Marine Weather Net

Perdido Bay Marine Forecast


TODAY

E
WINDS
5 KNOTS

TONIGHT

SW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SATURDAY

N
WINDS
5 KNOTS

SATURDAY NIGHT

S
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ633 Forecast Issued: 310 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Today...East Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South This Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop.
Tonight...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northwest After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop.
Saturday...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop.
Saturday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Sunday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Sunday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Monday...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. Showers Likely. A Chance Of Thunderstorms In The Morning, Then Thunderstorms Likely In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Tuesday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers.
Tuesday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East 10 To 15 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Moderate Chop. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
625am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

/issued 403am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024/

..New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TER
Marine
Near Term
(Now through Saturday) Issued at 403am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

The heat will slowly crank up the next two days as high pressure builds over the area. Upper ridging will slowly build east across the deep south today leading to rather large subsidence across the area. Given the drier air and increased subsidence. High pressure will be directly overhead on Saturday likely leading to rather hot and dry conditions across the area. Given the drier air aloft and warm surface temperatures, we will continue to mix out today leading to another hot but not incredibly muggy conditions. However by Saturday, moisture will likely begin to slowly push northward leading to hot and muggier conditions. Temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 90s today and upper 90s on Saturday. Heat indices will likely crack 100 with wet bulb globe temps around 85 to 88 suggesting some concerns for heat vulnerable populations. While these values are not what we typically see to warrant heat products, given its still earlyish in the summer, caution should be utilized while working outdoors. With light onshore flow, Rip current risk will continue to be low but will likely quickly increase Sunday into early next week.

SHORT TERM... (Saturday night through Sunday night) Issued at 403am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

An upper ridge over the region shifts a bit eastward during the period in response to a Plains upper trough which mostly ejects off across the Great Lakes and a broad upper trough developing over the western Gulf. A weak surface trough will be located across interior portions of the forecast area early Saturday evening then dissipates overnight with a light southerly surface flow otherwise prevailing through Sunday night. Deep layer moisture looks too limited to support probability of precipitation Saturday night, but slight chance to chance probability of precipitation return to the forecast on Sunday as deep layer moisture improves and the sea breeze aids in convective development. Lows Saturday night and Sunday night range from the lower 70s inland to the mid/upper 70s at the coast. Highs on Sunday will be in the lower 90s near the coast and in the mid 90s further inland. A low risk of rip currents Saturday night will be followed by a moderate risk for Sunday and Sunday night. /29

Long Term (Monday through Thursday) Issued at 403am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A broad and modest upper trough over the western Gulf which extends weakly into eastern Texas/Oklahoma steadily becomes better defined and extends further inland through Tuesday. For the forecast area, this temporarily keeps subsidence effects from an eastern states upper ridge at bay, though there is uncertainty as to how quickly drier air manages to work back into the area. A moist southeasterly surface flow will be in place on Monday and have gone with chance to likely pops. Similar probability of precipitation may well be suited for Tuesday as well, but due to uncertainty with the distribution of deep layer moisture have opted for slight chance to good chance probability of precipitation for now. There is better confidence for Wednesday and Thursday that drier air will be a limiting factor for the coverage of convection so have gone with slight chance to chance probability of precipitation for much of the area both days. A high risk of rip currents is expected Monday and Tuesday. /29

Marine
Issued at 403am CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Saturday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Sunday and strengthens as low pressure develops in the southwestern Gulf. Seas are also expected to increase as we head into early next week.

NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.