Marine Weather Net

Pamlico River & Pungo River Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

FRI NIGHT

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

SAT

S
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
AMZ136 Forecast Issued: 1254 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

Rest Of Tonight...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop.
Fri...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop. Rain Likely In The Afternoon.
Fri Night...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Se After Midnight. Waves A Moderate Chop. Rain In The Evening, Then Showers Likely After Midnight.
Sat...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw In The Afternoon. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Morning.
Sat Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers.
Sun...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Light Chop, Increasing To A Moderate Chop In The Afternoon. A Chance Of Showers.
Sun Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers.
Mon...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N 5 To 10 Kt. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop. Showers Likely, Then A Chance Of Showers.
Tue...Ne Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Se. Waves A Moderate Chop, Diminishing To Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers.
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938 PM EST Thu Feb 25 2021
Synopsis for Eastern North Carolina coastal waters - AMZ100
High pressure will build in from the north tonight into Friday. Developing low pressure will impact the Southeast coast later Friday into Saturday. A series of waves moving along a front lingering nearby will keep an active pattern in place through the middle of next week.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
119am EST Fri Feb 26 2021

Synopsis
High pressure will build in from the north tonight into Friday. Developing low pressure will impact the Southeast coast later Friday into Saturday. A series of waves moving along a front lingering nearby will keep an active pattern in place through the middle of next week.

Near Term - Through Tonight
As of 110am Friday...Latest infrared satellite imagery showing clear skies across eastern NC. Forecast in pretty good shape with high pressure centered over central Ohio building south into the Carolinas early this morning. A weak area of low pressure will form along a stalled boundary, but precipitation will be delayed until later on Friday. Some increase in mid level clouds can be expected toward morning. Current temperatures are in the low/mid 40s and should drop into the mid to upper 30s inland and lower 40s coast.

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH 6am SATURDAY/... As of 335pm Thu...Friday will start with CAD in place as parent high pushes off the New England coast. Most of the day will feature dry conditions on breezy northeast winds. Increasing warm air advection aloft as H85mb flow strengthens through the second half of the day. This will produce an inc and lowering of a stratus cloud deck through the day. Isentropic lift will spawn virga and sprinkles initially as the boundary layer is slow to moisten, but light rain eventually increases in coverage later in the afternoon. It will be quite a bit cooler than the last several days, but still only slightly below normal with highs ranging from the low 50s inland where CAD will dominate to near 60 closer to the coast south of Cape Hatteras.

Long Term - Saturday Through Friday
As of 3am Thu...Fairly unsettled through the long term period with above normal temps expected overall.

Friday Night...High confidence in widespread ra as PW's maxing out at 1.25-1.5" prior to midnight as weak low develops and moves through the ctrl Carolinas. Non-diurnal temps curve expected as nerly to erly winds early in the evening become srly during the evening and overnight, with low temps around 50 early, rising through the 50s overnight. probability of precipitation diminish after midnight s to n as area becomes entrenched in the warm sector and widespread uvv lifts north of the region.

Saturday through Sunday...A dry and warm forecast on tap as upper ridging envelops the sern CONUS. 582 dm heigheights translate to highs well above climo, with readings in the low/mid 70s Sat, climbing to the mid/upper 70s Sun. Temps near the coast will naturally be much cooler due to the still cold water temps, so will remain in the 60s. Low temps also very warm, in the 50s. Have dropped probability of precipitation to slght chc, as appearing shower chances very slim due to the upper ridging in place and frontal boundary residing north of the VA/NC border.

Monday...Next good rain chance arrives to start the work week, as model guid in good agreement on next progressive shortwave swinging through the Mid Atlantic and northeast, pushing the aforementioned stalled frontal bndry to the north, southward through ENC. Raised probability of precipitation to likelies on Monday due to the good agreement amongst 25/00Z model suite.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Models diverge greatly during this period, as latest GFS keeps front well south of ENC and hence dry and cool, while ECM, which has support from the UKMET/CMC, brings next system across the southern states and Mid Atlantic on an active subtropical jet, and therefore next good chance of rain. Based on ECM ens mean, NBM, WPC, have raised probability of precipitation to low range chance this period. Temps near climo this period, with highs 55-60 and lows in the upper 30s to low 40s.

Marine
Short Term /through Friday/... As of 120am Friday...Latest marine observations showing ENE/NE winds 10-20 knots with seas 3-5 feet in most areas. Not much change to the current forecast as moderate NE-E flow prevails through tonight. Winds increase Friday morning as ridging persists inland while low pressure strengthens over the Southeast, with increasingly frequent gusts to 25 kt and SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) now in effect for the coastal waters and sounds south of Oregon Inlet, where the gradient will get strongest.

Seas but increase to 4-5 ft through the day Friday, with some 6 footers arriving later in the afternoon south of Oregon Inlet as the persistent longer E to NE fetch builds windswell.

Long Term /Friday night through Tuesday/... As of 3am Thu...Generally poor boating conditions through the long term as several low pressure systems and fronts impact the waters and sounds. Expanding SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conditions expected on Friday night as low pressure lifts north through the Carolinas, bringing strong onshore winds from the southeast and seas building 6-8 ft or higher. Winds turn SW on Sat and diminish to around 15 kt with seas subsiding as well. Winds remain swrly but may inc a bit to 15-20 on Sunday with SCA (Small Craft Advisory) possible again Sunday night as winds inc further to 20-25 kt ahead of next cold front that pushes through on Mon. Winds turn N to NE Monday night into Tuesday and may remain in the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) range.

NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories
NC...None.
MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory from 9am this morning to midnight EST Saturday night for AMZ152-154. Small Craft Advisory from 9am this morning to 7pm EST Saturday for AMZ156-158. Small Craft Advisory from 9am this morning to 7am EST Saturday for AMZ135(Pamlico Sound).