Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Nw 15 To 20 Kt Late. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms After Midnight. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Tstms Late. |
| Mon...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning. |
| Mon Night...W Winds Around 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Increasing To 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 35 Kt After Midnight. Waves 2 To 4 Ft. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Tue...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 35 Kt. Waves 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Tue Night...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Wed Night...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Fri Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft After Midnight. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 651pm EST Sunday Nov 9 2025 Synopsis A cold front will sweep east across the area late tonight, with a reinforcing arctic front following Monday night. High pressure then returns for the middle to latter half of next week. Near Term - Until 6am Monday Morning As of 7pm Sun...Forecast largely remains on track as of the 7 PM update. Expectation continues to be for scattered to numerous rain showers to overspread the area over the next several hours. Forecast soundings suggest ample inhibition near the surface, but the presence of elevated instability will support the potential for an embedded thunderstorm or two. There is a low (<5%) chance for a stronger thunderstorm capable of producing an isolated strong wind gust (40-60 mph) and small hail, but the overall severe risk is LOW. Previous Discussion...Front enters the FA from the W around midnight with nearly meridional flow from midlevel up as upper low digs S across Great Lakes and Indiana, pushing upward leg of trough aloft across the warning half of NC through the overnight. Convective precipitation is expected ahead of the boundary as it races across the FA. Some instability will remain from this afternoon's heating and the ample speed and directional sheer will keep a chance of more organized cells to carry some threat of damaging wind gusts with a lower, but non-zero threat, of hail. Temp gradient will be tight behind the front with burst of initial Cold Air Advection leading to temps cooling into the 45-50 range over the Coastal Plain in the early morning hours, 50-55 coast. Precip wanes from W to E in the early morning hours, but not directly behind the front as moisture still streaming in from the S above the frontal inversion will lead to some stratiform rain expected behind the front through around sunrise on the OBX. Short Term - 6am Monday Morning Through 6pm Monday As of 3pm Sun...Transition day in store as initial front that passes tonight brings cooler air into the region. Thicknesses support max T's in the mid 50s interior, to close to 60 coast, or about 10 degrees below climo. Skies start out partly to mostly cloudy, but rapid clearing on downsloping arridifying air off the Appalachians throughout the day expected. Long Term - Monday Night Through Sunday As of 3pm Sun... Key Messages - The coldest air of the season arrives Monday night into Tuesday. - Freeze warning now in effect for most of Mainland ENC, with watches continuing near coast. - Scattered non-accumulating light snow or flurries possible late Monday night. Monday Night...Reinforcing arctic cold front moves through Monday night. With this arctic wind surge, gusty winds and plummeting temps expected. A good chance for a freeze for much of inland ENC, with upper 20s to lower 30s expected. Closer to the Crystal coast and other coastal zones, more marginal temps expected. A strong breeze will prevent radiational cooling, but either way, areas that don't get a freeze will feel like they're well below freezing due to the gusty nwrly breezes. Other than the cold, beneath the upper low which, in conjunction with a stout embedded midlevel shortwave traversing the region, may support brief ra/sn to light snow or snow showers/flurries. Have cont 20-30% pops, highest along the Hwy 64 corridor, where a light dusting on grassy areas may occur. Certainly no accums on roads and therefore just mentioning novelty flakes in the forecast. Elsewhere, some snow flurries may make it to the ground all the way to the Crystal Coast. Tuesday-Tuesday Night...Thicknesses/heights bottom out on Tue, with highs only in the 40s area-wide, some 20 degrees below climo. Some question on how quickly return flow can develop on Tue night. There is a window for the coldest night of the season to fall along the mainland coastal zones if winds can stay calm to light. Have lows around freezing for the Crystal Coast through Mainland Dare. If winds pick up too quickly, as they are expected to gradually inc out of the sw with swrly gradient picking up, a freeze here could be prevented. Wednesday through Sunday...High pressure remains centered across SECONUS Wednesday with southerly flow bringing warming temperatures, but still ~5 degrees below normal with highs in the lower 60s. A mid level shortwave pushes across the Mid- Atlantic Wednesday night with an attendant surface trough/front pushing through the area, however the airmass remains very dry and don't expect much in the way of clouds, let alone precip, with this system. Deep westerly downslope flow ahead of ridging sliding across Sern CONUS will actually bring a few degrees of warming temps on Thursday with highs expected in the mid 60s. High pressure builds into the area Friday before sliding offshore first half of the weekend with highs in the low to mid 60s. Marine /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 7pm Sun...Previous forecast remains on track. Only adjustment as of 7pm Sunday was to bump up wind gusts tonight as winds have been slightly overperforming. Observations have shown occasional gusts to 25 kts across the coastal waters south of Cape Hatteras. Overall, gusts are expected to largely remain sub-SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions, but occasional gusts to 25 kts will remain possible tonight and into tomorrow morning. Previous Discussion...Gale watches upgraded to warnings, with SCA (Small Craft Advisory) in effect for the Albemarle/Croatan/Roanoke sounds and the rivers. A cold front moves through early tomorrow morning, with swrly to wrly breezes becoming nwrly and ocnl gusting to 25 knots, esp on the waters. Much stronger reinforcing arctic front still on track to move through later Monday night, with gales expected late night into first part of Tue. Seas build as high as 6-9 ft for the waters s of Hatteras. Winds relax a bit Tuesday night, but reinforcing gradient on swrly winds expected Wed, and could see some gales again south of C Hatteras once again. Winds and seas finally begin to lay down by Thursday as high pressure builds over SECONUS eventually sliding off the coast first half of the weekend. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Freeze Warning from 2am to 8am EST Tuesday for NCZ029- 044>046-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-199. Freeze Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday morning for NCZ047-195-196. Marine Small Craft Advisory from midnight Monday night to 4pm EST Tuesday for AMZ131-136-137. Gale Warning from 2am to noon EST Tuesday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Gale Warning from 4am to noon EST Tuesday for AMZ150. Gale Warning from midnight Monday night to noon EST Tuesday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154-156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 7pm Monday to 4pm EST Wednesday for AMZ230-231. |
Newport NC Radar
Southeast Radar
East Coast Satellite