Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South Late. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 6 Seconds. |
| Tonight...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. |
| Thursday...East Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 4 Feet At 5 Seconds. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 5 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Saturday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 5 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 6 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 5 Feet At 8 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sunday...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: South 3 Feet At 7 Seconds. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 618am CDT Wednesday Mar 26 2025 ...New Aviation... Issued at 311am CDT Wednesday Mar 26 2025 Today through Tuesday Night... Dry and warm weather prevails through Friday before a series of upper shortwaves progress across the region Saturday into Monday bringing increased rain and thunderstorm chances. Zonal to perhaps northwesterly flow aloft will exist on the backside of the shortwave trough Tuesday, once again bringing dry weather to the area. In terms of rain and thunderstorm chances, our best odds appear to be on Saturday when a slightly more robust shortwave passes over the area. Expect scattered to numerous showers and storms, particularly west of the I-65 corridor. Overall the wind field aloft with this system isn't particularly impressive with only 30 knots of deep layer shear and given the widespread convection CAPE values should stay modest below 1,000 j/kg. This should preclude much in the way of severe weather, although some guidance does show the shear being packed within the lowest 3km of the atmosphere and a largely streamwise hodograph coupled with 25kts of storm relative inflow. If that occurs we may try to set the stage for a mini spinny or two to try and develop. With that said, a very moist atmospheric profile would mean even the mini's would need some help with nudgers if they were to try and be problematic, but given the marginal environment anticipation is for everything to stay tame at this time. Sunday appears to be largely a non- event for the area as forcing stays well to the north and most the models don't even generate convection for us. Given the steep low to mid level lapse rates and afternoon heating resulting in robust CAPE approaching 3,000j/kg, can't rule out an isolated afternoon pulse-type storm or two or a loosely organized cluster of storms that tries to become strong to severe with a large hail and/or damaging wind threat, mainly over interior portions of southwest into south- central Alabama. Monday appears to have trended up a bit on the various global guidance the past 24 hours as the trough has become more pronounced/sharper and digs further south. It appears to induce some better height falls over interior portions of the area. This coupled with ample shear and CAPE may allow for a few strong to severe storms to develop prior to the cold front moving through the area. With that said, I'm usually not a fan of the forcing lifting out quickly and only glancing the area leaving a trailing cold front, so the bulk of any more appreciable severe risk may remain to the north of us. It will certainly be something to watch for any trends as we move through the rest of the week. Overall temperatures will be quite warm, perhaps approaching record high territory today with highs topping out in the middle 80's. Lower to middle 80's can be expected for Thursday. Temperatures will be a bit cooler Friday into Saturday owing to increased cloud cover and rain chances, with highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's through Friday and middle to generously upper 70's for Saturday. Sunday we dry out as the next shortwave likely transits north of the area allowing for temperatures to warm significantly into the middle 80's, perhaps even a few spots attempting to approach upper 80's. After this, we keep highs in the upper 70's to lower 80's through the beginning of next week. Overnight lows become quite warm as well, nearly 10 to 15 degrees above normal for this time of year, each night Friday night through Sunday night with lows in the middle 60's. Some forecast guidance even suggests lows may stay as warm as the upper 60's to lower 70's, so further adjustments upwards may be necessary in the coming days. Temperatures get knocked back a bit Monday night and Tuesday night into the middle to upper 50's inland and lower 60's nearer the coast in the wake of a cold front. A low risk of rip currents exists through Thursday night, rapidly increasing Friday morning to a moderate risk and high risk by Friday afternoon and evening. This high risk of rip currents will continue through the weekend. MM/25 Marine Issued at 311am CDT Wednesday Mar 26 2025 Light and variable flow will prevail today as high pressure moves overhead. A weak front will move across the marine zones tonight, allowing for a light to moderate easterly wind to develop for Thursday. Moderate southeasterly flow sets up for Friday and into the weekend. While winds are expected to remain just below small craft advisory criteria Friday into Saturday, small craft will still need to exercise caution during that period. MM/25 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |
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