Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM Marine Forecast
| Today...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft, Especially Late. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 10 Seconds. Patchy Fog Early This Morning With Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 5 Ft At 10 Seconds And Sw 4 Ft At 5 Seconds. Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sat...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 4 To 6 Ft, Occasionally To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 10 Seconds And Sw 3 Ft At 5 Seconds. |
| Sat Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: Se 4 Ft At 10 Seconds And Sw 2 Ft At 5 Seconds. |
| Sun...E Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming Se In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. Wave Detail: E 4 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Sun Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. Wave Detail: S 4 Ft At 5 Seconds And Se 3 Ft At 10 Seconds. |
| Mon...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 6 To 9 Ft, Occasionally To 11 Ft. |
| Mon Night...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Seas 5 To 8 Ft, Occasionally To 10 Ft. |
| Tue...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas 3 To 5 Ft, Occasionally To 6 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Seas 3 To 4 Ft, Occasionally To 5 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 233am EDT Fri April 10 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes were made. .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Milder and predominantly dry today into Saturday. 2. Potential fire weather concerns Saturday. 3. Noticeably warmer next week. .KEY MESSAGE 1... A high pressure ridge will be in place today providing milder temperatures and dry conditions. Other than a southerly wind off the colder ocean during the afternoon keeping coastal locations relatively cooler, temperatures overall will be noticeably milder than the past several days. A shortwave will pass to the north tonight into Saturday morning. This will push a cold front through the region late tonight and early Saturday morning. The front for the most part will pass through dry, although there will be a chance of a few brief showers mainly across northern portions of the area tonight as the shortwave lifts up into Northern New England and SE Canada. .KEY MESSAGE 2... The combination of NW winds gusting 20 to 25 mph, minimum RH values of 25 to 35 percent, and low fuel moisture, will likely lead to an elevated threat for wildfire spread Saturday. No special products have been issued as of yet, but ongoing collaboration with state land managers may result in a fire related product. Kept continuity with previous forecast and went above the NBM for wind speeds/gusts, and decreased dew points slightly on Saturday as the NBM is typically too high with dew points, and too low with winds in these well-mixed NW flow situations. .KEY MESSAGE 3... The models are in good agreement with a notable warmup into next week. A warm front lifts to the NW of the area Sunday night into Monday as H85 temps approach 10 to 12C. Also the low level flow will generally be W or WSW. Therefore most, if not all areas will warm up quite a bit, even at the coasts. As is often the case this time of year with any warm up attempts, seas breeze development will likely make pushes during the afternoon / evening time frame most days. The question will be whether the flow aloft will be strong enough at times to hold off the inland push of any sea breezes. Stuck with the NBM numbers for now, but these numbers may be too low based on the flow and can be adjusted in subsequent cycles as needed. Towards Wednesday there is good agreement among forecast guidance that H85 temps approach 15 to 16C which would theoretically result in surface temperatures getting well into the 80s across most areas away from the immediate shore. Marine Small craft conditions are expected to develop on the ocean waters later today, mainly by the late afternoon as seas climb to around feet late today into this evening and gusts approach 25 kt on the ocean, especially closer to shore. Ocean seas get closer to 6 ft tonight and then should begin to subside gradually during the day on Saturday. By later Saturday afternoon seas are expected to fall below small craft criteria. Sub advisory conditions will be short lived on the ocean as small craft conditions are likely to return by early Monday morning as a cold front draws closer from the west. A S flow ahead of the front should get wind gusts to 25 kt on most waters on Monday with ocean seas getting close to 6 feet. Sub advisory conditions likely will not return until late Monday night into Tuesday as high pressure builds. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 4pm this afternoon to 2pm EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353-355. |
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