Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming W 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 4 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 8 Seconds. Chance Of Showers This Morning. |
| Tonight...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 7 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 9 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sun...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: W 7 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 8 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 6 Ft At 6 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 12 Seconds. |
| Mon...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft. Wave Detail: Sw 7 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 11 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 7 Ft, Occasionally To 9 Ft, Subsiding To 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft After Midnight. Wave Detail: W 6 Ft At 7 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 11 Seconds, Becoming W 4 Ft At 6 Seconds And Se 2 Ft At 11 Seconds. |
| Tue...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. |
| Tue Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. |
| Wed...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Wed Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 936am EST Sat Nov 7 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Small craft advisory expanded and extended in time, mainly for this afternoon through Sunday. Otherwise, no other significant changes. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Leftover rain, patchy fog early this morning. Some possible additional showers first half of weekend. Gusty westerly flow develops today. 2) Dry end to the weekend but continued gusty winds. 3) Next week, weak frontal systems with potential stronger low pressure approach towards weeks end. Mainly dry initially but chances of rain Thursday through Friday. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Low pressure slowly moves across the region early this morning and will slowly move northeast of the region thereafter, heading towards the Gulf of Maine this afternoon. A secondary cold front pushes through tonight. Steady stratiform rainfall tapers off this morning from west to east. Additional rainfall amounts to less than a half inch, with no hydrologic impacts expected. Some locations with moisture laden grounds will develop some fog, possibly locally dense at times with greater reductions in visibility. Kept fog mention as patchy and mostly across the interior and rural sections where winds will be less. Pressure gradient tightens between low pressure center northeast of the region and high pressure well to the southwest of the area. A gusty westerly wind develops late this morning and continues for rest of the day and into tonight. Also, while the gusty westerly winds will allow for some drier air, this will be limited due to the synoptic pattern remaining in the region. A strong upper level low will continue moving eastward into the region. The cyclonic flow aloft will keep extra clouds and perhaps a brief isolated to scattered rain shower could occur within the region today into tonight, mainly across the northern half of the region which will have relatively colder air aloft. A note about the data utilized for this forecast. MAV MOS numbers were used for the max temperatures today and blended with NBM for min temperatures tonight. MAVs indicated relatively greater warmth across coastal areas. Max temperatures forecast range from the low to mid 60s across much of the area. Min temperatures tonight will have a more mixed boundary layer and therefore a less vast range with the mitigation of radiational cooling. Min temperatures tonight range from the upper 30s to upper 40s. For winds, MAV MOS numbers were also used as NBM overall exhibited too low with wind speeds considering the synoptic set up and its quite low variance comparing 10th to 90th percentile wind gusts. .KEY MESSAGE 2... For Sunday, the strong upper level low will be moving towards the Canadian Maritimes with its associated surface low retrograding back northwest within Southeast Canada. In the mid levels, the region will be in between shortwaves, with some ridging taking place. Surface high pressure remains well south and west as the low strengthens as it moves farther northeast from the local area. Dry but continued gusty conditions close out the weekend on Sunday and into Sunday night. The subsidence from ridging aloft will allow for not as much clouds. High temperatures mainly in the upper 50s to lower 60s. These were from half weight NBM and half weight MAV MOS. Lows Sunday night will not be much different than lows of the previous night and used half NBM and half MAV MOS. .KEY MESSAGE 3... Mid levels transition from WNW to ESE type flow to more SW to NE towards the end of the week. At the surface, a few frontal systems pass within the early to midweek period, but they are weak in magnitude. Dry conditions are forecast to prevail. Towards the end of next week, more of a low pressure influence develops with more meridional flow aloft. Models are indicating both the potential of larger low pressure area as well as a stronger low pressure area. Forecast has more chances of rain Thursday through Friday as a result. Too early to determine assessment for any impacts with model run to run variability with regard to the position of the low and orientation of upper level trough. Marine Lingering higher seas remain on the eastern ocean. The winds become more breezy late this morning and will remain breezy thereafter through Sunday. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) remains on the eastern ocean, east of Moriches Inlet, heading into this morning. Otherwise, SCA (Small Craft Advisory) goes into effect for all ocean zones starting at 10AM EST this morning and continues through the day Sunday. For non-ocean zones, their SCA (Small Craft Advisory) starts at 12PM EST this afternoon and also goes through the day on Sunday. The pressure gradient will remain rather steep between low pressure to the northeast and high pressure well to the southwest through much of this weekend. Pressure gradient may very well remain steep enough to prolong SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions Sunday night and Monday. Winds trend more downward next week Monday night into midweek allowing for mainly sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions except for the ocean which may very well have some lingering swell. Climate Record High Minimum Temperatures to Actual Min Temperature: No records were set but Bridgeport got close. November 6: KEWR: 66/2022, 61/2026 KBDR: 62/2024, 60/2026 KNYC: 66/2022, 60/2026 KLGA: 65/2024, 62/2026 KJFK: 64/2022, 60/2026 KISP: 65/2022, 60/2026 Record Precipitation to Actual Precipitation: Bridgeport and Islip set new records. November 6: KEWR: 2.12/1911, 0.93/2026 KBDR: 0.54/2018, 0.89/2026 (New Record) KNYC: 1.47/1911, 0.82/2026 KLGA: 0.96/1963, 0.50/2026 KJFK: 1.42/1963, 0.63/2026 KISP: 0.71/1963, 0.96/2026 (New Record) NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST Sunday for ANZ331-332-335- 338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST Sunday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST Sunday for ANZ353-355. |
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