Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: W 5 Ft At 5 Seconds And S 5 Ft At 9 Seconds. Chance Of Showers Early This Evening. |
| Tue...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Seas 5 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft, Building To 7 To 10 Ft, Occasionally To 13 Ft In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: W 7 Ft At 6 Seconds And S 4 Ft At 9 Seconds, Becoming W 9 Ft At 7 Seconds And S 4 Ft At 9 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Rain And Snow Showers. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Tue Night...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt. Seas 7 To 10 Ft, Occasionally To 13 Ft. Wave Detail: W 8 Ft At 7 Seconds And S 5 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Wed...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft. Wave Detail: W 7 Ft At 6 Seconds And S 6 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Wed Night...W Winds Around 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 6 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft. Wave Detail: W 5 Ft At 5 Seconds And S 5 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Thu...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 6 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. |
| Fri...Nw Winds Around 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Fri Night...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Sat...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sat Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 345pm EST Monday Nov 10 2025 Synopsis Another cold front moves through this evening with high pressure building south of the area. Another weak frontal system approaches Wednesday, moving through into early Thursday. High pressure builds in Thursday into Saturday, and moves offshore Saturday night. A frontal system approaches late Saturday night into Sunday and passes through the region Monday. Near Term - Until 6am Tuesday Morning The complex frontal system that remains over and east of the area will continue to gradually shift even further north and east tonight with perhaps some additional showers through the early evening. A secondary cold frontal passage will then very quickly advect colder and drier air into the area tonight. This will be the coldest air of the season so far. Temperatures are expected to rapidly drop into the 30s this evening with much of the interior portions of the area continuing to drop into the middle to upper 20s. Much of the coastal areas will drop to near freezing. As such, these areas are under a Freeze Warning through early Tuesday morning. Additionally, as the low moves northeast and high pressure slowly builds south of the area, the increasing pressure gradient will allow for an increase in wind speeds overnight. This will result in sustained winds tonight 10-15 mph with gusts upwards of 25-30 mph. This combined with the cold air will allow the air to feel like the upper teens inland and in the low 20s along the coast. Short Term - 6am Tuesday Morning Through Wednesday Night The larger scale trough axis swings over the East Coast into Tuesday with some mid-level energy passing by as well. Winds continue to be gusty on Tuesday as enhanced mixing will allow for wind speeds to increase to winds sustained 15-25 mph with gusts upwards of 40-45 mph possible. Instability will develop through the day with the cold upper trough overhead. This will likely result in widespread cumulus through the late morning and early afternoon. The efficient mixing in the BL may actually allow for the development or advection of showers from the NW under the brisk flow. Some hi-res CAMs indicate that some of these instability showers may make their way into and through the area, possibly even to the coast. Given how cold the BL will be, despite surface temperatures in the upper 30s or even lower 40s, it's very possible for there to be showers consisting of snow and rain, though plain snow is expected for inland areas if any showers move through. Given the brief nature of any snow showers, no accumulation is expected, though a dusting or coating of snow can't be ruled out for inland areas on colder or grassy surfaces in a more persistent snow shower. By Tuesday night, high pressure noses in a bit more with a wind shifting out of the W/SW. Winds will remain gusty but weaken a bit from during the day. Despite another night with lows in the low to middle 30s, the persistent wind may largely prevent frost formation but this will be refined over the next 24 hours to determine if any headlines are necessary. Another weak frontal system will approach the area on Wednesday with high temperatures on Wednesday moderating a bit as compared to Tuesday with highs in the middle to upper 40s inland and near 50 along the coast. Long Term - Thursday Through Monday Key points: * Dry conditions Thursday through Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. * A frontal system approaches late Saturday and moves across the region Monday with chances for light light rain. * Temperatures slightly below seasonal normals much of the time, and around 5 to 8 degrees below normal Friday night through Saturday night. * Brisk westerly flow continues Thursday through Friday. Marine Winds and seas gradually increase into tonight with Small Craft Advisories in effect. A Gale Warning is in effect on all waters for Tuesday into Tuesday night. Winds will gust as high as 35 to 40 kts and seas will reach around 10 ft on the ocean. Conditions on the waters may fall below gale conditions by Wednesday morning, but all waters likely remain in Small Craft conditions with persistent W/NW winds. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions will likely be on-going across the forecast waters Thursday with a gusty northwest flow behind a departing frontal system. High pressure builds in through Thursday, and during Thursday evening the non ocean waters fall below advisory levels. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions remain on the ocean waters Thursday night and Friday, and drop below advisory Friday evening as the high builds over the waters. Sub advisory conditions are then expected across the forecast waters through Saturday night. Hydrology No hydrologic concerns are expected through the weekend. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...Freeze Warning from 1am to 9am EST Tuesday for CTZ009>012. NY...Freeze Warning from 1am to 9am EST Tuesday for NYZ071>075- 078>081-176>179. NJ...Freeze Warning from 1am to 9am EST Tuesday for NJZ006-104- 106-108. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6am EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Gale Warning from 6am Tuesday to 1am EST Wednesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6am EST Tuesday for ANZ350-353-355. Gale Warning from 6am Tuesday to 6am EST Wednesday for ANZ350-353-355. |
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