Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming W This Afternoon. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds And Nw 2 Ft At 3 Seconds. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds And Sw 1 Ft At 3 Seconds. |
| Thu...E Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming S With Gusts Up To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Thu Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. Chance Of Showers And Slight Chance Of Tstms After Midnight. |
| Fri...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 6 Seconds. Chance Of Showers And Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning, Then Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 6 Seconds And Se 1 Ft At 11 Seconds. Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers After Midnight. |
| Sat...E Winds Around 5 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. Showers Likely. |
| Sat Night...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sun...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sun Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. Winds And Seas May Be Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 209pm EDT Wednesday Jun 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes made. .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Unsettled weather returns late Thursday through Saturday. Severe and flash flooding impacts are not anticipated at this time. 2. Hotter temperatures probable for next week. Too early for high confidence regarding potential heat impacts. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Weak low pressure over the Great Lakes on Thursday tracks east and passes to our north on Friday. This will send a warm front through the area Thursday night, followed by a cold front most likely during Friday night. A wave of low pressure along the cold front then passes to our south on Saturday. Showers possible as early as late day/early evening Thursday, but most likely during Thursday night and once again during Friday night into early Saturday. CAPE and shear profiles are not supportive of severe weather during the entire period, but perhaps there's some strong wind gust potential in anything the manages to push in from the west by sunset Thursday. Strong gusts are also possible in any thunderstorms Friday afternoon/early evening. No strong signals yet for flash flooding during the period. PWATs (Precipitable Waters) forecast to increase Friday night into Saturday. Models generally keep the deepest moisture not too far to our south, so trends regarding how far south the cold front sags during this period need to be monitored. The aforementioned wave of low pressure along the front could end up farther north and increase the flooding potential. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Models generally agree with a longwave ridge building to our west during Tuesday. Just how close the ridge axis gets to us before breaking down is in question. Given forecast global model and LREF 850mb temps, along with uncertainty regarding any potential convection spilling over the ridge into our area, agree with WPCs downward adjustment from NBM for Tuesday's high temperatures. Temperatures combined with dewpoints would likely fall short of any advisory thresholds, but given the uncertainty of an event 7 days away, trends will need to be watched, especially for later on in the week when the heat may build further. Marine Sub-advisory conds are expected to prevail through the forecast period. Rip Currents A moderate risk of rip currents remains in place today and Thursday as lingering 2 to 3 ft southerly swells continue. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine None. |
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