Marine Weather Net

Tampa Bay Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

E
WINDS
10
KNOTS

SATURDAY

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SATURDAY NIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SUNDAY

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ830 Forecast Issued: 850 PM EDT Fri Aug 07 2026

Tonight...East Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers And Thunderstorms Early This Evening, Then Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms Late This Evening.
Saturday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Sunday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening.
Monday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Tuesday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Wednesday...South Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
847pm EDT Fri August 7 2026

Issued at 228pm EDT Fri August 7 2026 Showers and storms continue to march westward this afternoon as the ridge axis remains to our north with continued northeast/east flow. Similar to yesterday afternoon, expect some stronger wind gusts in the 40-50 mph range with any of these storms as well as heavy rainfall and localized flooding.

Previous discussion (modified)...Over the weekend, broad upper ridging and surface high pressure located between Bermuda and the Carolinas continues to dominate the weather pattern over Florida. Numerous to widespread showers and storms expected on Saturday, then scattered to numerous showers and storms on Sunday.

By Monday, the upper ridge and surface high pressure will nudge slightly southward between Bermuda and the Bahamas. A continued east- southeast wind flow will persist through the first half of next week. Some slightly drier air will move into the region with PWAT (Precipitable Water) values between 1.7 - 2.0 inches expected. This will bring slightly lower rain and storm chances, but still enough for scattered showers and isolated storms developing each afternoon. The ridge axis will shift further south over south Florida for the latter part of next week, bringing a shift in winds to a southwest through westerly direction.

Temperatures and heat indices are expected to stay below advisory criteria through the period with daytime temperatures topping out in the upper 80s to mid 90s and overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Marine
Issued at 228pm EDT Fri August 7 2026 High pressure continues north of the waters for the next few days, with southeast flow prevailing. Scattered showers and storms are expected each day with the best chances in the late afternoon and evening hours. No headlines are expected, but winds and seas will be higher in or near storms.

Fire Weather
Issued at 228pm EDT Fri August 7 2026 A northeast to southeast wind flow will continue through the weekend. Abundant moisture will remain across the region allowing for a more typical summertime weather pattern with scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day. Relative humidity values will remain well above critical levels and winds will be less than 15 mph, except gusty and erratic near showers and thunderstorms.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.