Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Tonight...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming E 10 To 15 Kt Late This Evening And Overnight. Seas Less Than 2 Ft Or Less, Then 1 To 2 Ft After Midnight. Wave Detail: Ne 1 Foot At 3 Seconds, Becoming Ne 2 Ft At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms This Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Tue...E Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 2 Ft At 3 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Tue Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: E 3 Ft At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Evening. |
| Wed...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 3 Ft At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Wed Night Through Thu Night...E Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 3 Ft At 4 Seconds And Sw 1 Foot At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Fri...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Ne 3 Ft At 4 Seconds. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Sat...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 118pm EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 Issued at 109pm EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 No major changes to the near or long term forecast this afternoon. Convection has been slow to develop this afternoon but latest visible satellite imagery is showing cumulus clouds starting to broaden in coverage especially over the interior and SW FL. Latest hi-res guidance still suggests scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening. Given fairly deep moisture in place and slow storm motions, wouldn't rule out an isolated urban and poor drainage flood threat this evening, especially if any storms happen to affect coastal locations early this evening around high tide. High temps this afternoon will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Low temps tonight will be in the mid to upper 70s. .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 235am EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 The large scale pattern across the region remains mostly unchanged today, with a ridge of high pressure building over the southeast CONUS. The one exception is the location of the oft-mentioned surface low that has been meandering east of the peninsula over the last couple of days. Satellite imagery early this morning shows the feature just offshore over the local Atlantic waters, and high-res guidance suggests it will gradually drift SSW across the area today into tomorrow. The interaction between the ridge and the low will continue to maintain an enhanced pressure gradient across the region, but with the low drifting south, so will the pressure gradient, thus supporting moderate to fresh easterly flow through the short term. This setup will also continue to promote chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday, with locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds possible at times. Highs will rise to the upper 80s and lower 90s today, with the warmest temperatures found across southwest FL thanks to the easterly flow regime. Overnight temps could dip to the low to mid 70s over the interior, and warmer upper 70s along the East Coast. Long Term (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 235am EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 The pattern remains generally unchanged through mid-week, with ridging aloft over the southeast CONUS and high pressure over the Atlantic as the dominant features. This will continue to promote breezy easterly flow across South Florida, supporting the typical summertime regime of scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, with activity mainly focused over the interior and southwest FL. As we head into the back half of the week, ridging is forecast to start eroding as an upper-level trough deepens over the central and southern Plains. As a result, we could see the approach of the first front of the season late this week. There is still a lot of uncertainty regarding this solution and any impacts to South Florida, but we'll be eagerly monitoring the possibility as the week progresses. High temperatures through the extended period will generally range from the low to mid 90s, with overnight lows in the low-mid 70s across the interior and up to the upper 70s along the coasts. Marine Issued at 235am EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 Conditions over the local waters continue to improve today as winds and seas subside. Hazardous seas 6-8 feet could still be possible for the northern local Atlantic waters through Monday as winds 15-20 kts and northeasterly swell persist. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for the area through Tuesday night. Winds could increase again later this week, potentially necessitating an additional round of Advisories. Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain likely each afternoon. Beaches Issued at 235am EDT Monday Oct 6 2025 Onshore flow and lingering northeasterly swell will maintain a high risk of rip currents across the Atlantic coastline through Tuesday tonight. Minor to moderate coastal flooding will be remain likely along the east coast into next week during high tides due to the upcoming king tide cycle, and ongoing E/NE swell. NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8pm EDT Wednesday for FLZ168-172- 173. High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ168-172. High Rip Current Risk from 8pm EDT this evening through Wednesday evening for FLZ173. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5pm EDT Tuesday for AMZ650-670. GM...None. |
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