South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft On Ice Free Waters. |
| Tonight...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tue...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tue Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Chance Of Snow In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Increasing To 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft After Midnight. Chance Of Snow In The Evening. |
| Sat...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Nw Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 330pm EST Monday Feb 2 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Confidence is increasing in another shot of frigid air for this weekend with potential for cold weather headlines. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Mainly dry and cold thru Thursday. 2) An Arctic front will bring a chance for light snow on Friday, and another shot of frigid air for the weekend. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Temps have been on the milder side today, with Central Park just having surpassed 32 as of 1 PM. Fcst daytime temps through the near term should be somewhat milder than NBM is forecasting, with highs in the mid/upper 30s in most places on Tue, and 30-35 on Wed. There could be some flurries or light snow mainly across the NYC metro area and Long Island Tuesday night with an upper trough passing through. Worst case scenario still looks like a dusting of accumulation. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Guidance continues to agree on a low dropping down from Canada sometime on Friday and passing well to our north as it drags a cold front through the area Friday night. A very cold air mass will build in behind this front characterized by 850mb temps around -20C and dewpoints below 0F. In terms of sensible weather, some light snow will be possible mainly late Friday into Friday night. Snow at first will likely be more light in a warm advection regime and then potentially become showery or squall like with the passing of the cold front. Details on snow squall activity will become clearer later this week. It is too early for snow accumulation forecasts but moisture is very limited with this system. NBM Quantitative Precipitation Forecast mean for Friday and Saturday is under a tenth of an inch for the entire area. While snow ratios will likely be higher than 10:1, this looks like a sub-advisory event. What will end up being more impactful will be the cold air combined with strong winds. As the surface low heads east it looks to deepen to 980 mb or even lower. To our west, a 1030+ mb high builds in. This will create a strong pressure gradient over the area and lead to potential Wind Advisory criteria for Saturday. Additionally, there is potential for Cold Weather headlines Friday night, Saturday night and Sunday night with Saturday night looking like the coldest. Current wind chill forecast of -10F to around -18F across the area for Saturday night is just below Extreme Cold Warning criteria. Marine NW winds continue to diminish. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) remains in effect for the ocean waters as seas gradually subside from 4-7 ft through tonight. An Arctic front will bring strengthening winds and building seas on Friday, with gales possible Friday night through Saturday. Freezing spray could be moderate to heavy at times this weekend. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6am EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353-355. |
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