South Mobile Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms This Afternoon. |
| Tonight...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. |
| Tuesday...West Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Tuesday Night...West Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Wednesday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves 1 To 2 Feet. A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves Around 2 Feet. A Moderate Chop. |
| Thursday...East Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Feet. Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming East 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Feet In The Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 To 2 Feet. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Feet In The Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. A Slight Chance Of Showers. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1241pm CDT Monday Jun 1 2026 Issued at 1121am CDT Monday Jun 1 2026 Our active weather pattern continues with westerly to northwesterly flow aloft setting up over the area in response to a trough transiting the Mid-Atlantic states the next few days. A back door cold front moves across the area Wednesday in response to this trough, and will allow for drier, cooler air to infiltrate the area mid to late week. Expect scattered to numerous showers and storms the next couple days, with rain chances dwindling significantly mid to late week. Southeast Mississippi may hang on to some small rain chances Wednesday before the front is fully through the area. Afternoon temperatures in the lower to middle 90's today and tomorrow become near or just below seasonable norms in the 80's Wednesday through the weekend. Afternoon heat indices once again top out in the 100 to 105 range today and Tuesday. Some strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon into the evening hours, best chances near and north of the Highway 84 corridor. Generally weak shear around 15 to 25 knots over the interior, weaker towards the coast, coupled with the passing shortwave and 4,000 to 5,000j/kg of CAPE should allow for loosely organized clusters of storms to develop this afternoon. There'll likely be two areas of focus, with the first being on an eventual MCS (Mesoscale Convective System, a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms) to develop north of the area in northern Alabama that sags southward with time, likely reaching our forecast area late afternoon into the evening hours. This will have the best threat for any strong to severe storms owing to the "stronger" shear with primary hazard being damaging wind gusts. Further south nearer the coast, afternoon thunderstorms will likely fire off on whatever sea breeze boundary tries to work its way inland. Shear is much weaker down south, and the expectation would be for more pulse type storms than anything. These still could pose a threat for small hail and/or damaging wind gusts in any microbursts. Any storms today will pose the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding, particularly if storms can remain stationary or train over the same locations or areas that were hard hit the past week. While some risk for strong storms persists Tuesday, weak shear should preclude any organized severe risk with main hazards being gusty winds and small hail. Once again, heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding is possible Tuesday with any slow moving storms. MM/25 Marine Issued at 1121am CDT Monday Jun 1 2026 Light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow persists today. Winds shift to northerly and then easterly Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, strengthening to moderate to occasionally strong flow through the end of the week. Seas increase to 5 to 7 feet by mid week. Southeasterly flow develops Friday through much of the weekend. Expect locally higher winds and seas near thunderstorms. MM/25 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |
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