Pensacola Bay including Santa Rosa Sound Marine Forecast
| This Afternoon...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. |
| Tonight...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. |
| Friday...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. Showers Likely, Mainly In The Morning. Areas Of Dense Fog In The Morning. Patchy Dense Fog In The Afternoon. |
| Friday Night...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening. |
| Saturday...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Saturday Night...East Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Sunday Night...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Monday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Monday Night...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1216pm CST Thu Feb 26 2026 Issued at 1214pm CST Thu Feb 26 2026 Now through Thursday... An upper level shortwave trough moving through a mean upper trough over the eastern Conus passes over the Southeast tonight through Friday. A weak surface front moves across the forecast area later tonight into Friday in response, eventually stalling south of the northern Gulf coast by Friday evening. With decent moisture availability over the forecast area and nearby (precipitable h20 values around 1.5") along isentropic upglide along and north of the front, rain showers are expected. Adding in some upper divergence from a passing split upper level jet, and some instability (guidance is advertising MUCapes in the 600-800J/kg range), locally heavy rains may cause ponding in poor drainage areas. With the forecast area experiencing very dry to drought conditions, this rain will help to moisten area soils, but limit water issues. The expected quick passage of this system will also help to limit more serious water issues. The upper trough remains over the eastern Conus through the weekend, then shifts east as a strong closed upper low dives south over the western Conus, shifting an upper ridge over the Southeast in response. The upper ridge builds through mid week, deflecting the upper low away from the Southeast. Looking at temperatures, above seasonal norms is the name of the game for temperatures. Low to mid 70s for high temperatures Friday rise into the mid 70s to around 80 by Sunday, remaining there for the rest of the forecast. Low temperatures see a more variability initially, dropping from the mid 50s to around 60 tonight to the upper 40s to mid 50s Saturday night. From there, a warming trend ensues, with mid 50s to around 60 expected for Wednesday night. Persistent onshore flow increasing onshore swell and a large tidal rain is bring a High Risk for rip currents to area beaches. am expecting this to decrease beginning late Friday through the weekend into the coming week as the onshore flow becomes less organized and the tidal range decreases. /16 Marine Issued at 1214pm CST Thu Feb 26 2026 Moderate onshore flow currently will shift to a light to moderate late Friday into Friday night as a system moves east of area waters. Light onshore flow begins to return early in the week, with some strengthening mid week. /16 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...None. |
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