Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...Ne Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Tonight...Se Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sat...N Winds 5 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Sun...Se Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Sun Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Mon...E Winds 5 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Mon Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Tue...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Gusts Up To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 149pm EDT Fri Oct 3 2025 Synopsis High pressure centered over the Northeast gradually moves offshore later today into the weekend. A warm-up is expected this weekend, with dry conditions continuing into early next week. A strong cold front likely approaches by the middle of next week, bringing chances for rain and much cooler temperatures. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 1015am EDT Friday... Key Message: - Mostly sunny and pleasant conditions today. High pressure will drift SE today resulting in continued dry conditions over the local area. Temperatures this morning have increased into the mid 60s to around 70 F. Skies will be mostly sunny with high temperatures a couple of degrees warmer compared to yesterday and in the low to mid 70s. Calm winds and mostly clear skies are expected for tonight with high pressure remaining in control. Lows tonight drop back into the mid to upper 40s inland and low to mid 50 closer to the coast. Patchy fog may try to develop late in the night, with the best chances along and west of I-95. Short Term - Saturday Through Sunday Night As of 230am EDT Friday... Key Messages: - Remaining dry and comfortable through the weekend with a slow warming trend. High pressure gradually settles south but lingers off the coast through the weekend. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Saturday with temps rising into the mid and upper 70s (highest S). Not quite as cool Saturday night as winds begin to take on a southerly component. Lows mainly in the low to mid 50s, though some upper 40s are possible in the cooler rural locations NW of Richmond and some low 60s are possible near the coast in NE NC and up into the VA Beach vicinity. The warming trend continues on Sunday as high pressure becomes centered offshore and SE low level winds develop. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s expected with a few more clouds across the south. Lows Sunday night fall into the mid 50s to low 60s. Long Term - Monday Through Thursday As of 230am EDT Friday... Key Messages: - Continued warmer temperatures to start the week, with a chance for rain midweek as a strong cold front approaches the region. The synoptic pattern on Monday will remain the similar to the weekend with ridging aloft and high pressure dominating at the surface, but an upper-level trough will be approaching the region from the Great Lakes area. This will shove the high off the Mid- Atlantic coast, which will result in winds shifting to a more southerly direction. Temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will be above normal for this time of year, likely reaching near 80F into the lower 80s. The next best shot at rain will be late Tuesday through early Thursday as a strong cold front associated with the aforementioned upper trough approaches the area. Cooler temperatures and a return to dry conditions is expected on Thursday. Marine As of 310am EDT Friday... Key Messages: - A high risk for rip currents continues through at least Friday, likely continuing into the weekend. - Gradually improving marine conditions through Saturday as high pressure settles into the region. - Benign conditions expected Sunday into early next week. An expansive area of high pressure is centered to our NE this morning, and is slowly sliding across the Mid-Atlantic. Winds in the northern waters have responded to high pressure overhead and have dropped considerably. Meanwhile, the gradient across the southern waters remains tighter and winds continue to be elevated there. Marine observation platforms are recording winds of 5-10 kts in the northern waters, and up to 15 kts across the southern waters. Seas of 6-7 ft are ongoing across most of the coastal waters this morning, but seas off the NC coast are struggling to drop below 8 ft. Waves in the Bay range from 1-3 ft, with 3-4 ft waves lingering at the mouth of the Bay. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for all coastal waters and the mouth of the Bay. The aforementioned high will gradually slide down the Mid-Atlantic coast until it is atop the local area. Winds will continue to drop through this afternoon into tonight. As the high settles across the region by tonight, winds will generally be variable at 5 kts or less. The high will park itself over the Mid-Atlantic through the weekend and into early next week, and winds of 10 kts or less will prevail. By Monday an approaching trough will start to shove the high into the western North Atlantic and winds will become east to southeast through Tuesday. The next best chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions will be mid-late next week as a front moves through the area, with potentially moderate to strong CAA. Lingering seas and swell from the combination of Humberto and Imelda will persist through the weekend, though seas should drop below 5 ft in all coastal waters by Saturday. Seas will remain between 3-4 ft through early next week before briefly subsiding to 2-3 ft ahead of the next front mid-late week. Waves will quickly drop to 1-2 ft tonight as winds relax, remaining in this range through mid week. Given long period swell of 10-11 seconds, NE winds, and nearshore waves of 4-6 ft across the northern beaches and 5-7 ft across the southern beaches (perhaps up to 8 ft early Fri morning across the NC beaches), a high risk of rip currents continues through Friday. While seas gradually subside this weekend, they still remain elevated (> 4 ft). That, plus a long period swell of 10-13 seconds continuing through the weekend, will allow for an elevated (likely high) risk for rip currents to continue through the weekend. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 310am EDT Friday... Most of the Coastal Flood Advisories have dropped off due to tidal anomalies leveling off as winds start to decrease. Minor tidal flooding will linger for points north of Windmill Point into the early afternoon, so have continued the Coastal Flood Advisories for these areas as well as for the area near Bishops Head, MD. Will continue to monitor these tides to see if additional headlines are needed or if they can be converted to a Coastal Flood Statement for tonight's tide. Meanwhile, the Coastal Flood Advisory for Wicomico and Somerset counties has been converted to a Coastal Flood Statement, as some nuisance flooding looks to linger through late tonight. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2pm EDT this afternoon for MDZ021. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Saturday for ANZ650-652- 654. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658. |
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