling through the 20s well inland for the afternoon. This will set up one of the colder nigheights of the winter thus far for Thursday night. Temperatures will eventually get down into the teens widespread across the region, and perhaps as low as 10 above across far western Orange County. Wind chills should get down into the single digits for the most part region wide. .KEY MESSAGE 2... A series of surface lows traverse the Great Lakes with their associated frontal systems moving across the region for the weekend. Aloft, a mean trough remains across the Northeast with multiple enhancements to associated jet stream SW to NE from Southeast US through the Northeast this weekend into early next week. Models indicate 850mb temperatures and airmass overall getting increasingly cold this weekend into early next week. While forcing remains weak with lack of offshore cyclogenesis, there will be low chances of snow from time to time this weekend. The POPs are low, less than 30 percent. Amounts for any snow look to be light in the forecast with a majority of the time expected to be just mainly dry and cold. Marine Small craft conditions linger early this morning for the eastern most ocean waters. Otherwise, sub advisory conditions are expected to prevail for most of today. However, a SW flow increases later in the afternoon and small craft conditions return for the ocean waters, and for the south shore bays and far eastern portions of LI Sound during the late afternoon into tonight. Small craft seas may linger out on the eastern ocean waters during a portion of Wednesday, otherwise sub advisory conditions should prevail late in the day and into Wednesday evening. As a cold front approaches late Wednesday night and Thursday morning a wind shift occurs with a cold front and a W wind increases. Small craft conditions will prevail towards midday for all waters and could continue through all of Thursday night, especially out on the ocean and for the eastern non-ocean waters. Potential SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions especially on the ocean Friday through the weekend. Gusts could occasionally get close to SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels on some of the non-ocean waters in the same time period but overall, anticipating mainly sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions for the non-ocean waters. Equipment KOKX Doppler Radar is out of service. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 6pm this evening to 6am EST Wednesday for ANZ332-345. Small Craft Advisory from 3pm this afternoon to noon EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355. |
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