Calcasieu Lake Marine Forecast
| Today...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots Late. Lake Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers Late This Morning And Afternoon. |
| Tonight...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Lake Waters Rough. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Lake Waters Rough. Showers. Thunderstorms Likely, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Saturday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Saturday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. |
| Sunday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Lake Waters Choppy. |
| Monday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Lake Waters Light Chop. |
| Monday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northeast After Midnight. Lake Waters Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
|
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 433am CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TER Marine .KEY MESSAGES... - Heavy rainfall becomes a concern from Friday into Saturday with a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall on Friday and a Marginal Risk on Saturday - Active weather will continue through early next week .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday night) Issued at 358am CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Quiet weather conditions persist this morning, with a weak boundary positioned just north of the region and an upper level disturbance located well to the west. This setup has contributed to scattered showers developing just west of the CWA. As the aforementioned disturbance progresses eastward, shower activity will gradually extend into our SETX Counties by the afternoon. However, current model guidance supports only scattered PoPs at this time. By early Friday morning, increasing rain coverage and intensity are anticipated as the upper level disturbance interacts with a northward moving warm front from the Gulf. PWAT (Precipitable Water) values are forecast to range between 1.50 and 1.75 inches, exceeding the 90th percentile climatologically. This moisture rich environment will persist through Friday before gradually shifting eastward on Saturday, leading to multiple days of potential heavy rainfall. The WPC has placed nearly the entire CWA (County Warning Area) under a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall on Friday, with portions of Central and Southcentral Louisiana under a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) on Saturday. Quantitative Precipitation Forecast totals are projected in the 1 to 3 inch range, with localized areas potentially receiving up to 4 inches or higher. While severe weather parameters remain marginal, there is a nonzero probability for all convective modes. However, the primary hazard appears to be heavy rainfall, which may lead to localized flooding concerns. Long Term (Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 358am CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 As the short terms disturbance exits the region, another system will advance from the Rockies into the Northern and Central Plains. This system is expected to drive a cold front into the area. While the potential for severe weather remains uncertain at this time, some parameters currently suggest limited support for storms. Model guidance diverges regarding the frontal timing, with some solutions indicating a faster progression, clearing the area by late Monday, while others suggest a slower evolution, maintaining precipitation into Tuesday. Despite the frontal passage, temperatures are expected to remain above average, with little to no relief in dew points due to rapid return flow from the Gulf. Beyond midweek, model uncertainty increases significantly. An upper level trough is forecast to traverse the US/Canada border, potentially bringing another cold front. However, its progression will largely depend on the positioning of an upper ridge, which some models depict over Mexico and the Gulf, while others place it over Florida and the Atlantic. This synoptic setup will require further monitoring in the coming days. Marine Issued at 358am CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 A weak area of low pressure and disturbance aloft will mover across Texas and Louisiana late today into Saturday. An increase in storm chances and winds will occur as a result. A cold front will move into the coastal waters Monday with an offshore flow persisting into Tuesday. NOAA Lake Charles LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. |
Lake Charles LA Radar
Gulf Radar