Pamlico Sound Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Kt Early This Morning, Then Becoming W Late This Morning, Becoming E Early This Afternoon, Increasing To 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft After Midnight, Then 1 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms After Midnight, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms Early. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms Late. |
| Tonight...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Sun...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Morning. |
| Sun Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Mon...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming W 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Morning, Then 1 Ft. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Tstms In The Morning, Then Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Mon Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. A Chance Of Tstms. A Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight. |
| Tue...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms. |
| Tue Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Nw After Midnight. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Wed...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt, Increasing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms. |
| Wed Night...Sw Winds Around 15 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 238am EDT Sat Jun 13 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Heat Advisory issued for today south of Highway 70. Aviation discussion updated. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Thunderstorm risk remain today with marginal severe threat on Sunday. Rainfall chances linger through the week. 2) Heat Advisory in effect south of Highway 70 today. Potential for hazardous heat remains late next week. KEY MESSAGE 1...Synoptic pattern continues to trend more favorably for convection across ENC this weekend and into early next week with weak front crossing the FA today and stalling to the S of the area into early next week when troughing aloft develops, opening moisture transport from the Gulf. However, this shouldn't be read as a high coverage of thunderstorms each day. Temps aloft "cool" slightly as heigheights aloft fall ahead of the front and the stout mid level ridge begins to weaken, and this may support at least a risk of higher coverage seabreeze convection today, particularly along the Crystal Coast where likely Probability of Precipitation are mentioned. The ample moisture noted by PWATs (Precipitable Waters) rising to 2-2.5in, strong destabilization due to typical summer time heating and the height falls aloft poses a threat for the development of tstorms which could be strong to marginally severe. On Sunday, prefrontal trough develops around the coastal plain providing the necessary focus for shower and thunderstorm development Sunday afternoon and evening. Activity likely starts off to the north and west and progresses E'wards as the afternoon wears on. With strong instability forecast to be in place and increase shear with values closer to 25-35 kts a few of these storms could become strong to severe in nature with the strongest activity likely noted along our northern tier. Damaging wind gusts would be the primary hazard within the strongest storms. Storm Prediction Center has the far northern section of our FA in a Slight (Level 2/5) risk of severe thunderstorms. Early next week, higher than climo shower and storm chances are in the forecast with the greater moisture content through the column leading to PWATs (Precipitable Waters) in excess of 2". Additionally, deep layer shear of around 30-35kt with weak cyclogenesis along another front set to approach and stall over the area Monday may support a modest increase in the potential for organized convection, some of which could be on the strong side. The last of a series of fronts finally pushes off the coast by midweek allowing for lower precipitation chances outside of a daily seabreeze. We will be monitoring the approach of yet another front late next week as well. KEY MESSAGE 2...Front today will do little to abate high temperatures and humidity, especially south of Highway 70. Although not as slam dunk as yesterday, REFS and HREF both show at least 20-30% chance of exceeding heat index values of at or above 105 in this area, and in coordination with ILM and RAH issued a Heat Advisory late this morning into the afternoon. Advisory ends at 21z with expectation of afternoon convection cooling things down. Heat and humidity look to crank up a notch once again late next week which could bring the potential for hazardous heat indices and related health impacts. Probabilistic heat risk guidance suggests a 40-60% chance at reaching major level heat risk thresholds on Thurs/Fri. In addition to this, with the approach of a front associated with a deepening low located well to the north, breezy conditions would be possible as well if current trends hold. Marine SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions diminishing this morning as weak frontal boundary migrates towards area waters. Main threat to marine interests in theNear Term - Rest Of Today Through Tonight ngoing showers and thunderstorms, especially across the central waters where stronger convection is likely putting down periodic gusts of up to 40-50 kt. This threat will migrate southward through pre-dawn, likely expanding to zones south of Ocracoke Inlet as remnant outflow triggers more storms. Front will continue to move through waters from north to south with 10-15 kt SW'rly winds with gusts up to 20 kts noted to the south of the front with winds shifting to a NE-E direction at 5-10 kts behind the front. This front is forecast to continue south through the day and stall just south of the area by tonight. Frontal boundary will likely be focal point for renewed convection along the Crystal Coast this afternoon which may bleed into nearshore waters. Seas hold at around 2-4 ft through the rest of the period. Outlook (Sunday through Wed): The risk of thunderstorms will increase into early next week, with best chances in the late afternoon to evening hours. SWerly flow returns Sunday with another chance for more SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) ahead of a front set to approach and then stall over ENC on Mon. This front will clear through by midweek with high pressure briefly returning thereafter. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC... Heat Advisory from 11am this morning to 5pm EDT this afternoon for NCZ090>092-094-193>195-198-199. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 4am EDT early this morning for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154. |
Newport NC Radar
Southeast Radar
East Coast Satellite