Marine Weather Net

Neuse River & Bay River Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

N
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT

N
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT NIGHT

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ137 Forecast Issued: 921 AM EST Fri Mar 05 2021

Rest Of Today...N Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt This Afternoon. Waves Choppy, Diminishing To A Moderate Chop This Afternoon.
Tonight...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop.
Sat...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Nw Around 5 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Flat In The Afternoon.
Sat Night...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Increasing To A Moderate Chop After Midnight.
Sun...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop.
Sun Night...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop.
Mon...N Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw. Waves Light Chop, Diminishing To Flat.
Tue...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop.
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921 AM EST Fri Mar 5 2021
Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters - AMZ100
High pressure builds into the region through the weekend and becomes centered over the area early next week.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
941am EST Fri Mar 5 2021

Synopsis
High pressure builds into the region through the weekend and becomes centered over the area early next week.

Near Term - Until 6pm This Evening
As of 940am Friday...High pressure building south from the Great Lakes will continue to provide clear dry conditions to eastern NC through the afternoon. All high-resolution guidance indicates that winds should start to drop off after noon. No changes to high temperatures with mainly upper 40s to lower 50s expected, except some mid 40s Outer Banks.

Short Term - 6pm This Evening Through 6am Saturday
As of 230am Friday...High pressure will continue to build in from the NW tonight. Skies will start out clear but will see increasing mid an high clouds overnight as upper level moisture advects into the region assoc with a mid level shortwave digging into the South. Any precipitation will remain well to the south with a very dry sub-cloud layer over ENC with PW values (Precipitable Water values) less than 0.25". It will be chilly tonight with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Long Term - Saturday Through Thursday
As of 245am Thu...Mostly dry weather expected through the period. Below normal temps to start off, with temperatures gradually moderating next week.

Saturday through Sunday...High pressure will build over the area with cool and dry weather expected. Low pressure will develop off the SE coast this weekend. Guidance continues to show excellent run to run consistency and agreement with low track, keeping it well suppressed off the SE coast. Low level thickness values support highs in the mid 40s to low 50s with mostly sunny skies. Good radiational cooling set up each night with clear skies and calm winds. Main change was to lower forecast lows a few degrees. Lows in the upper 20s to low 30s each night, with most locations dropping below freezing.

Monday through Thursday...The surface high will crest over the area Monday and Tuesday with continued dry weather and moderating temps with highs in the 50s Monday and 60s Tue. High pressure will shift off the coast Wednesday ahead of the next approaching frontal system. Will keep forecast dry late week with still some uncertainty with timing of the next front. Temps will continue to warm as flow becomes SW mid week. Highs back into the mid 60s and 70s.

Marine
Short Term Through Tonight
As of 945am Friday...Based on current observations and trends, have dropped the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) for the Pamlico Sound at mid-morning, but have extended the southern waters through 2 pm. The northern coastal waters remain in a SCA (Small Craft Advisory) through 5 pm this afternoon. NNW/N winds continue, gusting to 20-25 knots at Diamond Buoy, Cape Lookout and Duck. All high resolution guidance indicates that winds will gradually decrease through the afternoon with NW winds around 10-15 kt by this evening. Seas will peak around mid-day then will subside through the afternoon. A bit of a resurgence occurs late tonight with NW winds increasing to 15-20 kt and seas continuing around 3-5 ft north of Diamond Shoals and 2-3 ft south.

Long Term - Saturday Through Tuesday
As of 245am Thu...Another brief Cold Air Advection surge continues Sat morning with NNW/N winds around 15-20 kt, then again becoming N/NW 5-15 kt Sat afternoon. Gradient tightens Sunday as low pressure passes well southeast of the waters. A few gusts to 25 kt will be possible across the outer central waters Sunday and Sunday evening, with seas building to 3-5 ft. Moderate northerly winds continue Monday morning diminishing to 5-15 kt by afternoon and seas subsiding to 2-4 ft.

NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NC...None.
MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory until 5pm EST this afternoon for AMZ150- 152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 2pm EST this afternoon for AMZ156- 158.