Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Ne In The Afternoon. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sun Night...E Winds 10 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Mon...Se Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Mon Night...S Winds 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Tue...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Nw After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Wed...N Winds 10 Kt, Becoming Ne In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Wed Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 133pm EDT Sat April 19 2025 Synopsis Dry and much warmer conditions expected today. A front dips into the region on Sunday before lifting back northward on Monday. Rain chances hold off until next week. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 935am EDT Saturday... Key Messages: - Breezy and very warm today with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Bermuda high pressure remains anchored offshore with surface low pressure over the Great Lakes. A cold front extends south and west from the low all the way into SE TX. A building ridge aloft will expand NE from the central Gulf into the Mid Atlantic today. Temps as of 930am ranged from the mid 60s to near 70F under partly cloudy skies. Very warm and remaining dry today with continued breezy SW winds resulting from low pressure to the NW and high pressure offshore. Wind gusts up to 25-30 mph are possible today with the strongest winds along the coast and across the Eastern Shore. Afternoon temps rise well into the 80s inland with even some upper 80s to around 90 degree readings possible as heigheights aloft continue to build. The only change to the forecast was increasing highs today across the Eastern Shore and E VA given strong mixing from SW winds likely allowing temps to overperform. Clouds increase tonight with lows in the 60s. Short Term - Sunday Through Monday Night As of 345am EDT Saturday... Key Messages: - Backdoor cold front drops south and west Sunday, leading to a range of temps across the area. - The front lifts back to the north on Monday with low level moisture increasing ahead of an approaching cold front. Tricky temperature forecast for Sunday with a front dropping into the area. Latest guidance shows the backdoor front making it through the entire area on Sunday but colder air/onshore flow will lag behind the surface boundary by a few hours. Temps will likely be able to rise into the low 80s across the SW half of the area before falling off in the afternoon. The NE half of the region will not see temps increase much from their mid morning values before falling off considerably through the afternoon. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy through the day with some thinning in the cloud cover expected by mid to late afternoon across the NE. Wide range of temps overnight as well with lows in the upper 40s to low 50s for the Eastern Shore with mid and upper 50s for the remainder of the region. The front will lift north as a warm front on Monday with southerly flow and thinning clouds by the afternoon. Staying dry through the day with highs in the 80s inland and 60s to low 70s for the Eastern Shore. A very slight chance for a few showers across the far N and NW Monday night but not expecting more than a trace of precipitation at most. Mild once again with lows in the 60s. Long Term - Tuesday Through Friday As of 345am EDT Saturday... Key Messages: - Weakening frontal boundary will meander over the region mid to late week with mainly diurnal chances for showers and a few storms. - Above normal temperatures continue with highs in the 80s through the week. Strong upper ridging near Florida will be shunted south and east mid to late week, allowing broad SW flow aloft and a return of scattered showers and storms. Temps rise into the 80s Tuesday with Probability of Precipitation 30-50% (highest SW) during the afternoon, spreading SE into the evening and overnight hours. Slightly cooler Wednesday but temps still approach the 80 degree mark away from the coast. There is a chance for scattered afternoon and evening showers across the southern half of the area. Pattern remains stagnant with temps in the 80s Thursday and Friday with a slight chance for diurnal showers. Lows through the period will be mild, generally in the 50s and 60s. Marine As of 350am EDT Saturday... Key Messages: - SSW winds remain elevated today, the diminish tonight. SCAs are in effect for most of the marine area. Latest analysis indicates 1025+mb high pressure well offshore of the lingering offshore of the Carolina coast early this morning, with ~1000mb surface low pressure drifting east across the upper Great Lakes. This will continue to bring elevated SSW winds through late aftn/evening across the marine area and as such, SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) are in effect for all zones except the coastal waters S of Cape Charles. Expect SSW winds 15-20 kt today with gusts generally to 25 kt, but up to 30 kt where gradient is tightest across the northern coastal waters. Waves in the bay will average 2-3 ft into this evening, with seas 2-4 ft expected south of Cape Charles Light and 4-6 ft to the north. As the cold front slowly approaches from the NW tonight, the pressure gradient relaxes, and eventually does finally drop south through Sunday. Could see a bit of a surge as this occurs, but for now the surge looks to be sub- SCA, as the front gradually weakens as it drops across the area. Nonetheless, expect winds quickly veer from SSW to NE ~10-15 kt Sunday into Sunday afternoon. then gradually shifting back to the SSE Monday with another warm front lifting through the region. A trailing cold front then approaches from the west, slowly crossing into the region late Tuesday, with SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines potentially being needed over the Bay ahead of this boundary. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EDT this afternoon for ANZ630- 631-635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EDT this evening for ANZ632>634-638. Small Craft Advisory until 1am EDT Sunday for ANZ650-652. |
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