Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest Late. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. |
| Tonight...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds, Becoming South 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. |
| Friday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 4 Seconds, Becoming Southeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet After Midnight. Wave Detail: North 1 Foot At 2 Seconds And Southwest 1 Foot At 4 Seconds, Becoming East 1 Foot At 2 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less, Then Around 2 Feet After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Monday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1012am EDT Thu May 21 2026 Issued at 1012am EDT Thu May 21 2026 Today is looking pretty similar to yesterday as the low level flow remains out of the east to southeast with precipitable water values between 1.4 and 1.6 inches. Overall low level flow is light enough that the west coast sea breeze should move inland to around or east of the I-75 corridor and this combined with daytime heating and enough moisture will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening. Overall forecast looks on track with no changes needed. Issued at 1207am EDT Thu May 21 2026 Not much change to the overall forecast reasoning. Relatively stagnant pattern through the remainder of the week and the upcoming weekend as surface high pressure over the western Atlantic will extend across the Florida peninsula with the ridge axis located north of the forecast area. This will produce east to southeast boundary layer flow across the peninsula for the next several days. The west coast sea breeze boundary will develop each afternoon with the east/southeast flow holding the boundary over the coastal counties. Highest probability of precipitation will be about 20 to 40 miles inland each day through the weekend, which will be the location of the west coast sea breeze boundary during the late afternoon/early evening hours. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop each afternoon along the boundary with the greatest areal coverage from the Tampa Bay area and south. Stronger storms will be capable of producing wind gusts of 40 to 50 MPH and small hail. TUTT cell off the Florida east coast will be quasi-stationary today and Friday. This will in effect create lower heigheights over west central and southwest Florida which will aid in increasing convective instability. The TUTT will exit over the weekend allowing an U/L ridge to build over the forecast area thus increasing large scale subsidence over the Florida peninsula. Scattered to numerous afternoon showers/storms are still expected to develop along the west coast sea breeze boundary over the weekend as the increased subsidence will likely be offset by slightly warmer temps/increased low level instability. Offshore flow will aid in continuing above normal daily temperatures across west central and southwest Florida through the period with highs generally in the lower to mid 90s away from the coast. The increased subsidence over the weekend will allow temperatures to climb even a few degrees higher. Marine Issued at 1207am EDT Thu May 21 2026 Surface high pressure will hold over the waters through the period with no headlines expected. Main hazard will be showers/storms developing over land each day which will push locally offshore during the afternoon/evening hours causing locally strong winds and rough seas. Fire Weather Issued at 1207am EDT Thu May 21 2026 Sufficient low level moisture will hold across the forecast area for the next several days which will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values above critical levels. Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 6 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. Gulf waters...None. |
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