Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 1 Foot. Nearshore Waters Smooth To A Light Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Saturday...East Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop. |
| Saturday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. |
| Sunday...East To Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 1 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. |
| Sunday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South To Southwest. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters Smooth To A Light Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Monday...Southwest To West Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming Northwest To North 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light, Seas 1 To 2 Feet, Building To 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop, Becoming Choppy. Isolated Showers. |
| Monday Night...Northwest To North Winds 20 To 25 Knots, Increasing To Near 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light, Seas 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet, Building To 5 To 8 Feet, Occasionally To 10 Feet. Nearshore Waters Very Rough, Becoming Extremely Rough. Isolated Showers. |
| Tuesday...North To Northeast Winds 20 To 25 Knots, Decreasing To 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light, 6 To 8 Feet, Occasionally To 10 Feet, Subsiding To 4 To 6 Feet, Occasionally To 8 Feet. Nearshore Waters Very Rough, Becoming Choppy. |
| Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds Near 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet, Except 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore Waters A Moderate Chop. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Wednesday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To Near 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop, Becoming A Moderate Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 957pm EST Fri Jan 23 2026 Issued at 945pm EST Fri Jan 23 2026 It has been another mostly quiet evening along the Florida Keys outside of some continuing shower activity. Our neighboring KAMX radar has been tracking clusters of showers to the south of the Upper Keys, and expanding to the offshore waters near the Middle Keys. Our 00Z sounding from KKEY shows a marginally favorable low level environment to support this activity, so carrying the slight chance of showers (10%) for the island chain overnight seems plenty reasonable. Satellite has not detected any lightning from these showers, and they aren't expected to really get tall enough to warrant any lightning concerns. If any of these showers cross the our island communities, impactful rainfall amounts are unlikely, and showers should not last very long. It'll just result in a gross feeling outside. Temperatures are currently near 70F, and dew points are only a couple of degrees behind that, so humidity is high across the area. GOES-19 Night Fog layer shows very low clouds across the peninsula, and tracking across our local waters. While this doesn't necessarily mean much for the forecast, these low level clouds could lead to some aviation bumps in the morning. Similar to earlier this morning, if these low stratus decks do come to fruition, they should lift around the time of sunrise. No changes or updates are needed to the current forecast package. Marine Issued at 945pm EST Fri Jan 23 2026 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys local waters. From synopsis, northeast to easterly light to gentle breezes will persist through the overnight. Weak troughing off the eastern coast of Florida continues to fuel light to moderate showers across the Straits. Shower coverage will diminish over the weekend ahead of a potent cold front on Monday. Winds behind the front will rapidly freshen to strong breezes. Near gale force winds are possible Monday Night to Tuesday, but exactly how strong breezes get is uncertain. The period of peak breezes will not last too long; by Tuesday evening, expect breezes to slacken to fresh to strong. NOAA Key West FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. GM...None. |
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