Marine Weather Net

Pensacola Bay including Santa Rosa Sound Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

SE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TONIGHT

W
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

MONDAY

NW
WINDS
5 KNOTS

MONDAY NIGHT

N
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ634 Forecast Issued: 1036 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022

Rest Of Today...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South This Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Tonight...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Monday...Northwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early In The Morning. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early In The Evening.
Tuesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Wednesday Night...Tropical Storm Conditions Possible.
Thursday...Tropical Storm Conditions Possible.
Thursday Night...Tropical Storm Conditions Possible. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1247pm CDT Sunday September 25 2022

Near Term
(Now through Monday) Issued at 1244pm CDT Sunday September 25 2022

An upper level shortwave trough that is rounding the base of an upper trough over the eastern Conus moves off, with a weakening cold front moving south across the forecast area tonight into Monday in response. A drier airmass has settled over the forecast area and nearby (with precipitable h20 values in the 1.1"-1.4" range at this time), limiting ongoing showers and thunderstorms north and northwest of the forecast area from moving too far south this afternoon. As the front moves south across the forecast area tonight, guidance is advertising a slight chance (at best) of showers and thunderstorms moving south across the forecast area with the front, before the front stalls along the coast early Monday morning. This front is expected to provide the focus for precipitation formation Monday afternoon, mainly along the coast. With limited instability and wind shear, any risk of strong to severe storms will be minimal.

The dry airmass over the forecast area this afternoon will allow for efficient heating. Temperatures well above seasonal norms are expected, even with the proximity of the upper trough stretching south over the eastern Conus. Temperatures topping out in the upper 80s to low 90s expected. Tonight, the above seasonal temperatures continue, with an increase in cloud cover from the weakening cold front and an uptick in moisture levels helping to decrease overnight radiational cooling. Low temperatures ranging from the upper 60s along and north of Highway 84 to low to mid 70s along and south of I-10 are expected. Somewhat cooler air will overspread the forecast area Monday behind the front, with the northern half of the forecast area most affected. High temperatures ranging from mid 80s along and north of Highway 84 to near 90 along and south of I-10, still above seasonal norms. /16

NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.