Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 to 60 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. |
| Thursday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. |
| Saturday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Sunday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. |
| Sunday Night...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Increasing To 20 To 25 Knots After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Monday...Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Monday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. A Slight Chance Of Showers. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 753pm CDT Wednesday April 1 2026 Issued at 1239pm CDT Wednesday April 1 2026 Now through Wednesday... An upper level ridge has shifted to over the Caribbean and points east, with a weak upper trough settling over the western Gulf, and high pressure stretching west over eastern portions of the Southeast. An upper level shortwave trough currently moving over the Plains moves east, then northeast as the Caribbean upper ridge deflects it northeast. A "tail" of shortwave energy stretching south from the main upper system moves into the upper ridge over the Southeast, slowing down as it moves over the Southeast. The upper ridge continues to maintains enough presence over the Southeast to maintain a surface ridge stretching west over the Southeast. Onshore flow is maintained over the Southeast and Lower Mississippi River Valley into the weekend. Unfortunately, the dance between upper subsidence from the upper ridge and moist southerly flow off the Gulf continues. For today, best combination of better moisture influx (and precipitable h20 levels around 1.5") and weaker subsidence remains over areas west of the Tombigbee. Am expecting this activity to spread east over the forecast area today, but not quite as extensive as west. Thursday, the upper ridge rules, with a slug of drier air (precipitable h20 levels falling to around 1') moving north over the forecast area from over the eastern Gulf, and a shutting off any rain over the forecast area for Thursday as it shifts west of the forecast area. Better moisture returns begin Friday, with Probability of Precipitation increasing later Friday into the weekend. A cold front approaches the Lower Mississippi River Valley Friday night into Saturday, then moves over the forecast area Sunday as another round of passing shortwave energy weakens the upper ridge. Through Saturday, best Probability of Precipitation remain west and northwest of the forecast area, closer to the approaching front. Any of the stronger storms today, then again later Friday through Saturday will have to be monitored for gusty winds and near severe hail, with enough instability (MLCapes in the 1500-200J/kg range) available. Wind shear remains meh, with Bulk Wind Shear below 20kts through Saturday. Sunday into Wednesday, guidance is advertising a strong upper low passing north of the forecast area, with a weaker shortwave trough moving over the Southeast Sunday night into Monday. Guidance is advertising the above mentioned cold front crossing the forecast area beginning early Sunday (a bit quicker than yesterday's guidance) in response and stalling well south of the forecast area late Sunday night. This ushers in a cooler and drier airmass and the period of better rain chances ending Monday. Some guidance and the ensemble leaning NBM is keeping rain over the forecast area into Tuesday, especially with those advertising the front stalling a bit closer to the marine portions of the forecast area and a bit of isentropic upglide. With the frontal passage timing in decent agreement with recent days, and no isentropic upglide indicated behind the frontal passage in the majority of the guidance, am having a hard time with this ending time of the rain in the coming week. High temperatures rise to well above seasonal norms last through Saturday, topping out in the low to mid 80s along and north of the I- 10, upper 70s south to the coast. Sunday is a transitional day as cooler air moves over the forecast area behind the front. By Monday, high temperatures below seasonal norms are advertised by guidance (67-72). Some moderation occurs into mid week (with high temperatures in the low to mid 70s), but not as much as this week. Low temperatures in the low to mid 60s are expected ahead of the coming frontal passage, mid 40s to around 50 behind for Monday night on. Consistent onshore flow expected into the weekend is bringing continued better swell to area beaches. Rip current guidance is advertising the Rip Risk at the Moderate to High juncture the rest of the week through the weekend. With area beaches reporting Red Flags and a High Rip risk, a RP.S is currently in effect through the weekend. /16 Marine Issued at 1239pm CDT Wednesday April 1 2026 Light to moderate southeast to southerly winds are expected through the week. Moderate to strong offshore winds will follow a cold front passage Sunday, bringing increased impacts to small craft in the coming week. /16 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...High Rip Current Risk through late Saturday night for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Saturday night for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...None. |
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