Neuse River & Bay River Marine Forecast
| Tonight...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Becoming Nw 10 To 15 Kt Late. Waves Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop Late. A Chance Of Rain And Snow Early This Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Snow Late This Evening. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Sw Around 5 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Flat In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Increasing To Choppy After Midnight. A Chance Of Rain In The Evening. |
| Sat...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves Rough. |
| Sat Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves Rough. |
| Sun...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop In The Afternoon. |
| Sun Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Tue...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Ne In The Afternoon. Waves Light Chop. |
| Tue Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Increasing To A Moderate Chop After Midnight. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 404pm EST Thu Feb 5 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Increased Probability of Precipitation through this evening. Wintry mix remains possible inland into tonight. Added Gale Watches for this weekend for waters not currently covered by Gale Warnings. Cold Wx Advisory also skipped due to brevity and marginality of conditions. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Black ice and snow/ice refreeze remains a threat to travel, though lesser impacts are expected with extensive melting yesterday. 2) Snow/sleet may still mix in to precipitation into this evening. 3) Potential Record Breaking cold Sunday and Monday mornings. Marine Gale Warnings are up for coastal waters S of Oregon Inlet with SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) in place across almost all of the rest of area waters. Another period of stronger Gales expected Saturday, Storm Force gusts possible over far outer coastal waters. KEY MESSAGE 1...Though we've seen extensive melting of the snow pack yesterday from a combination of rain and warm temperatures, there remains a threat to black ice and snow/ice refreezing the next few days as temperatures drop well below freezing at night. Have opted not to issue SPS for black ice tomorrow morning with coverage expected to be spotty, but even one patch can cause issues. Early morning drivers FRI should use extra caution, especially in areas that saw rain today, near bridges, and areas next to accumulations of snow that melted some more today. Evening shift may still opt to issue an SPS for this threat. Key Message 2...Earlier model runs had precipitation ceasing a few hours ago but light returns remain on radar as moisture flowing in stout mid and upper level trough continues to slide over the incoming SFC high in the wake of the front. Have increased PoPs to the SChc- Chc range for the vast majority of the FA. This means that wintry mix of precipitation remains possible across the area into tonight with little to no accumulation, and therefor minimal impacts expected. Chances wane from W to E through this evening. This precipitation threat should end as the trough axis aloft shifts offshore after sunset. Have all land areas, including OBX, dry from midnight onward. Key Message 3...A series of fronts cross the area this weekend leading to a brief warm up FRI with MaxTs getting back into the mid to upper 40s as SFC flow shifts to prefrontal SWerly WAA regime second half of the day. This wind shift and mostly sunny skies should get rid of a large amount of the lingering snowpack across the FA. Strong Cold Air Advection develops behind the front with gusty NWerly SFC winds aided by rapidly strengthening MidLevel Jet directly overhead. This will usher in another round of very cold air which could break Record MinTs Sunday and Mon morning. See CLIMATE section below for a few local records. Marine Behind a cold front winds have increased to N 15-25 kts with gusts to 30 kts across larger inland waters, 20-30G35-40kt coastal waters S of Oregon Inlet. Gale Warnings in effect where appropriate. Conditions will begin to improve by early tomorrow morning, and winds will subside quickly to NW 10-20 kts after sunrise. Seas are mostly 6-8ft late this afternoon and will increase slightly more until winds begin to subside after midnight local. Waves subside to 4-6 ft by late tomorrow morning. Outlook: After a brief window of improving conditions, strong winds will again develop over the coastal waters Friday night as a strong Arctic front moves through the region. Strong Gale conditions are expected, and will persist into Sunday morning. Storm Force gusts possible over outer reaches of coastal waters. Seas peak 7-12ft overnight Saturday night. Gale Watches have been issued for waters not currently under any Gale Headlines for this weekend. Climate Record low temps for 2/8 (Sunday) LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 15/1947 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 11/1985 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 14/1977 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 15/1977 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 10/1977 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 15/1977 (NCA ASOS) Record low temps for 2/9 (Monday) LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 12/1970 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 15/1970 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 12/1934 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 10/1970 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 16/1995 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 18/1995 (NCA ASOS) NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 2am EST Friday for AMZ131-137-230- 231. Gale Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for AMZ131-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 7am EST Friday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Gale Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until 9am EST Friday for AMZ150. Gale Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday morning for AMZ150. Gale Warning until 4am EST Friday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156-158. |
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