Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
|Today...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 1 Ft Or Less.|
|Tonight...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Seas 1 Ft Or Less.|
|Thu...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Seas 1 Ft Or Less.|
|Thu Night...W Winds Around 5 Kt. Seas 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft After Midnight.|
|Fri...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft.|
|Fri Night...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Building To 4 To 7 Ft After Midnight.|
|Sat...E Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft. Rain.|
|Sat Night...Se Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Seas 7 To 9 Ft. Rain.|
|Sun...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 6 To 9 Ft. Chance Of Rain. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm In The Morning.|
|Sun Night...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 7 Ft. Chance Of Rain And Snow In The Evening. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm.|
Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service New York NY
1257pm EST Wednesday Jan 22 2020
High pressure remains over the region through Thursday. The high moves away from the region on Friday. Low pressure impacts the region this weekend. High pressure builds back in early next week.
Near Term - Until 6pm This Evening
Minor adjustments with this update.
High pressure will build over the forecast area today, producing dry weather and seasonal temperatures after a chilly start. Light winds due to the position of the high.
Short Term - 6pm This Evening Through 6pm Thursday
Fair weather will continue through Thursday with thickening high clouds late tonight and Thursday. A blend of the ADJMET/ADJMAV was used for temperatures tonight as the NBM looked very warm considering the lack of wind. The NBM was used however for highs on Thursday with a developing southwest wind. Temperatures looks to reach the 40s for all but the higher elevations across the interior.
Long Term - Thursday Night Through Tuesday
Another dry day expected on Friday as high pressure remains in control. It will be mostly sunny with high clouds moving in through the afternoon ahead of a developing low pressure system. Temperatures will be above normal once again with highs in the 40s.
The main focus for the long term remains the potential storm system for the weekend. Models continue to suggest a strong cutoff upper low tracking across the Ohio Valley and pushing eastward. A secondary low will form just off the coast bringing widespread precipitation into the area by Saturday morning and lingering into Sunday. Precip type will all depend on the track and evolution of the secondary low, but as of now it looks primarily to be a rain even for the coast with a wintry mix inland as the low looks to pass over or just south of Long Island.
While the steadiest precipitation looks to move out by late Saturday night, cyclonic flow continues on Sunday which will keep lingering rain or snow showers in the forecast through most of the day.
High pressure will build in behind the departing storm Monday and Tuesday with high temperatures about 5 degrees above normal.
Winds and seas will remain below Small Craft Advisory levels through Thursday. Winds and seas increase on Friday ahead of an approaching system. Seas on the ocean will build to 5 feet by Friday night with SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions likely on Saturday for all waters. Winds and seas will remain at SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels through early Sunday across the ocean waters before subsiding late in the day.
A widespread precipitation event is likely this weekend. Precipitation amounts remain uncertain at this time therefore it is still too early to determine what impacts may occur.
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.
NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None.