Pensacola Bay including Santa Rosa Sound Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers Until Early Morning, Then A Chance Of Showers Late. |
| Thursday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Thursday Night...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Friday...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers. |
| Friday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers. |
| Saturday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Becoming South After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. Showers. |
| Sunday...Northwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning. Showers. |
| Sunday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Increasing To 15 To 20 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Choppy. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Evening. |
| Monday...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Choppy. |
| Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1159pm CST Wednesday Jan 21 2026 Issued at 1153pm CST Wednesday Jan 21 2026 Now through Wednesday... For the current package...the happenings in the first 5 periods of the forecast continue to lead to a winter event over northern portions of the forecast area. These happenings are a series of shortwaves moving over the Southeast, maintaining a surface front over the region, eventually shifting it to along and south of the coast by the weekend. Cooler air slowly shifts south over the forecast area in the process. Period of rainshowers are expected the rest of the week into the weekend with the passing shortwaves. An opening closed low over northwestern Mexico and the Desert Southwest swings east over the Southern Plains this weekend, bringing stronger isentropic upglide to the forecast area ahead of a surface low that develops over the northwestern Gulf along the surface boundary and moves northeast across the forecast area Sunday into Sunday night. Liquid precipitation is expected over most of the forecast area the rest of the week through the weekend. The problem with the weekend portion of the forecast is guidance advertising enough cooler air moving over northwestern-most portions of the forecast area for freezing rain to be possible Sunday/Sunday night. Exact placement of a cold enough column for freezing rain has been inconsistent, both amongst the guidance and run to run in that guidance. Placement of freezing rain continues to be over northern Wayne and Choctaw Counties, tapering down rapidly as one moves south. Still too early for any winter WWAs, but may see something as soon as Thursday. Another item to watch is areas along and south of the surface low's passage Saturday into Saturday night and the possiblity of strong to severe storms. At this point, any rowdy storms are expected to be south of the northern Gulf coast. Again, this is dependent upon how far south the surface front moves south before stalling and the surface low's passage. Looking at temperatures, high temperatures in the mid 60s to around 70 Thursday shift southeast as cooler air moves over the forecast area behind the front, with the greatest drop Sunday into Monday behind the passing surface low. By Sunday, high temperatures have dropped into the mid/upper 50s northwest of the Alabama River to upper 60s well southeast of I-65. Monday, high temperatures are expected to range from around 40 north of Highway 84 to upper 40s near the coast. Temperatures moderate upward in the coming week as surface high pressure moves over the forecast area Tuesday, returning onshore flow by Wednesday. 50s are expected Wednesday. Low temperatures generally in the low to mid 50s Thursday night slowly drop into the weekend, before dropping into the 20s over most of the forecast area Sunday night behind the surface low moves off. Wind chills drop into the single digits north of Highway 84 to upper teens well southeast of I-65. An Extreme Cold Watch/Warning will likely be needed for Sunday night. Low temperatures also moderate upward in the coming week, rising into the upper 20s north of Highway 84 Wednesday night, low to mid 30s south. With general onshore flow into the weekend, the Rip Current Risk remains low to moderate through the week, with an uptick to moderate to at times strong this weekend as the surface low passes. /16 Marine Issued at 1153pm CST Wednesday Jan 21 2026 Light to moderate onshore flow tonight into Thursday will ease to light for the rest of the week. A surface low passing south of the forecast area this weekend will bring a moderate to at times strong onshore flow this weekend. After the surface low passes, moderate to strong offshore flow follows. /16 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |