Pensacola Bay including Santa Rosa Sound Marine Forecast
| Tonight...East Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Sunday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. |
| Sunday Night...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight. |
| Monday...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Chance Of Showers, Mainly In The Morning. |
| Monday Night...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Tuesday...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Tuesday Night...West Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Wednesday...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Afternoon. |
| Wednesday Night...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Northwest After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 529pm CST Sat Jan 25 2025 /issued 339pm CST Sat Jan 25 2025/ ..New NEAR TERM, LONG TER Marine Near Term (Now through Sunday Night) Issued at 339pm CST Sat Jan 25 2025 25.12Z upper air maps indicate the deep south is under a predominantly zonal (west to east) flow aloft. At the surface, a strong (1030mb) ridge of high pressure was positioned over the southeast while a quasi-stationary front was draped over the southern Plains. An attendant wave of frontal low pressure along the boundary was positioned over western OK. Well southeast of the front, satellite imagery indicates clouds beginning to expand northward over southeast TX. There are indications that moisture, caught up in the westerlies aloft, will be heading on an eastward trajectory bringing an increase in mainly high based clouds to the area beginning late tonight and into Sunday. As southern plains front slips southeast to the Lower MS Valley later in the day Sunday and into Sunday night, forecasters begin to see the probability of showers re-entering the forecast. Some small timing differences rain start late in the day primarily over the northwest zones noted between the physicals and short range ensembles. Sunday night looks to be best chance of showers, with higher (60%+) Probability of Precipitation aligned up along and north of US Highway 84 and 20-40% chances the further south. With the high off to the east and an evolving light onshore flow off the Gulf, overnight lows are favored to trend more modified than what we have seen over the past several nights. Numbers range lower to mid 30s interior to mid 40s closer to the coast. Could see some patchy to widespread frost development late in the night with the better potential of this over the interior. Highs Sunday warm mostly into the lower to mid 60s. Sunday night, a chilly rain, but nothing impactful as lows mostly well into the 40s. /10 Long Term (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 339pm CST Sat Jan 25 2025 A predominantly zonal flow pattern aloft will continue across the local region through Thursday as longwave troughing digs into the northeast US. This trough will gradually move into the western Atlantic by the end of the week. Additionally, a cutoff upper low over the southwest US will slowly move to the east through midweek. By time it reaches Texas/Oklahoma, it will quickly eject to the northeast, providing us with southwesterly flow aloft. At the surface a weakening cold front will be moving into the Deep South at the start of the period, bringing with it scattered to numerous showers. This front will stall and wash out somewhere over the local area on Monday, and rain chances will decrease by Monday afternoon and into the evening hours. We dry out through Tuesday night as shortwave ridging moves overhead and high pressure builds over Florida. Rain chances increase once again on Wednesday as another front attempts to move through the local area. After drying out once again on Thursday, rain chances ramp up Friday night into Saturday as the cutoff low ejects northeastward and another front approaches the area. Temperatures gradually warm through Wednesday, with highs reaching the low 70s and lows ranging from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south. Temperatures decrease a bit for Thursday and Friday as the midweek front moves through, and they eventually rebound by Saturday. /96 Marine Issued at 339pm CST Sat Jan 25 2025 No impactful marine weather through the middle of next week. Winds light. Seas 2 feet or less. By Thursday, there are indications that as a reinforcing high noses into the southeast combined with lowering surface pressures over east TX with next system, the pressure gradient force increases to cause a net increase in east northeast winds and a build in seas. /10 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |
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