Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Windmill Point VA Marine Forecast
|Tonight...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight, Then Becoming Ne Late. Waves 2 To 3 Ft, Subsiding To 1 To 2 Ft.|
|Fri...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Waves 1 To 2 Ft.|
|Fri Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft.|
|Sat...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning.|
|Sat Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Gusts To 30 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft.|
|Sun...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Ft.|
|Sun Night...S Winds 5 Kt, Becoming W After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot.|
|Mon...Ne Winds 5 Kt, Becoming Se. Waves 1 Foot.|
|Tue...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot. A Chance Of Showers Through The Day.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
707pm EST Thu Dec 1 2022
High pressure builds over the region into Friday resulting in cooler and drier weather. Shower chances increase Saturday as another cold front crosses the mid-Atlantic region. High pressure and dry weather return for the latter part of the upcoming weekend.
Near Term - Through Friday
As of 650pm EST Thursday... Temps as of 640pm were in the 30s. High pressure remains centered over the area tonight with cirrus lingering until around midnight before clearing. This will initially slow cooling for areas under the cloud cover. After midnight, clear skies return and with high pressure overhead, calm winds, and dewpoints in the lower 20s inland, expect efficient radiational cooling with lows Fri morning in the lower- mid 20s inland (mostly lower 20s) and lower 30s along the coast. A few typically cooler locations may drop to the upper teens. Mostly sunny Fri with high pressure moving offshore during the afternoon allowing for winds to become S. Highs Fri in the lower-mid 50s for most (upper 50s SE VA/NE NC). Cirrus move in from the W Fri afternoon into Fri evening.
Short Term - Friday Night Through Saturday Night
As of 150pm EST Thursday... No real significant changes to the short term period. Slight moderation is expected during Fri as the high shifts off the coast and a light S flow develops. Highs Fri mainly in the l50s N and NW to the m-u50s elsw. Low pressure is forecast to track well to our NW Fri night-Sat night. Its associated cold front is expected to cross the FA during the latter part of the day on Sat. Milder Fri night as low level S flow and cloud cover increase in advance of the front. Lows Fri night ranging from the u30s NW to m40s in coastal SE VA/NE NC. Cannot rule out a few SHRAs across the Piedmont as early as 4am Sat. SHRAs chances ramp up from W-E during the day Sat and will have highest Probability of Precipitation (50-65%) across the NW two-thirds of the FA during the morning...shifting SE in the afternoon. It will dry out quickly following the FROPA as hi pressure builds toward the FA by Sat evening/night. Quantitative Precipitation Forecast is no higher than 0.1-0.25" Sat given the fast movement of the system. Highs Sat mainly in the 60s. Lows Sat night mainly in the 30s-around 40F.
Long Term - Sunday Through Thursday
As of 200pm EST Thursday... The overall pattern will remain rather progressive with zonal flow aloft through the middle of next week. Sun-Monday look dry now w/ surface hi pressure returning to the mid-Atlantic region. Cooler Sun then milder Mon. A weak area of low pressure is forecast to pass S of the FA Mon...maybe contributing BKN clouds into the local area but Probability of Precipitation will be held BLO 15%. An elongated lo pressure system situated to our NW Monday night-Tuesday night...with a cold front potentially dropping through the region next Wed. Timing of the system/how much rain will occur remain challenging. Will have mainly chance Probability of Precipitation from late Monday night into Tuesday night...tapering to SLGT CHC by Wednesday afternoon. Right now...dry weather looks likely Thu.
Highs Sunday mainly in the u40s-l50s. Lows Sunday night in the u20s-l30s...except the u30s-l40s far SE. Highs Monday from the l50s N and W to the u50s-around 50F in SE VA-NE NC. Lows Monday night mainly in the u30s-l40s...m40s in coastal SE VA-NE NC. Highs Tuesday generally in the m50s-l60s. Lows Tuesday night ranging from the m40s N and NW to the l50s SE. Highs Wednesday in the m-u50s NW to l-m60s SE. Highs Thu mainly in the l-m50s.
As of 700pm EST Thursday... NW winds have dropped to 10-15kt or less (15-20kt northern coastal areas), with SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) now ending for all zones with the exception of the NC coastal waters where seas are still 5-6ft at buoy 44100. Have extended the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) headlines through 10pm EST for the NC coastal waters.
High pressure will be over the area tonight, then move off the coast by Friday. Winds will continue to decrease (5-10 kt) later tonight and become more northerly tonight, then E-NE by Friday morning. Winds will shift to out of the south on Friday with high pressure centered offshore. Another cold front will cross the region and move offshore this weekend. It's likely that winds will not be as strong as they were with this recent front, but SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) are likely for the area this weekend. Winds will be SW ahead of the front on Saturday. The most likely time for the front to move off the coast will be Saturday evening or Saturday night. Winds will shift to NW after the passage of the cold front for Saturday night and Sunday.
NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
MD...None. NC...None. VA...None.
Small Craft Advisory until 10pm EST this evening for ANZ658.