Marine Weather Net

Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

SE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TONIGHT

SW
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TUE

SE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TUE NIGHT

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ656 Forecast Issued: 1001 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

Rest Of Today...Near Shore, S Winds Around 5 Kt Becoming W Sw. Well Offshore, S Se Winds 5 Kt. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth.
Tonight...Sw Winds 5 Kt Becoming S Se After Midnight. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms After Midnight.
Tue...Near Shore, W Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Well Offshore, Se Winds 5 Kt Becoming Nw Around 5 Kt. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms.
Tue Night...N Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms Through The Night.
Wed...N Nw Winds 5 Kt Becoming W Nw. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Wave Detail: N Nw 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms.
Wed Night...Nearshore, N Winds 5 Kt Becoming E After Midnight. Offshore, E Winds 5 Kt. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Wave Detail: N Nw 1 Foot At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers Late In The Evening. A Slight Chance Of Tstms Through The Night. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Thu...E Se Winds 5 Kt Becoming W Sw Around 5 Kt, Then Becoming Nw In The Evening. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Tstms.
Thu Night...E Ne Winds Around 5 Kt Becoming E Se After Midnight. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters Smooth. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms.
Fri...E Se Winds Around 5 Kt Becoming W Sw, Then Becoming N In The Evening. Seas 0 To 1 Foot. Bay And Inland Waters A Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
758am EDT Monday May 27 2024

Long Term
(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 321am EDT Monday May 27 2024

In contrast to the ridging dominated pattern that has largely prevailed over our area the last few weeks, the longwave pattern through the extended period will be characterized by longwave troughing over the eastern CONUS with several convectively- enhanced shortwaves also likely moving into the region. At the surface, the aforementioned cold front will likely remain stalled near or just north of the area through most of the workweek with a continued warm and largely sea-breeze driven wind regime prevailing (albeit trending more easterly by the late week period). This setup will result in generally scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, although the exact evolution will remain somewhat uncertain as synoptic forcing remains weak making mesoscale interactions (i.e. sea breezes and outflow boundaries) more prominent. Temperatures should remain above normal, with highs in the 90s (highest temperatures Interior) through the workweek.

Heading into next weekend high pressure north of the area will build, resulting in increasing synoptic easterly flow, and potentially even bringing the (weak) cold front through the area. Given that we will be entering June confidence is not super high in the front making it into the Straits, but if anything the enhanced easterly flow should at least knock down high temps a few degrees over the east coast regardless of whether or not the front makes it through. Additionally, if the stronger easterly regime materializes instability would be knocked down and we would see a temporary shift from a wet season diurnal deep convection regime to one in which rain would be more of the coastal convergence showers variety.

Marine
Issued at 321am EDT Monday May 27 2024

Moderate S-SE flow will continue on Monday and persist through the middle of the week over the Atlantic waters. The Gulf waters will likely see more westerly flow through the period, particularly the near-shore waters in the afternoon given the onshore progression of the Gulf breeze each afternoon. Conditions may approach small craft exercise criteria today with wind speeds around 15kts and possibly higher gusts but seas should remain low through the period. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible today with increasing storm chances Tuesday through the middle of the week.

NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. AM...None. GM...None.