Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast
| Today...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft This Afternoon. |
| Tonight...E Winds Around 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Mon...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Tue...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Tue Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Wed Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...Ne Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Thu Night...Ne Winds 20 To 25 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 700am EDT Sunday Oct 5 2025 Synopsis High pressure currently centered to the north will push offshore over the next few days eventually allowing for return flow to set up once again. This will bring very warm temperatures and generally dry conditions to ENC into the beginning of next week. Cold front approaches during the middle of next week increasing chances at unsettled weather. High pressure builds in behind the cold front. King Tides are expected Tuesday to Saturday. Near Term - Today As of 7am Sun...No big changes needed witham update. Prev disc... As of 3am Sun...Any morning dense fog is forecast to erode this morning within an hour or so after sunrise with yet another warm fall day on tap. Surface high pressure continues to push further offshore but continues to extend into the Carolinas bringing dry weather and light E'rly winds to the area. Low level thicknesses increase ever so slightly today resulting in highs in the low 80s inland and mid to upper 70s along the immediate coast and OBX, which is only several degrees above climo for the first week of October. Sct to bkn 4-5k cloud deck will persist for much of today. Short Term - Tonight As of 3am Sun...Another threat for late night/early morning fog as weather pattern remains persistent. Calm to light erly flow will cont overnight, with temps in the 50s interior to low/mid 60s coast. Attm, the best bet for fog will be in the nwarning coastal plain counties, where HREF probs for vsby <= 1/2 mile are 40-60%. Long Term - Monday Through Saturday As of 1am Sunday...Surface high pressure will be centered off the Mid- Atlantic coast while upper ridging continues across the Eastern CONUS into early next week. Light easterly winds continue Monday and Tuesday, becoming more southeasterly ahead of an approaching cold front. Temps remain near to slightly above normal through Tuesday and early next week with highs in the low to mid 80s. By the middle of next week, the upper ridge breaks down as a strong northern stream trough digs into the Northern Plains and Midwest with surface high pressure migrating farther offshore and a surface cold front approaching from the NW bringing increasing chances of showers and maybe even one or two thunderstorms across the region. Instability is lacking, but the strong forcing may be enough to overcome the lack of instability for isolated weak thunderstorm formation. Progressive nature of showers ahead of the front will prevent any flooding concerns. Behind this cold front, high pressure builds in and strong pressure gradient sets up. This will result in gusty NE winds, highest over coastal zones. The gusty winds and higher seas (if materialized) paired with king tides would bring coastal flooding concerns. See Coastal Flooding section for more information. Front stalls offshore near the gulf stream after passing through Thursday. Upper level trough then moves through over the weekend, which may help spin up a coastal low along this stalled front late in the weekend. Substantial model uncertainty exists with the possible coastal low formation, so trends will have to be monitored in the coming days. Marine SHORT TERM /through Sunday night/... As of 7am Sun...Will allow SCA (Small Craft Advisory) to expire at 7a for all but central leg of coastal waters as seas have subsided below 6 ft. Prev disc...As of 1am Sunday...Benign wind field is forecast through the period as high pressure gradually shifts offshore promoting NE-E'rly winds at 5-15 kts. Seas continue lessening, currently 3-5 ft except for some 6 footers near the Gulf Stream. Will likely end SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) for all coastal waters except for Cape Hatteras to Ocracoke at 7am this morning to reflect the decreasing seas. No rain in the forecast through Sunday night thanks to the high pressure. Long Term - Monday Through Thursday As of 1am Sunday...High pressure migrates offshore over the weekend with easterly winds around 15 kt or less through Monday, then veers to SE Tuesday PM. Gulf stream could continue to see some 6 footers through Monday, before waves become 5 ft or less Monday night. Tuesday and early Wednesday we should be below 6ft across all coastal waters as boating conditions become much more pleasant than the past couple days. Wednesdaypm into early Thursday a cold front moves through, bringing chances of rain ahead of it, and gusty NE winds behind it as high pressure moves in. Current expectation is for NE gusts around 30 knots for most marine zones. If the forecast trends higher, we would be reaching gale force wind gusts Thursday and Friday. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 1am Sunday... King Tides and potential for strong NE flow mid to late next week: This week we enter a king tide cycle, with astronomically high tides. The highest tides are expected from Tuesday (10/7) to Saturday (10/11), peaking Thursday. Accounting just for the king tides, minor coastal flooding is expected for typical vulnerable low lying locales. However, there is potential for strong NE wind gusts behind a cold front Thursday and Friday. This would help waves build along the coast, and may also help push some water towards the southern Pamlico Sound and Neuse river. There is still decent uncertainty on the strength of the winds, but should they materialize as forecast, or greater, the compounding effects of strong winds, higher seas, and king tides could cause greater impacts for areas with vulnerable dune structures along OBX Thursday and Friday. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 7am EDT this morning for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)- 156-158. Small Craft Advisory until 1am EDT Tuesday for AMZ154(Cape Hatteras to Ocracoke Inlet). |
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