Marine Weather Net

Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef, FL Out 20 nm Marine Forecast


TODAY

NE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

THURSDAY

E
WINDS
5 - 15
KNOTS

THURSDAY NIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ651 Forecast Issued: 334 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2019

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
Today...North Northeast Winds 10 To 20 Knots. Along The Coast, Seas Around 2 Feet Building To 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional Seas To 5 Feet In The Afternoon. In The Gulf Stream, Seas 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional Seas To 5 Feet Building To 5 To 7 Feet With Occasional Seas To 10 Feet In The Afternoon. Period 4 Seconds. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop. Light Showers Likely.
Tonight...East Northeast Winds 10 To 20 Knots Along The Coast To East Northeast 15 To 20 Knots In The Gulf Stream. Seas 4 To 6 Feet With Occasional Seas To 8 Feet Along The Coast And 6 To 8 Feet With Occasional To 10 Feet In The Gulf Stream. Period 7 Seconds. North Swell 3 Feet After Midnight. Intracoastal Waters Choppy In Exposed Areas. Chance Of Showers.
Thursday...East Winds 5 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet With Occasional Seas To 8 Feet Along The Coast And 6 To 8 Feet With Occasional To 10 Feet In The Gulf Stream. Period 9 Seconds. North Northeast Swell Around 3 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Moderate Chop. Chance Of Showers.
Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 4 To 6 Feet With Occasional Seas To 8 Feet. Period 10 Seconds. North Northeast Swell Around 3 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers.
Friday...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional Seas To 5 Feet. Intracoastal Waters Smooth. Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely In The Afternoon.
Friday Night...Northwest Winds 5 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Evening. Chance Of Showers Through The Night.
Saturday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts To Around 25 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet Along The Coast And 3 To 5 Feet With Occasional To 6 Feet In The Gulf Stream. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers.
Saturday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts To Around 25 Knots. Along The Coast, Seas 2 To 4 Feet With Occasional Seas To 5 Feet. In The Gulf Stream, Seas 4 To 6 Feet With Occasional Seas To 8 Feet Building To 6 To 8 Feet With Occasional Seas To 10 Feet After Midnight. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Sunday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Along The Coast, Seas 5 To 7 Feet With Occasional Seas To 9 Feet Building To 7 To 9 Feet With Occasional Seas To 11 Feet In The Afternoon. In The Gulf Stream, Seas 7 To 9 Feet With Occasional Seas To 11 Feet. North Swell 3 To 6 Feet. Intracoastal Waters A Light Chop. Slight Chance Of Showers.
SHARE THIS PAGE:           
AMZ600: Synopsis for Jupiter Inlet to Ocean Reef FL out to 60 nm and for East Cape Sable to Bonita Beach FL out to 60 nm
334 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2019

Wind speeds increase today with breezy periods possible in the afternoon as northerly winds build up in the wake of a frontal passage. Atlantic seas will continue to build as a northeast swell increases quickly, reaching 7 to 10 feet by tonight. The Gulf seas will quickly build to 3 to 5 feet up to 6 feet in the offshore Gulf waters also by tonight.

Gulf Stream Hazards: northeasterly swell will allow 7 foot or greater seas to build by tonight.
The approximate location of the west wall of the Gulf Stream as of Nov 11, 2019 at 1200 UTC...
- 10 nautical miles east northeast of Fowey Rocks.
- 11 nautical miles east southeast of Port Everglades.
- 9 nautical miles east of Lake Worth.
- 11 nautical miles northeast of Jupiter Inlet.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
619am EST Wednesday Nov 13 2019

.Aviation... VFR expected to prevail at all terminals during the next 24 hours, except APF where some brief IFR cigs may still happen through around 14Z. For the rest of today, a few showers may develop in the vicinity of the Atlantic terminals this afternoon, but any MVFR (Marginal Visual Flight Rules) conditions should be very brief. Winds turn northerly with gusts to 25kt at times after 18Z, then subside this evening.

.Prev /issued 317am EST Wednesday Nov 13 2019/

Long Term... Thursday through Sunday... The slight cool down behind the frontal boundary will be short- lived as winds quickly veer out the east and moderate temperatures back up a few degrees. However, this warming trend will also be brief, as a well defined southern stream trough on water vapor imagery gains eastward momentum and traverses across the northern Gulf of Mexico. This shortwave will phase with an amplifying northern stream trough and develop a surface low across the FL/GA bend and adjacent Atlantic waters of Friday. Global models have come into better agreement, pushing the deepening cyclone off towards the northeast and dragging the next cold front across the region. Southerly flow will increase ahead of the boundary, allowing for moisture advection into South Florida. With PWATs (Precipitable Waters) briefly rebounding to near 2.0 inches, rain chances will increase Friday into Saturday. While most of the activity will likely be scattered showers, a vorticity maxima and a jet streak aloft could provide enough instability to allow for elevated convection and a few thunderstorms to develop.

Northwesterly to northerly flow behind to boundary will allow cooler and drier conditions to return. Rain chances will remain mostly across the Atlantic waters by the end of the weekend while also gradually diminishing as the weekend progress. Daytime temperatures should range in the 70s to near 80. Overnight, temperatures will dip into the 60s, with some areas over the northwestern interior dropping into the mid to upper 50s.

Monday and Tuesday... The upper level pattern should remain highly amplified early next week as we have reached a more baroclinically unstable time of year. The forecast pattern will consist of troughing over the southeast CONUS, another attendant low reflected at the surface, and a frontal boundary draped somewhere in the vicinity to South Florida. While it's no surprise models differ in the details for the tail end of the period, model time heigheights depict increased moisture through the column and favorable lift aloft to steadily increase shower chances during the week. Temperatures should also remain near to below average for the start of the the week, followed by a gradual warming trend possible thereafter.

Marine... Northwesterly to northerly winds will continue to establish in the wake of a cold front passage. Winds and seas are expected to increase today, especially over the Atlantic and the offshore Gulf waters. Small Craft operators should exercise caution, and a Small Craft Advisory will be in effect for the Atlantic coastal waters starting late this morning.

Beach Forecast... The High Risk of rip currents continues in effect for all Palm Beach county beaches until this evening, while a moderate risk also remains for the Miami-Dade and Broward County beaches.

Minor coastal flooding is still possible today, especially around the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway during high tides. Minor flooding of these areas will likely continue into at least this afternoon, and a Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect for the Atlantic coast.

NOAA Miami FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5am EST Friday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...None.

Aviation...17/AR