Matagorda Bay Marine Forecast
|Rest Of Tonight...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots, Then Diminishing To Around 15 Knots Late. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy, Becoming Choppy, Then Becoming Slightly Choppy Late. Patchy Fog.|
|Tuesday...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Choppy. Patchy Fog Until Late Afternoon. A Slight Chance Of Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms Late.|
|Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy. Showers Likely.|
|Wednesday...South Winds Around 15 Knots, Becoming Southwest 15 To 20 Knots Early In The Afternoon, Then Becoming Northwest Late. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy, Becoming Choppy In The Afternoon. Patchy Fog In The Morning. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning.|
|Wednesday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming North Around 10 Knots In The Late Evening And Overnight. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy, Becoming Smooth In The Late Evening And Overnight.|
|Thursday...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Smooth.|
|Thursday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy.|
|Friday...North Winds Around 15 Knots. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy To Choppy.|
|Friday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Bay Waters Slightly Choppy.|
|Saturday...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming East In The Afternoon. Bay Waters Smooth To Slightly Choppy.|
|Saturday Night...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay Waters Smooth To Slightly Choppy. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.|
| Area Forecast Discussion|
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1105pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023
(Wednesday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 352pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023
Any lingering showers will remain well offshore by Wednesday evening. Behind the front, breezy northwest winds will be in place as a weak surface high builds in over TX. As the night progresses, winds will transition to southwest in response to a progressive surface low moving over north TX, ahead of another upper-level trough digging over the northern/central Rockies. This will bring a weak surge of Cold Air Advection over the region Wednesday night into Thursday with overnight lows from the upper 30s to upper 40s.
The aforementioned surface low will drag a reinforcing dry front by Thursday afternoon/evening. A surge of cold and drier air seems more pronounced behind this front with forecast soundings showing winds from 28 to 38+ knots at top of the mixed layer late Thursday into Saturday. For this reason, raised winds closer to the NBM 90th percentile mainly for Friday (further increases in future forecasts possible) and also lowered surface dewpoints closer to CONSRAW values to produce values in the 20 to 30 degF range. Overall, expect drier conditions with a brief cool down persisting, at least through Sunday. Highs will generally be in the 50s Friday and Saturday, and in the 60s on Sunday. Friday night into Saturday morning will be one of the coldest nigheights of the long-term period with lows from the upper 20s to upper 30s.
Issued at 352pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023
Moderate onshore winds will continue tonight in advance of the next frontal passage that is forecast to move over the Gulf waters by Wednesday afternoon. Elevated seas are also expected with seas up to 7ft at times. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for our open waters (20-60 nm) through Tuesday morning. Patchy sea fog, dense at times, will be possible tonight, mainly over the Bays and nearshore waters. However, the best potential for dense sea fog will be prior to front Tuesday night into Wednesday. Rain and storm chances will be on the increase Tuesday night into Wednesday ahead and along the front. A few strong storms will be capable of producing gusty/erratic winds. Light to moderate offshore winds are expected in the wake of the front Wednesday. However, a reinforcing dry front will move over the waters late Thursday, resulting in stronger winds into early Saturday.
NOAA Houston/Galveston TX Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
TX...None. GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 4am CST Tuesday for GMZ330-335.
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 10am CST Tuesday for GMZ350-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 10am CST Tuesday for GMZ370-375.