Marine Weather Net

Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key Marine Forecast


OVERNIGHT

ESE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

ESE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY NIGHT

ESE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

THURSDAY

SE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ042 Forecast Issued: 1030 PM EDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Overnight...East To Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet, Subsiding To Around 1 Foot. Nearshore Waters Smooth To A Light Chop.
Wednesday...East To Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 1 Foot. Nearshore Waters Smooth To A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night...East To Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To Near 10 Knots. Seas Around 1 Foot, Building To 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters Smooth To A Light Chop, Becoming A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Thursday...Southeast Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Thursday Night...East To Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. 1 To 2 Feet, Building To 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Friday...East To Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Friday Night...East To Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Saturday...East Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop.
Saturday Night And Sunday...East Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Sunday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1121pm EDT Tuesday Jun 23 2026

Issued at 1120pm EDT Tuesday Jun 23 2026 An upper-level composite analysis this evening indicates that the Florida Keys and adjacent coastal waters are beneath the far eastern flank of a deep layer mean anticyclone centered over the Rio Grande Valley. A deep layer of very light winds was sampled by the Key West evening radiosonde balloon, along with a fairly deep layer of very dry air from about 2000-20000 feet above ground. Animations of satellite-derived precipitable water and University of Wisconsin CIMSS Saharan Air Layer Tracking Product images indicate that the current very dry air aloft is associated with a remnant narrow SAL (Saharan Air Layer) plume. A deeper moist layer is just upstream over the Bahamas and eastern Cuba. Key West radiosonde balloon winds were generally easterly in the lower-mid troposphere and west-northwesterly in the upper troposphere. The thermodynamic stratification was moderately unstable, but with significant convective inhibition energy based at low altitudes. Weakly difluent flow in the boundary layer is facilitating quick dissipation of transient outflow boundaries from nearby land-based convective cells.

Current air temperatures in most Keys island communities are in the mid 80s, with dewpoint temperatures in the mid 70s, and heat indices in the lower to mid 90s. Winds were ESE 5-10 mph over land and ESE 5-10 knots over water. Latest Key West Doppler radar scans show no precipitation echoes across the service area, not surprising given the very dry air at low and mid levels.

Current forecasts for overnight are in no need of adjustment. Shower and thunderstorm chances should increase after about 0300 EDT as a deeper moist layer moves in from the east-southeast. However, cell coverage should still remain isolated.

Marine
Issued at 1120pm EDT Tuesday Jun 23 2026 No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for Florida Keys coastal waters zones. Currently, ESE winds of 5-10 knots prevail, with seas ranging 1-3 feet. Similar conditions are expected overnight through Wednesday, with a slight uptick in both wind speeds and wave heigheights expected during the Wednesday night-Friday time frame. Shower and thunderstorm coverage, which is nil at the moment, should increase a bit after midnight as a deeper plume of moisture moves in from the east and southeast.

NOAA Key West FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. GM...None.