Neuse River & Bay River Marine Forecast
| Overnight...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves Choppy, Decreasing To A Moderate Chop After Midnight. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop. Showers. |
| Thu Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Waves Light Chop. Showers. Patchy Fog. |
| Fri...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. Showers In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Rain In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening, Then Rain Likely After Midnight. |
| Sat...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Sat Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Diminishing To Flat After Midnight. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming N In The Afternoon. Waves Light Chop. |
| Sun Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves A Moderate Chop, Increasing To Choppy After Midnight. |
| Mon...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop In The Afternoon. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Mon Night...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves Choppy. A Chance Of Rain. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1006pm EST Wednesday Feb 25 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Allowed Gale Warning expire for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet and replaced with a Small Craft Advisory. Cancelled the Small Craft Advisory for the coastal waters north of Oregon Inlet. Extended the Small Craft Advisory for the Pamlico Sound until 1 AM. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Increasing clouds with rain starting overnight into Thursday with approaching cold front. 2) Growing signal for a fast moving low traversing the eastern CONUS early next week bringing a risk of brief rainfall. Marine...Gales continue through this evening for the outer waters south of Oregon Inlet with SCA (Small Craft Advisory) extending into Friday. Next period of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions possible next Monday into Tuesday. KEY MESSAGE 1...ENC remains sandwiched between high pressure over FL and strong low pressure over southern Ontario. Much milder overnight with clouds, increasing precipitation chances and SW breeze. Lows falling only into the upper 40s and low 50s. Cold front associated with the Canadian low will approach from the west Thursday into Friday, with rain beginning as early as tonight with increasing lift associated with embedded shortwave. Main slug of precipitation is more likely Thur and Thur night as main trough axis and surface frontal boundary make their approach. Some limited thunder potential will be confined to near the Gulf Stream. Model spread on rainfall amounts is has not changed much, with odds of 24-hour amounts exceeding half an inch still sitting at around 50%. Notably, probabilities of rainfall exceeding an inch ticked up slightly from this time yesterday, now at 20-30%. Concern remains these odds are a bit inflated given antecedent drought conditions. KEY MESSAGE 2...Once the Friday front clears through a few dry days are expected for the weekend as high pressure extends in from the north. The next potential system will come through the area early next week as a quick moving low zips across the central plains and mid-Atlantic. Still plenty of details to work out with this given it is beyond Day 5, although it does not look as wet as tomorrow's system. Marine Latest obs show SW winds 10-20 kt over the cooler nearshore waters and 20-30 kt gusting around 30 kt over the outer waters near the Gulf Stream, with seas 3-6 ft north of Oregon Inlet and 5-11 ft south. SW winds will diminish a bit overnight, then gradients tighten again Thursday ahead of the cold front with another round of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions likely across the Pamlico Sound and northern coastal waters. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) will continue across the central and southern coastal waters with the possibility of Gales returning across the outer waters over the warmer Gulf Stream waters. Outlook: Poor boating conditions likely to persist for offshore waters into Friday before the front crosses the region. The front moves through Thursday night and Friday, with winds becoming NE 10-20 kt late Fri into the weekend. Next period of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) possible Monday and Tuesday. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 1am EST Thursday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until 6am EST Friday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156- 158. |
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