Marine Weather Net

Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TODAY

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

FRI

NE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

FRI NIGHT

S
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
ANZ353 Forecast Issued: 1022 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Today...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming E Late. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 5 Seconds And E 3 Ft At 9 Seconds.
Tonight...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming E After Midnight. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 9 Seconds And S 1 Ft At 6 Seconds.
Fri...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 8 Seconds.
Fri Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 2 Ft At 7 Seconds.
Sat...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds.
Sat Night...S Winds Around 10 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 7 Seconds.
Sun...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft.
Sun Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft.
Mon...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft.
Mon Night...Se Winds Around 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1040am EDT Thu April 25 2024

Synopsis
Strong high pressure building in today will remain over the region into Saturday. The high will give way to an approaching warm front Saturday night. The front will move into the area on Sunday and may stall over Connecticut and Long Island early next week as weak high pressure noses down the New England coast. A cold front will approach on Tuesday and move through Tuesday night. Another cold front may approach on Wednesday.

Near Term - Until 6pm This Evening
Northern stream shortwave pivots through northern New England today, with Canadian high pressure building in from the northwest through tonight, This will have an unseasonably cool airmass advecting into the region through the day. NE flow, giving way to afternoon se seabreeze development.

Mid level clouds this morning should continue to scatter through this afternoon.

Temperatures will be around 10 degrees below normal, generally lower to mid 50s.

Short Term - 6pm This Evening Through Friday Night
With the strong Canadian air mass settling over the region tonight, with near calm to light winds, and clear skies, temperatures will remain 5 to 10 degrees below seasonal normals. Freezing temperatures are expected across the interior zones. With the aforementioned conditions have a little more confidence that freezing conditions will occur tonight, and have issued a freeze watch for late tonight into early Friday morning for portions of northeastern New Jersey, into portions of the Lower Hudson Valley, and across interior southern Connecticut, and coastal New London.

The high remains over the region Friday and Friday night with some modification to the air mass as temperatures remain around 5 degrees below normal.

Long Term - Saturday Through Wednesday
Model guidance still forecasts an omega block over the eastern CONUS, with its western leg over the central states and multiple shortwaves lifting NE through the Plains states and upper Great Lakes, its eastern leg over the Canadian Maritimes and adjacent Atlantic, and an upper ridge over the East. The first of the shortwaves lifting through the Plains and Great Lakes will send a warm front toward the area Sat night with some showers that should then move into the area on Sunday, then stall as the eastern leg of the block over the Atlantic strengthens, with low pressure well out to sea and high pressure nosing down the New England coast in the mid level confluence in its wake. NBM captures the details well and was used through the period.

After a cool Saturday with highs in the upper 50s/lower 60s, a warmup should begin on Sunday especially for the NYC metro area, lower Hudson Valley, and NE NJ. Monday should be the warmest of these days, with highs in the lower 80s from NYC north/west, and into the 70s most elsewhere except for eastern Long Island and the SE CT coast, where highs should remain in the 60s. Temps on Tuesday are uncertain and could be a few degrees cooler than forecast if the western Atlantic low and maritime high pressure in its wake exert more influence.

The omega block should start to break down on Tue, with the upper ridge weakening and a cold front approaching from the west, bringing the chance for showers and thunderstorms. The front will pass through Tuesday night, and could be followed by another cold front on Wed.

Marine
Gusty NE winds will gradually diminish through the day as high pressure builds over the waters. Winds and seas will remain below advisory levels through Friday night. On the non ocean waters winds and seas remain below advisory levels today through Friday night.

Quiet this weekend into early next week with winds/seas below advisory criteria. Ocean seas could reach 4 ft Sunday night and again Monday night. Fog may also become possible early next week beginning Sunday night as more humid air traverses colder waters.

Hydrology
No hydrologic concerns through the middle of next week.

NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
CT...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for CTZ005>008-012. NY...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for NYZ067-068. NJ...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for NJZ002.

Marine
None.