Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...N Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming Sw Around 5 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 3 Ft At 8 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. |
| Wed Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 7 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Evening. Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas Around 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 8 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: S 3 Ft At 9 Seconds. |
| Fri...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Fri Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Chance Of Showers. |
| Sat...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Sat Night...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Winds And Seas May Be Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1122am EDT Tuesday May 26 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Warmer through Wednesday, with a late afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm possible on Wednesday. 2) Moderate risk of rip currents today and Wednesday. 3) Seasonable temperatures return for the end of the week through early next week. .KEY MESSAGE 1... A subtropical ridge will remain anchored over the western Atlantic, while northern branch energy carves out an upper trough by midweek. At the surface, weak high pressure builds in today. On Wednesday, the frontal boundary well to our south may nudge far enough north to bring some showers to the area Wednesday morning, mainly for northeast NJ, NYC and western Long Island. Later in the day on Wednesday, a cold front will move through with associated aforementioned northern branch energy bringing a slight chance for a late afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm. At this time, any thunderstorms don't look to be too impressive. If there will be any stronger storms they will likely be over southern CT where instability is maximized before the front moves through. Model consensus shows MLCAPE potentially reaching 1000 J/kg with decent shear for southern CT. CSU MLP guidance has been going back and forth with a marginal wind risk. Strength of storms will become clearer with subsequent model runs, especially now that we are within the CAM window. Before the frontal passage, temperatures today and Wednesday top out in the 80s for most. With a light onshore flow, Long Island and coastal CT will be a few degrees cooler, in the mid and upper 70s. The NBM was generally followed, with corrections made to Long Island for the recent high bias. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Moderate risk of rip currents today with residual 3-ft SE swell and 2-ft S wind waves. Low to Moderate risk of rip currents likely on Wednesday with residual 2-ft SE swell, and 2-ft S wind waves. .KEY MESSAGE 3... Temperatures return closer to normal for the end of this week into early next week. An upper level low originating in the Arctic and associated surface low drop down to the area late Friday into Saturday. This may lead to some showers for southern CT and Long Island. Much of the guidance has 850 temps near 0C with this feature on Saturday. This is well below normal for this time of year. Marine Conditions look to remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) criteria. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine None. |
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