Calcasieu Lake Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Tonight...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Tuesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Wednesday...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Lake Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Showers Likely With A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.|
|Wednesday Night...Southwest Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Becoming Northwest After Midnight. Lake Waters Rough. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening.|
|Thursday...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming West 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Thursday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northwest 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots After Midnight. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Friday...Northwest Winds Around 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Friday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy.|
|Saturday...North Winds Around 10 Knots. Lake Waters Light Chop.|
|Saturday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Lake Waters Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1150pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023
As we progress into Wednesday, a vigorous storm system will approach from the west, forcing thunderstorms across the forecast area. Regarding severe storms, we believe that the risk for an organized line of storms has increased.
Taking a look at the GEFS superplume cape data for southwest Louisiana, the mean value has trended up to around 700-750 j/kg, with a couple of members pushing 1000 j/kg, including the GFS (Global Forecast System) operational member.
There is also an uptick in low level cape (ML Cape below 3km) across much of south central and southwest Louisiana by 16z, or ahead of Wednesday's storms.
The primary severe risk would be damaging wind gusts with the most robust sections of the line. However, we will continue to monitor for the ingredients for a couple of QLCS tornadoes as well.
By Wednesday night, all storms will have shifted out of the area, setting the stage for an extended period of dry and cool weather. While a hard freeze is not expected, many locations will flirt with the freezing mark both Friday and Saturday nights. Afternoon highs in the 50s and 60s are likely on an afternoon basis Thursday - Saturday, with readings back in the 70s by Sunday.
For the extended forecast, there remains signal for another storm system to arrive by the middle of next week. This remains uncertain given that it's 8 to 10 days out.
Southerly flow will persist through tonight and increase late Tomorrow as low pressure forms over the Southern Plains and remain moderate and gusty into Wednesday. Wind speeds will be in the 15 to 20 knots Tuesday night into Wednesday with the possibility of small craft exercise caution headlined in the forecast.
A weak cold front will move across the coastal waters Wednesday night. Showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of this system on Tuesday night and persist until the front moves through.
A secondary, stronger cold front will move across the coastal waters on Friday with offshore flow becoming stronger and gusty behind the front.
NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.