Pamlico River & Pungo River Marine Forecast
| Today...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt This Afternoon. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves Choppy. |
| Tonight...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Becoming N 5 To 10 Kt After Midnight. Waves Choppy, Diminishing To Light Chop After Midnight. |
| Wed...N Winds Around 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Wed Night...Ne Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Diminishing To Flat After Midnight. |
| Thu...N Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming Ne In The Afternoon. Waves Flat. |
| Thu Night...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Diminishing To Flat After Midnight. |
| Fri...W Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Waves Flat, Increasing To Light Chop In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Sat Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 638am EDT Tuesday Jun 2 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Made some adjustments to Probability of Precipitation on Wednesday and Thursday Made adjustments to ending times of ongoing SCA's Updated Aviation Discussion. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Cooler air lingers today and tonight behind a departing cold front. 2) Cool and trending drier as a coastal low looks to remain off the coast Wednesday and Thurs. 3) Hotter conditions return this weekend. KEY MESSAGE 1... Positively tilted upper level trough gradually dives S'wards today across the Mid-Atlantic while a mid level shortwave pushes out to sea. At the surface, cold front has pushed offshore resulting in dry conditions. We remain dry through today as high pressure gradually builds in from the north and west. However, the pressure gradient tightens between the incoming high and departing front resulting in breezy NE'rly winds. 20-25 mph gusts will be possible across inland areas today, while 25-35 mph wind gusts will be noted across the OBX later this morning and afternoon. While winds will be breezy, expect MinRH's across the inland areas to remain at or above 30% for the most part so not anticipating any elevated fire conditions for now. Only other thing we are monitoring is the potential for high surf across beaches north of Cape Hatteras as an elevated fetch of NE winds bring longer period swell to the area later tonight. For now latest guidance suggests peak wave periods of 10 seconds with wave heigheights around 7 ft keeping us just below the threshold for headlines. Will be monitoring marine obs today in case a short fused high surf advisory is needed later today. Highs today get into the upper 60s along the OBX and coast to the mid 70s inland which will be notably cooler than previous days. As we get into tonight, high pressure continues to build in from the north and west relaxing the pressure gradient and weakening the winds. With clear skies and winds becoming light and variable to calm tonight a great radiational cooling night is ahead as lows are forecast to get into the upper 40s to low 50s inland and upper 50s to low 60s along the OBX. KEY MESSAGE 2...Previously mentioned positively tilted upper- level trough will push offshore on Wednesday and cutoff, which will help keep a developing coastal low well offshore Wed/Thurs. Guidance continues to keep this low farther offshore, and odds of any associated shower activity bleeding onshore continues to remain low both days. For now have left SChc Probability of Precipitation along the OBX Wednesday and Thurs, but could see mentionable Probability of Precipitation push offshore in coming updates with just mostly cloudy skies across the OBX if trends continue. The more noticeable impact from this feature will be stronger northerly gradient winds, which could gust to 20-30 mph along the coast. Temps remain slightly below average on Wed and Thurs as NE flow keeps the area cool with highs reaching the low to mid 80s inland and low to mid 70s along the OBX each day with lows in the 50s to 60s. KEY MESSAGE 3...As we get into the end of the week, low offshore is forecast to push further out to sea with high pressure becoming anchored off the coast this weekend. This will bring steady SW'rly flow, increasing low level thicknesses, and warming temps with highs forecast to get back into the 90s inland and 80s along the coast and OBX bringing a return to more summer like temps. Long term probabilistic guidance suggests there is room for forecast highs to trend higher (probability of a Moderate or higher HeatRisk is already 60-80%+ on Saturday/Sunday), so those sensitive to heat issues are encouraged to keep an eye on trends over the next few days. Will note some guidance has picked up on a frontal passage occuring on Monday which would result in temps cooling and increased precip chances early next week. Marine Not much change in forecast thinking for the next few days as SCA's (Small Craft Advisories) will remain in place across all our waters today and into tonight. Cold front is currently analyzed along the far southern waters this morning and will continue to push out to sea later today. Behind this front, NE winds at 15-25 kts with gusts up to 30 kts are noted across all our waters as the gradient remains tight between this departing front and incoming ridge of high pressure. The pressure gradient will remain pinched into Wednesday as a coastal low develops and deepens well offshore. This will keep winds N-NE'rly at 15-25 kts across our coastal waters with gusts up to 25-30 kts. Will note with high pressure gradually building over ENC tonight do expect winds to gradually begin to ease tonight across the inland waters with gusts falling below 25 kts thus ending SCA's (Small Craft Advisories) across the inland waters by 12Z Wed. Seas along our coastal waters will continue to increase today building to 7-12ft mainly north of Cape Lookout and across the 20-60 NM zones. These elevated seas continue into later this week keeping SCA's (Small Craft Advisories) in place here. Weak signal remains for a brief window of Gales over the waters south of Hatteras beyond 20 nm, but is still too weak to include headlines this morning. Outlook: SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions come to an end by the end of this week with a return to more typical warm-season patterns in south to southwesterly flow and localized surges in the late afternoon and evening associated with thermal gradients. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 2am EDT Wednesday for AMZ131-230- 231. Small Craft Advisory until 8am EDT Wednesday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound). Small Craft Advisory until 11pm EDT this evening for AMZ136- 137. Small Craft Advisory until 8pm EDT Thursday for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory until 2am EDT Friday for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)-154. Small Craft Advisory until 2am EDT Thursday for AMZ156-158. |
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