Marine Weather Net

Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

SW
WINDS
10
KNOTS

SUNDAY

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SUNDAY NIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

MONDAY

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ853 Forecast Issued: 235 PM EDT Sat May 21 2022

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
Tonight...Southwest Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming East 15 To 20 Knots Late This Evening And Overnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms This Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Sunday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop.
Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop.
Monday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop.
Tuesday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop.
Wednesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Wednesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Thursday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
242pm EDT Sat May 21 2022

Long wave trough from eastern Canada to the central plains slips eastward through Sunday while keeping southwesterly flow aloft much of the southeast U.S. and Gulf of Mexico...with weak short wave troughs tracking through. At the surface high pressure from the Atlantic ridges west across north FL. These features will continue to stream moisture rich air across the area through Sun. Forecast PWAT (Precipitable Water) values run 1.5 inches and above...with swaths near 2 inches at times.

Ample moisture along with energy supplied by a short wave trough will maintain the possibility of locally heavy rainfall and storms that may reach strong to severe criteria. The main threats will be gusty damaging winds...hail...and minor flooding. Convection winds down overnight but then begins to form up again Sunday morning. However the deepest moisture and the short wave trough starts to depart so coverage will be trending down during the day.

Monday through Sat: The low wave trough tracks east and dampens out with ridging building over the southeast U.S. and the Gulf through midweek. During the last half of the week a trough over the central plains deepens as it moves...stretching from the Great Lakes to the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Sat. The Atlantic high pressure ridge axis lifts up along the AL/GA/FL border until Wednesday when to begins to slide southeastward as a frontal boundary...accompanying the upper trough...approaches from the west and slips into FL.

The week begins with a more summer like pattern...southeasterly flow prevails with afternoon sea breezes and moisture enough for isolated to scattered showers and storms. Moisture begins to increase toward the end of the week with scattered to occasionally numerous showers/storms going into the weekend.

Marine
Periods of exercise caution continue on most waters through Sunday for winds up to 20 knots...but higher near thunderstorms. High pressure currently across the waters lifts north for early to mid week with a relaxing gradient...allowing winds along with seas to diminish.

Fire Weather
No concerns for the next few days. Moisture will adequate to preclude low humidity issues and to support showers and storms. Monday will see some locally high dispersions.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Today: 7 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tomorrow: 7

For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.