Marine Weather Net

North Mobile Bay Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TUESDAY

SE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

TUESDAY NIGHT

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

SE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ630 Forecast Issued: 911 PM CST Mon Feb 06 2023

Rest Of Tonight...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon.
Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Wednesday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Wednesday Night...South Winds Around 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves Around 2 Feet. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Thursday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots, Becoming Southwest 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Feet In The Morning, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Showers Likely With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Thursday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers.
Friday...Northwest Winds Around 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning.
Friday Night...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Saturday...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Saturday Night...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023

/issued 357pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TER
Marine
Near Term
(Now through Tuesday) Issued at 254pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023

Upper level ridging and surface high pressure has maintained clear skies today. Current temperatures are mainly in the lower 70s, with a few spots still in the upper 60s. No rain is expected this evening and overnight, but clouds will be on the increase as moisture increases. Lows will likely dip into the lower to mid 40s for interior southwest and south-central Alabama, and into the mid 40s to lower 50s over southeast Mississippi and inland Coastal Alabama and far western Florida Panhandle. Meanwhile, lows will merely drop into the mid 50s at the immediate coast.

The upper ridging and surface high will be pushed east through Tuesday in response to an upper level shortwave moving over the Midwest and the Great Lakes region as well as a surface cold front progressing over the Ohio Valley and ArkLaTex region. Return flow will increase moisture over our local area, especially over southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. Models indicate precipitable water values reaching above an inch during the day on Tuesday. The aforementioned pattern could lead to a slight chance of showers west of the Alabama River Tuesday morning through the afternoon. Model guidance suggests that instability will be very limited, so thunderstorm activity should be low. Highs will be a bit warmer Tuesday afternoon than in recent days, with temperatures topping out in the lower to mid 70s.

A LOW RISK of rip currents continues through tonight, then the risk will increase through Wednesday to a HIGH RISK as our next storm system approaches. /26

SHORT TERM... (Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 254pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023

Deep layer moisture will rapidly increase across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday as an upper trough ejects into the plains and an associated cold front move east. ENough moisture is expected for scattered showers Tuesday night into early Wednesday. However, the primary rain chances will hold off until Wednesday evening into Wednesday night as the cold front moves across the area. While vertical wind shear values will be supportive of strong storms, instability levels remain questionable. In addition, the primary upper support will be pulling well to the north. While we cannot rule out a strong or severe storms, the threat of widespread severe remains low and Storm Prediction Center has a marginal risk out for the entire area. Rain chances will linger mainly east of I-65 on Thursday as the front hangs up as another trough digs to the west. Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid/upper 70s with upper 60s/low 70s on Thursday. /13

Long Term (Friday through Monday) Issued at 254pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023

The upper trough will send a stronger cold front across the area on Friday morning pushing the rain east of the area. A much colder and drier airmass will move into the area in the wake of this front. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 50s and low 60s NW of I-65 to low 60s east of I-65. Highs on Saturday will only be in the low to mid 50s with upper 50s and low 60s on Sunday. The upper level flow turns southwesterly by early next week with a warming trend in temps. /13

Marine
Issued at 254pm CST Monday Feb 6 2023

No significant impacts are anticipated over the marine waters through at least tonight. A light southeasterly flow will continue into tonight but begin to increase overnight. Onshore flow will gradually increase further and seas will build through midweek as a storm system approaches and then moves across the region on Thursday. A reinforcing frontal boundary is anticipated by early Friday morning, with a moderate to strong offshore flow likely developing in its wake. A Small Craft Advisory may be necessary by Friday night. /26

NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.