Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt, Becoming W 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 35 Kt Late. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Patchy Fog Early This Morning. A Chance Of Rain Late This Morning. Rain Likely Early This Afternoon. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm Early This Morning. |
| Tonight...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt In The Late Evening And Overnight. Gusts Up To 40 Kt. Waves 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. |
| Tue...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Tue Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu Night...N Winds 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Fri Night...S Winds 5 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 556am EST Monday Dec 29 2025 Synopsis A strong cold front crosses the area on today bringing isolated to scattered showers moving from northwest to southeast. Breezy conditions today and tomorrow, followed by dry and much colder conditions through midweek. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 230am EST Monday... Key Message: - A strong cold front crosses the area today bringing a chance for isolated to scattered rain showers. Little to no accumulation is expected. - A Wind Advisory has been issued for the Eastern Shore this afternoon into late evening with gusts to 45 mph. Breezy conditions elsewhere as well with gusts to 40 mph. An upper level trough continues to move eastward today with an associated strong low pressure system sweeping through the Great Lakes region. With this, a strong cold front approaches the area and crosses through this afternoon. Ahead of the front, a warm front moves through the area early this morning, allowing above average conditions and high temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s in SE VA/NE NC. Then with the front, isolated to scattered showers will move NW to SE this afternoon, though Quantitative Precipitation Forecast totals remain very low at less than 0.10". Showers will likely become more scattered in nature further to the SE and accumulating rain becomes more likely. Strong mixing combined with 50-60 kt LLJ will allow westerly winds to gust to 35-40 mph across the area through the evening. A Wind Advisory has been issued for the Eastern Shore as gusts to 40-45 mph are expected. Short Term - Tuesday Through Wednesday Night As of 230am EST Monday... Key Messages: - Breezy and cooler Tuesday with below average temperatures through mid week. In wake of the aforementioned strong cold front, surface high pressure will move towards the Gulf as the low pressure system strengthens to sub 980 mb over the mouth of the St. Lawrence. THe position of the low will reinforce the cool airmass on Tuesday causing high temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s and lows in the mid 20s. Westerly winds will remain breezy during the day Tuesday as the pressure gradient between the low to the NE and high to the SW tightens. Winds will gusts to 20-25 mph. Slightly warmer on Wednesday with near normal temperatures and highs in the mid to upper 40s and lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Long Term - Thursday Through Sunday As of 230am EST Monday... Key Message: - Near to below average temperatures and dry weather through the end of the week. A deep upper level trough will encompass the eastern CONUS through most of the week, then becoming more unsettled towards the weekend. The trough will allow near to below average temperatures and generally dry conditions. A weaker cold front will cross the area Thursday, although the airmass ahead of it doesn't appear to be very saturated, so not expecting any precipitation at this time. Before the front arrives, temperatures will be in the lower 40s (N) to lower 50s (S) on Thursday. Behind the front, lows on Thursday will likely be in the upper teens (N) to mid 20s (S). Temperatures will be very similar through the weekend. Rain chances do increase with the potential development of low pressure to the S/SE. Marine As of 230am EST Monday... Key Messages: - A period of low-end Gale Force gusts is likely late this afternoon into Tuesday morning, with W-NW winds behind a strong cold front. Gale Warnings remain in effect for the bay and ocean. - A brief (1-2 hour) surge of low-end gale force gusts is possible on the rivers with the initial FROPA from late afternoon-late evening. SMWs may be needed for this. - SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions will likely persist through Tue/Tuesday night as the gusty W-NW winds continue. High pressure is well offshore of the SE CONUS coast early this morning as very strong low pressure is tracking through the Great Lakes. A warm front associated with that system is lifting across the waters. Winds are S-SW at 15-20 kt, and will increase to ~20 kt with gusts to 25 kt by mid morning. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) are in effect for all zones today as S-SW winds will average 15-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt later today. As the rapidly deepening (sub 980 mb) low passes by well to our N/NW this afternoon through tonight, it will drag a strong cold front through the waters. That front will likely cross the waters between 3-6 PM, and winds will quickly increase out of the W/WNW following the FROPA. W/WNW winds will average 25-30 kt with gusts to 40 kt from this evening through most of tonight, as post-frontal Cold Air Advection quickly enhances vertical mixing. 925-850mb winds of 35-45 kt should support gale force gusts through at least part of tonight before boundary layer wind fields weaken. Gale Warnings go into effect this afternoon/evening and run through late tonight for the bay/ocean (and remain in effect through Tuesday for the northern two coastal zones). Kept the SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) for the rivers/sound but may see a few gale gusts from late aftn-late evening w/ the initial FROPA. Could see the need for an SMW or two (especially for the Lower James), but any gale gusts here should be short lived (1-2 hours) so didn't expand the Gale Warning attm. Wind gusts diminish below gale force across most of the area Tuesday AM...but frequent 35 kt gusts could persist through the day on Tuesday across the coastal waters N of Parramore Island. That is why the warning is in effect through Tuesday for the northern coastal waters. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions will likely persist through Tue/Tuesday night before WNW winds finally diminish to just below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) thresholds on Wednesday with a weak surface ridge developing over the waters. With the offshore component to the flow, seas won't build higher than 4-7 ft tonight- Tuesday AM. Waves will peak between 3-5 ft on the Ches Bay. Winds turn W- SW again Wed/Wednesday night into Thursday. SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) will be possible by Thu night into Friday as the next front crosses the region. Additional chilly Canadian high pressure then builds in late in the week into next weekend. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...Wind Advisory from 3pm this afternoon to 10pm EST this evening for MDZ021>025. NC...None. VA...Wind Advisory from 3pm this afternoon to 10pm EST this evening for VAZ099-100. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 3pm EST this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654-656. Gale Warning from 3pm this afternoon to 4am EST Tuesday for ANZ630>632-634. Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EST Tuesday for ANZ633-635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 4pm EST Tuesday for ANZ638. Gale Warning from 3pm this afternoon to 11am EST Tuesday for ANZ650-652. Gale Warning from 3pm this afternoon to 6am EST Tuesday for ANZ654-656. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST this evening for ANZ658. Gale Warning from 6pm this evening to 4am EST Tuesday for ANZ658. |
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