Marine Weather Net

Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel, TX Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

S
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TONIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUESDAY

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TUESDAY NIGHT

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ350 Forecast Issued: 958 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Rest Of Today...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 7 Seconds.
Tonight...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 7 Seconds.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Wednesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 6 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 4 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Thursday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Thursday Night...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet.
Friday And Friday Night...Southeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
SHARE THIS PAGE:           
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628am CDT Monday May 27 2024

Long Term
(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 251am CDT Monday May 27 2024

Less hot, but somewhat unsettled pattern takes shape as upper ridging retreats a bit further southeast. This will allow disturbances embedded in the wnw-nw flow aloft to track a bit further south into the region. Low-mid level capping will also be less dominate from keeping shra/thunderstorms from developing or maintaining themselves as they move in.

A continued onshore flow will prevail and sufficient moisture will be available for scattered precipitation across portions of the CWA (County Warning Area) each day. The main forecast challenge is determining the more favorable time periods for convection. Guidance has been indicating the potential for upstream development, maybe an MCS (Mesoscale Convective System, a complex of thunderstorms which becomes organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms) or two, during the last half of the week...but at varying time periods and locations. This is typical for such a pattern and makes the Probability of Precipitation forecast difficult - especially when the mesoscale comes into play. Suspect NBM is substantially too low with POPs for a good part of the extended fcst, but I really cannot say exactly when. For the grids, I did about a 50% mix NBM and a 50% mix of various deterministic models and WPC guidance.

At this time, wouldn't be overly surprised if early Wednesday morning, Wednesday night-Thursday morning, and Friday daytime/evening might be the more favorable times...with northern parts seeing better chances than the coast. But again, forecast confidence in regards to the specifics is fairly low. 47

Marine
Issued at 251am CDT Monday May 27 2024

Winds and seas decrease somewhat today into the early and midweek time period. That said, recreational mariners are urged to use extra caution today considering the increased holiday traffic. Will maintain the Beach Hazards Statement through this evening along area beaches due to excessive crowds and the number of rescues reported by Galveston Beach Patrol the past 2 days.

During the second half of the week, moderate to occasionally strong southeast winds and 4 to 6 foot seas resume with a long fetch setting up across the Gulf. Showers and thunderstorm chances return to the forecast late Tuesday night and Wednesday. Though chances are better inland, we anticipate some disturbances passing through this week that are difficult to time days in advance. 47

NOAA Houston/Galveston TX Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
TX...
Heat Advisory until 10pm CDT this evening for TXZ163-164- 176>179-195-196-198-200-214-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

Excessive Heat Warning...til 10pm CDT this evening for TXZ197- 199-210>213-226-227.

Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...None.