Peconic and Gardiners Bays Marine Forecast
| Today...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Slight Chance Of Showers Early This Morning. |
| Tonight...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Chance Of Showers. |
| Thu...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Increasing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less, Then Around 2 Ft In The Afternoon. Slight Chance Of Showers In The Morning With Vsby 1 To 3 Nm. |
| Thu Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Increasing To 20 To 25 Kt After Midnight. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Fri...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Fri Night...Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sat...Sw Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. Chance Of Rain. |
| Sat Night...W Winds 5 To 10 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sun...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Sun Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Waves 1 Ft Or Less. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 125pm EST Wednesday Jan 14 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No major changes with the forecast. .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Potential light snow accumulation well NW of NYC with minimal impacts for late tonight into Thursday morning. 2) Breezy and cold Thursday night with winds and wind chills short of advisory thresholds. 3) Unsettled weather this weekend with potential of a coastal low pressure Sunday into Sunday night. 4) Much colder air expected Sunday through the middle of next week with temperatures potentially below freezing Monday through Wednesday. .KEY MESSAGE 1... Mainly rain showers possible through tonight with isentropic and low level jet lift this evening and a shortwave and approaching cold front late tonight. Forecast soundings and freezing level heigheights indicate snow starting to mix in well NW of the city and mainly in the higher elevations near daybreak Thursday as the cold front starts moving through. Not much liquid equivalent precipitation left by the time profiles support all snow. Any snow accumulation will be under a half of an inch for well NW of the city with limited impacts for the morning commute. Dry outside of a stray snow shower/flurry for the interior Thursday afternoon into early evening. .KEY MESSAGE 2... Winds increase behind the cold front on Thursday with a tightening pressure gradient. Westerly downsloping winds should offset the cold air advection somewhat before stronger advection begins in the afternoon to evening. Wind speeds aloft only supportive of surface gusts below advisory thresholds Thurs/Thursday night with wind chills falling into the single digits for most areas late Thursday night/early Friday morning. .KEY MESSAGE 3... Low pressure over the Great Lakes and an associated upper trough will send a cold front into the area on Saturday. The energy in the trough is broad, but there is enough lift and moisture to support chance probabilities for precipitation on Saturday. Thermal profiles are marginal for anything frozen, but some colder air will start moving in as the front passes across the region to support mention of some light snow along with light rain, especially from the NYC metro on north. Any precipitation will be light with little to no impacts currently expected due to the marginal boundary layer temperatures and overall weak system. The cold front passes moves offshore Saturday night. Large upper trough over the eastern US will likely amplify with potential of energy rounding the base of the trough on Sunday. Depending on the amplification/amplitude of the energy, low pressure may develop off the Middle Atlantic coast. The current consensus has this low tracking far enough east of the area for any concerns. However, some of the 12z model guidance has trended west with the system which would bring an increasing potential for precipitation across at least the eastern portion of the area. This system is still 5 days out and there are many areas of sensitivity to the overall evolution of this potential system. For this forecast, have gone ahead and bumped Probability of Precipitation up to low chance for the eastern two thirds of the area Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. Colder air should be over the area by this time, so any precipitation would be in the form of snow. This time period bears watching in subsequent forecasts. .KEY MESSAGE 4... A colder temperature regime begins on Sunday with highs in the lower to middle 30s. Deep upper troughing will then persist over the eastern US allowing for arctic air to funnel down into the region. Highs Monday through next Wednesday should remain below freezing with highs on Tuesday potentially not rising out of the 20s. Nighttime temperatures will likely be in the teens at night. While it is a bit early for specific details on wind chills, there is some potential for winds to combine with the cold temperatures for wind chills in the single digits to around 0 Monday night into Tuesday night. These details will be fine tined as confidence increases with respect to the magnitude of the winds over the next several days. Marine SCA (Small Craft Advisory) continues on the ocean waters through tonight and Thursday, primarily for seas through tonight, but winds ramp up on Thursday. Gales then expected as early as around midnight Thurs night through Friday morning, so have upgraded the previous Gale Watch to a Warning. For the other waters, SCA (Small Craft Advisory) for 14z Thurs through Friday morning. SCA (Small Craft Advisory) conds likely on the ocean Friday afternoon through the rest of the forecast period. Elevated ocean seas between 5-7 ft are likely to continue through Monday. Winds on Saturday should remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels with the next potential period of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) winds Sunday into Monday. Equipment KOKX Doppler Radar remains out of service. NOAA New York NY Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. Marine Small Craft Advisory from 9am Thursday to noon EST Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345. Small Craft Advisory until 6pm EST Thursday for ANZ350-353- 355. Gale Warning from 6pm Thursday to noon EST Friday for ANZ350- 353-355. |
New York Radar
Northeast Radar
East Coast Satellite