Marine Weather Net

Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUE

NW
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TUE NIGHT

S
WINDS
5 KNOTS

WED

W
WINDS
5 KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
ANZ631 Forecast Issued: 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Tonight...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Waves 1 To 2 Ft, Subsiding To 1 Foot.
Tue...Nw Winds 5 Kt, Becoming N Late. Waves 1 Foot.
Tue Night...S Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot.
Wed...W Winds 5 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot.
Wed Night...S Winds 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft.
Thu...S Winds 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Foot.
Thu Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft.
Fri...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 15 Kt In The Morning. Waves 1 Foot.
Fri Night...S Winds 10 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Foot.
Sat...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Ne In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Foot.
Sat Night...E Winds 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. A Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
333pm EDT Monday September 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED... Updated full discussion. No significant forecast changes.

.KEY MESSAGES... 1) A warming trend will bring above average high temperatures by mid to late week, along with dry conditions.

2) An unsettled weather pattern with cooler and wetter conditions is possible by this weekend.

As of 300pm EDT Monday... KEY MESSAGE 1...A warming trend will bring above average high temperatures by mid to late week, along with dry conditions.

Low pressure (~1006 mb), the remnants of this past weekend's Nor'east, continues to weaken offshore of Long Island this afternoon. However, it maintains quite an impressive appearance in visible satellite with a tightly- defined swirl and banding features. A large area of high pressure is situated over the Midwest and this will gradually build eastward through midweek. This will occur as an upper-level ridge builds offshore of the Southeast CONUS. Temperatures will gradually warm through the week, with legitimate hot temperatures for early October by Thursday and Friday. A few locations could flirt with the lower 90s on these days, but especially on Friday. The surface and upper-air synoptics support dry weather through most of the work week.

KEY MESSAGE 2...An unsettled weather pattern with cooler and wetter conditions is possible by this weekend.

High pressure shifts offshore Friday into Saturday. This will allow for some sort of elongated frontal system and/or wave of low pressure to approach the area during the upcoming weekend period, likely from the S or SW. There remains considerable spread among the guidance on the track of these features, but some sort of cold front is likely to finally clear the area early next week. Ahead of this front (and the aforementioned low/wave), precipitation chances increase, especially by later Saturday through Sunday. There will also be a modest increase in PWATs (Precipitable Waters) during this time. Increased clouds/precipitation and onshore flow favors cooler temps, but not abnormally so. Highs Saturday likely range through the 70s and 80s, with 70s Sunday.

Marine
As of 330pm EDT Monday... Key Messages:

- Improved boating conditions across the waters today and through much of this week.

Latest analysis shows the nor'easter continuing to steadily weaken, but still lingering SE of Long Island. All marine headlines have ended, with seas generally only ~2 ft nearshore and 3 ft well offshore. N-NW winds average 10 kt or less. High pressure builds over the area overnight through Tuesday, then gradually shifts offshore by mid to late week. This will allow for far more tranquil marine conditions to prevail through mid to late week. Light W-NW winds of 5-10 kt Tuesday/Wednesday become locally onshore w/ the seabreeze (increasing a bit from the S-SE Wednesday night but staying below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria). Otherwise, look for winds to become SW and increase to 15 kt on Thursday ahead of the next frontal system. Next chance for SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines comes by the weekend, though there remains a good deal of uncertainty as the next front may linger over the region before eventually pushing south into early next week.

Rip Currents
Moderate Rip Current Risk continues through 8 PM, with a low risk tomorrow through Thursday.

NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6pm EDT this evening for MDZ021>023. NC...None. VA...None.

Marine
None.