Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Southeast Wind 5 To 10 Knots. Bays Smooth. |
| Tonight...Southeast Wind Around 10 Knots Shifting South After Midnight. Bays Slightly Choppy To Occasionally Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening. Patchy Fog In The Evening. Areas Of Fog After Midnight. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Wind 10 To 15 Knots Becoming North 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bays Choppy To Occasionally Rough. Patchy Fog In The Morning. |
| Wednesday Night...North Wind 20 To 25 Knots. Bays Choppy To Rough. |
| Thursday...Northeast Wind 15 To 20 Knots. Bays Choppy To Occasionally Rough. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Wind 10 To 15 Knots. Bays Slightly Choppy To Occasionally Choppy. |
| Friday...North Wind 10 To 15 Knots Shifting Southeast In The Afternoon. Bays Slightly Choppy To Occasionally Choppy. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Wind 15 To 20 Knots Becoming South 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Bays Choppy. |
| Saturday...South Wind 10 To 15 Knots Becoming Southeast 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bays Choppy. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Wind Around 20 Knots. Bays Choppy To Occasionally Rough. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 354pm CDT Monday Oct 14 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TER Marine .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 324pm CDT Monday Oct 14 2024 The overall pattern hasn't changed much from a few days ago with the main upper ridge still upstream of Texas, and a surface ridge that stretches from the Great Lakes into South Texas. The pattern has continued with PWAT (Precipitable Water) values of less than 1.00" over the forecast area. GFS (Global Forecast System) and ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) have through Tuesday continues that theme of dryness as the 1.0" isopleth remains over the Gulf. Cross sections and model sounding, what moisture there is, is in a thin layer near the ground. That thin moisture layer has been the cause of the patchy fog, sometimes dense, near Alice and Victoria during the last week. Tuesday night into Wednesday isn't as cut and dry. The moisture increases along the Coastal Bend with 1.00"+ PWAT (Precipitable Water) values moving in Tuesday night. A couple of the CAMs (ARW, NAMNest) as well as the NAM12, have rain into the Coastal Bend before 12z/Wed, while the GFS and ECMWF (and a few of the other CAMs) don't have rain in the region until after 12z/Wed. The NBM has probability of precipitation after 12z/Wed. Have gone with the NBM/GFS/ECMWF. Long Term (Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 324pm CDT Monday Oct 14 2024 Key Messages: - Cold front Wednesday will limit highs in the 80s and bring a low 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. - Increasing concern of minor coastal flooding Wednesday into the latter part of the week. Although we'll be under a mid-level ridge the middle of this week, the backdoor of the trough axis extending over the Atlantic will push a cold front across South TexaS through the day Wednesday. Along this front, there will be a low chance of showers and thunderstorms as moisture pools to just above normal. Winds will shift out of the northeast at 15-25 mph and cause hazardous seas. The front will washout and become more like a stationary front over or just north of South Texas through the rest of the week with onshore flow returning as surface high pressure sits over the southeast CONUS. Above normal moisture ahead of the boundary along with weak to moderate isentropic lift, will warrant a daily low 20- 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms. There will be relief of temperatures with highs generally in the 80s and lows from the 60s to lower 70s. Wednesday night is an exception with lows potentially dropping into the mid 50s over the inland Victoria Crossroads and Coastal Plains. We'll need to keep a close eye on minor coastal flooding potential in wake of the front Wednesday night into the latter part of the week as winds increase out of the northeast, enhancing the Ekman transport mechanism, and swell periods near 8 seconds. P-ETSS indicates water levels nearing 2.0ft MSL during high tide. Marine Issued at 324pm CDT Monday Oct 14 2024 Weak south flow this evening will veer to the southwest overnight and remain weak into Tuesday morning. During the day on Tuesday, the flow will begin to back to the southeast and continue weak into Wednesday morning. A cold front will pass through the northwest Gulf waters Wednesday morning, causing winds to shift out of the northeast and strengthen to 20-30 knots. These Small Craft Advisory conditions will continue through Wednesday night, becoming more easterly then weakening to 15-20 knots Thurday. Moderate to strong east to southeasterly winds will continue through this weekend. A 20-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms will persist Wednesday through this weekend. NOAA Corpus Christi TX Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories TX...None. GM...None. |
Corpus Christi TX Radar
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