Marine Weather Net

Pamlico River & Pungo River Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

W
WINDS
15 - 25
KNOTS

SUN

E
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SUN NIGHT

SW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

MON

SW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ136 Forecast Issued: 323 PM EDT Sat May 08 2021

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
Tonight...W Winds 15 To 25 Kt Early, Becoming Ne 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop After Midnight.
Sun...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Light Chop, Increasing To A Moderate Chop In The Afternoon.
Sun Night...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves Choppy.
Mon...Sw Winds 15 To 20 Kt. Waves Choppy. A Chance Of Showers And Tstms In The Afternoon.
Mon Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop After Midnight. A Chance Of Tstms. Showers Likely.
Tue...N Winds Around 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning.
Tue Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop.
Wed...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Ne 5 To 10 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop.
Thu...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming S. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Tstms.
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323 PM EDT Sat May 8 2021
Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters - AMZ100
High pressure will remain in control tonight, sliding offshore Sunday. A cold front will cross the region late Monday, with cooler high pressure moving in mid week.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
226pm EDT Sat May 8 2021

Synopsis
High pressure will remain in control tonight, sliding offshore Sunday. A cold front will cross the region late Monday, with cooler high pressure moving in mid week.

Near Term - Through Tonight
As of 230pm Sat...Latest analysis shows strengthening low pressure moving through the Mid-West with attendant front extending eastward through the SE and Mid-Atlantic US. The weak boundary will push through the area this evening and only impact to sensible weather will be a wind shift. Init high pressure will weaken to the south with another center building in from the NW overnight. Scattered to broken cu will dissipate with loss of heating this evening. Atms will remain very dry and will once again see good radiational cooling inland as winds diminish. Lows will fall to 45 to 50 for most spots. Beaches will hold in the 50s with light breeze.

Short Term - Sunday
As of 230pm Sat...High pressure will gradually slide off the coast as low pressure tracks through the OH Valley and Mid- Atlantic and associated warm front lifts north through the region. Should be another quiet and pleasant day with temps near climo. Low level thickness values and developing southerly flow will allow temps to warm into the mid 70s to low 80s.

Long Term - Sunday Night Through Saturday
As of 315am Saturday...Another fairly active pattern through the week: a dry warm front lifts north Sunday, strong cold front approaches Monday, building high pressure midweek leading to a late-season CAD event, and another coastal low to impact the area late in the period.

Sunday...A surge of 25-30 mph winds over the coastal waters translates to a breezy Sunday night for OBX. Overnight lows are substantially warmer than Saturday night, mid to upper 60s across most of the area.

Monday...SFC low just off the New England coast swings its cold front through the area, increasing the likelihood of rain and chances of thunderstorms ahead of the front in the afternoon into the evening. Highs Monday are the warmest in the period reaching the mid 80s. Showers linger and potential for thunder becomes limited to the frontal boundary as it crosses coastal areas overnight.

Midweek...The cold front stalls well to our south through midweek with high pressure building in from the north setting up a late-season CAD event keeping temps cool, highs in the upper 60s/low 70s and lows in the upper 40s and low 50s. Guidance is catching on to the CAD in place and subsequently are trending their temps down. Have kept temps on the colder side of trusted guidance but have not gone as low as some of the extreme outliers.

Thursday And Friday
High pressure shifts offshore and a coastal low develops along the front stalled to the south and lifts northward. Naturally, details of depth and location of the low are inconsistent model to model this far out, but have kept at least mentionable Probability of Precipitation in the forecast to end the period with a chance of thunderstorms Thurs afternoon before drying out to end the week.

Marine
SHORT TERM /through Sunday/... As of 230pm Sat...Latest obs show WSW winds 15-25 kt gusting to 30 kt with seas 2-5 ft. Moderate to strong westerly winds will continue through this evening. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) continues for the coastal waters, sounds and inland rivers through this evening. Weak boundary will push through the waters this evening, with winds gradient diminishing and becoming more N/NEly. Seas 3-6 ft subsiding to 2-4 ft. Warm front will lift north through the waters Sunday. E winds 5-10 kt early becoming S 15-25 kt late. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions likely to re-develop late afternoon and early evening. Seas 2-4 ft building to 3-5 ft late.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/... As of 315am Saturday...High pressure shifts south of the waters and offshore Sunday, with winds surging out of the SW late Sunday and all of Monday with gusts up to 30+kts ahead of the next approaching cold front. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions are likely, and a prolonged fetch will build seas up to 6-8 feet Monday. Front sweeps offshore late Monday night into Tuesday, resulting in winds veering northerly and weakening through Tuesday. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions should come to an end sometime Tuesday morning.

Fire Weather
As of 230pm Sat...Critical fire weather conditions will continue through late this afternoon. The combination of gusty westerly winds 20 to 30 mph, low relative humidities 25 to 30 percent, and very dry fuel moistures will lead to increased fire danger conditions across Eastern North Carolina this afternoon. Will cont Increased Fire Danger Statement per coord with NCFS. Min RH values rebound to 35-40 percent Sunday afternoon with wind gusts 20-25 mph.

NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NC...None.
MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EDT this evening for AMZ131- 136-137-150-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 10pm EDT this evening for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound)- 152-154. Small Craft Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for AMZ156- 158.