North Mobile Bay Marine Forecast
| Tonight...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Waves Around 2 Feet This Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. Showers And Thunderstorms Likely Early This Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Late This Evening And Overnight. |
| Tuesday...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Tuesday Night...West Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Wednesday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Wednesday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Thursday...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Thursday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Friday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. |
| Saturday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms, Mainly In The Evening. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 653pm CDT Monday July 13 2026 Issued at 653pm CDT Monday July 13 2026 We are monitoring a line of thunderstorms entering into the northern portion of our forecast area. Radar base velocities and surface observations are indicating some gusty winds to 30-40 mph with the stronger convection. Recent Convective Allowing Models (CAMs) do show this convection weakening through the evening hours before dissipating near the Highway-84 corridor. We do not anticipate any severe storms with this line, but may be issuing Special Weather Statements from time to time. /22 Issued at 253pm CDT Monday July 13 2026 A broad upper low with an associated surface low continues to drift slowly southward into northeast Alabama and northwest Georgia. Meanwhile, the low-level convergence boundary that resulted in numerous showers with locally heavy rainfall near the coast this morning has drifted well offshore, leaving widespread cloud cover and areas of light to occasionally moderate rain across southern portions of the forecast area. The persistent clouds and rainfall have kept temperatures unseasonably cool, with a couple spots remaining in the 70s. Because low-level convergence and instability have been limited over land, the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flooding has decreased for much of the area. The main focus for heavier showers and storms this afternoon and evening should remain over northern portions of the area, generally north of Highway 84, where some destabilization closer to the low pressure center is occurring. Elsewhere, expect widespread cloud cover and a few showers to continue, but cannot rule out redevelopment of a few heavier showers and storms by late afternoon with a very moist and saturated atmospheric profile in place. By Tuesday, the surface low is expected to begin drifting westward from central AL into MS and the coastal convergence boundary will be pushing well offshore. Compared to today, less cloud cover should allow for greater destabilization across inland ares, and when combined with lingering high atmospheric moisture, will support numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms over the interior, with more scattered coverage expected closer to the coast. A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall remains in place areawide for Tuesday to account for any training or slow-moving storms that develop, which may lead to localized flash flooding. Any stronger storms will also be capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds. Rain chances decrease noticeably by Wednesday and Thursday (with isolated to scattered coverage at best) as the upper low retrogrades westward and upper ridging builds over the northern Gulf. Hotter conditions will return during the latter half of the week, with highs climbing back into the low to mid 90s and heat indices topping out in the upper 90s to 107 range. Predictability decreases heading into the weekend as guidance indicates increased moisture approaching from the east and a cutoff low developing over the southeastern states and potentially into the northeast Gulf. Considerable uncertainty exists regarding how far west this system ultimately tracks, but it bears watching as it could lead to some increasing rain chances this weekend. At the beaches, a High risk of rip currents continues along the Northwest Florida beaches through Tuesday night. A Moderate risk of rip currents continues for the remainder of the Alabama and western Florida Panhandle beaches through Friday. JGC/98 Marine Issued at 253pm CDT Monday July 13 2026 A moderate to occasionally strong westerly flow is expected through this evening, transitioning to a light to occasionally moderate general westerly flow through the remainder of the week. Seas 3 to 5 feet through early Tuesday will settle to 2 to 4 feet by Tuesday, and remaining generally 2 feet or less for the remainder of the week. Expect higher winds and seas in and around thunderstorms, which may be numerous to widespread once again on Tuesday morning. JGC/98 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1am CDT Tuesday for GMZ631-632-650- 655-670-675. |
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