Pamlico River & Pungo River Marine Forecast
| Rest Of Today...E Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming Se Late. Waves Flat. |
| Tonight...Se Winds 5 To 10 Kt, Becoming Sw After Midnight. Waves Light Chop, Diminishing To Flat After Midnight. Patchy Fog After Midnight. |
| Wed...Sw Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming S In The Afternoon. Waves Flat, Increasing To Light Chop In The Afternoon. Areas Of Fog In The Morning. |
| Wed Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. |
| Thu...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Thu Night...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Fri...S Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. Showers Likely With A Chance Of Tstms In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Sat...Ne Winds Around 5 Kt, Becoming E In The Afternoon. Waves Flat, Increasing To Light Chop In The Afternoon. A Chance Of Showers. A Chance Of Tstms In The Afternoon. |
| Sat Night...E Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves Light Chop. A Chance Of Tstms In The Evening. A Chance Of Showers. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Tstms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 249pm EDT Tuesday September 23 2025 Synopsis High pressure will continue to extend over Eastern NC from the northeast for the next few days with a weak front and coastal troughing offshore. Another low pressure system will move in from the west late week. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 230pm Tuesday... Key Messages - Another round of fog will be possible again tonight across Eastern NC High pressure continues across Eastern NC with a weak inland- moving seabreeze boundary providing the impetus for convection this afternoon. Weak showers and thunderstorms reside along a line from roughly Richlands to Stumpy Point, with strongest convection across souther Beaufort county, moving slowly north. Showers should wane with loss of daytime heating and lack of instability/lifting mechanism this evening. Overnight will see another round of fog, perhaps greater in density and coverage tonight given dew points in the mid 60s due to light southerly flow today providing a moisture rebound. Winds will decouple for inland locations under mostly clear skies, allowing for good radiational cooling. Quiet night otherwise, with temps falling into the mid- upper 60s inland and low 70s along the coast/Outer Banks. Short Term - Wednesday As of 240pm Tuesday... Key Messages - Heat indices approach 95 degrees Wednesday Eastern NC will be between weather systems on Wednesday, with high pressure well northeast of the area moving farther away from the area, and light WSW flow aloft. Temperatures will climb into the lower 90s inland. Dew points look to max out in the lower 70s to upper 60s, helping to build heat index values around 95 degrees for inland locations. No precipitation expected. Long Term - Wednesday Night Through Tuesday As of 330am Tue... Key Messages: - Pattern becomes more unsettled Thursday through the weekend - Monitoring the Southwestern Atlantic for low pressure development early next week Overall model agreement in the large scale upper pattern is good, but the more minute details remain uncertain especially later this weekend into early next week. This in turn will have an impact on the ambient weather across ENC this weekend into early next week and will likely determine what the eventual evolution of any potential low development in the SW'rn Atlantic is. Wednesday and Thurs...Upper ridging will briefly get amplified on Wed across the Southeastern CONUS into the Mid-Atlantic out ahead of an approaching positively tilted trough which will be centered across the Great Lakes SW'wards to the Central Plains. Ridging will slowly push east into the Atlantic on Thurs/Fri as upper troughing tracks east and nears the Eastern Seaboard towards the end of the week. At the surface, high pressure offshore will gradually push further into the Atlantic while low pressure and its associated fronts located in the Plains on Wed tracks NE'wards on Thurs and Fri with this lows associated cold front nearing ENC on Thurs and gradually tracking across ENC on Fri. With the aforementioned cold front so far away on Wed, the area will generally remain dry outside of an isolated seabreeze shower or storm, though kept PoP's below mentionable given subsidence aloft should limit any seabreeze activity. As we get into Thurs, cold front begins to approach from the west and as upper level dynamics increase, forecast calls for increasing shower and thunderstorm chances Thursday afternoon and evening starting a period of unsettled weather for ENC, primarily along the Coastal Plain. Best chances for precipitation look to be west of Hwy 17. With increasing moisture return, instability looks to increase to around 1000 J/kg. With deep layer shear increasing to around 20-25 kts on Thursday can't rule out a stronger storm or two. As the ridge aloft amplifies, low level heigheights increase across ENC sending high temps to nearly 90 across the coastal plain and low-80s at the beaches on Wednesday and Thurs with lows in the low 70s. Friday through Monday Weather is forecast to remain unsettled through this weekend as cold front slowly tracks across the region and stalls offshore promoting elevated shower and thunderstorm chances with best chances still looking to occur on Fri/Sat. Upper trough remains over the Eastern Seaboard through the weekend, with guidance trending towards cutting off the upper trough with an upper low settling in across the Southeast. Guidance still varies on the exact strength and position of this upper low but general trend is for the upper cutoff low to gradually push NE'wards towards the Mid-Atlantic early next week. At the surface, stalled front remains offshore with high pressure building in from the north and west. Across the Southwestern Atlantic, there remains potential for low development near the Bahamas early next week with any low that develops tracking to the north and eventually the northeast. Though ensemble guidance remains rather spread on the exact track and strength with low development next week. So outside of monitoring the situation will leave any mention of low development rather broad in nature. Temps behind the cold font lower into the mid 70s to lower 80s Sat and beyond as heigheights fall with upper troughing overhead. Marine SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/... As of 2:45pm Tuesday... Key Messages - Marine conditions improving as Hurricane Gabrielle moves farther away Long period swell from Gabrielle continues to impact the Eastern NC coastal waters with latest buoy obs reporting 4-7 ft seas at 12-14 seconds. Conditions will continue to improve this evening with seas expected to subside to 4-5 ft at 11-12 seconds by tonight. No change to the SCA (Small Craft Advisory) in effect for the central waters until 8pm tonight. Isolated showers/thunderstorms for the inland rivers/Sounds this afternoon will wane by this evening due to loss of daytime heating. Expect light southerly winds overnight into Wednesday. May see areas of sea fog for inland bodies of water/Sounds. Seas continue to subside Wednesday, falling to mostly 2-3 ft, still longer periods due to distant Hurricane Gabrielle. Long Term - Wednesday Through Saturday As of 230am Tue...Benign boating conditions are forecast at the start of the long term with S'rly flow at about 5-10 kts expected across all our waters on Wednesday. At the same time seas along the coastal waters will be about 2-4 ft. A weakening cold front will begin to approach from the west on Thursday which will pinch the gradient slightly allowing S'rly winds to increase to 10-20 kts Thurs evening before the gradient relaxes slightly on Fri allowing winds to decrease back down to 10-15 kts. Even with the increase in winds seas will generally remain around 2-4 ft across our coastal waters. Aforementioned cold front slowly moves across ENC and eventually pushes offshore over the weekend increasing shower and thunderstorm chances from Thurs onwards and eventually allowing S'rly flow to shift to a NE'rly direction behind the front at 10-15 kts late this weekend. Seas look to generally remain around 2-4 ft through the remained of the period. Tides / Coastal Flooding As of 245pm Tuesday...Long period swell from increasingly distant Gabrielle will continue to reach the coast of ENC over the next 1-2 days. The latest guidance suggests this will be a notable 11-13 second swell, but seas are only forecast to be 3-5 ft. Vulnerable areas outside of dune protection will be susceptible to minor runup during high tide cycles, but with conditions expected to improve, no headlines are warranted at this time. NOAA Newport/Morehead City NC Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8pm EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 8pm EDT this evening for AMZ152(Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC)- 154. |
Newport NC Radar
Southeast Radar
East Coast Satellite