Marine Weather Net

Perdido Bay Marine Forecast


REST OF TONIGHT

W
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

MONDAY

NW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

MONDAY NIGHT

N
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUESDAY

NE
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ633 Forecast Issued: 939 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022

Rest Of Tonight...West Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms.
Monday...Northwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early In The Morning. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...North Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Increasing To 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Early In The Evening.
Tuesday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Tuesday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Wednesday Night...North Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less.
Thursday...Tropical Storm Conditions Possible.
Thursday Night...Tropical Storm Conditions Possible.
Friday...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Friday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms. A Chance Of Showers Early In The Evening, Then A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Late Evening And Overnight. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1021pm CDT Sunday September 25 2022

...NewNear Term
Near Term
(Now through Tuesday) Issued at 1021pm CDT Sunday September 25 2022

Forecast seems to be on track for tonight so no adjustments will be required. Lows still expected to range from the mid and upper 60s inland to lower 70s along the I-10 corridor, to the low and mid 70s down at the coast. Only a few scattered high thin clouds expected, and possibly some patchy light fog over inland areas.

On Monday, an upper level shortwave trough that will be rounding the base of an upper trough over the eastern CONUS moves off to the east of our area by Monday night, allowing a cold front to push south across the forecast area during the day on Monday. As the front moves south toward and across the forecast area on Monday (approaching the coast by around midday Monday), guidance is advertising a slight chance (at best) of showers and a few thunderstorms in association with the frontal passage. Best rain chances will be over the southern half of the forecast area and mostly in the afternoon hours. Monday night into Tuesday, the front will move well offshore of our area with much drier air and slightly cooler temperatures moving into the region on a north to northeasterly wind flow pattern.

Somewhat cooler air will begin to overspread the forecast area Monday as the front moves through, with the northern half of the forecast area most affected, where highs will be in the mid 80s. Look for upper 80s to lower 90s over southern portions of the forecast area. Monday night low temperatures will be noticably cooler, ranging from the mid to upper 50s over most inland areas of MS and AL, but in the low to mid 60s for coastal AL and the western FL panhandle. On Tuesday, highs will be cooler as well, mainly in the lower 80s across the entire area, except for some mid 80s along the immediate coast.

The 10pm Sunday NHC Advisory for Tropical Storm Ian indicates that the storm is finally beginning the long expected intensification process and is still forecast to be a Major Hurricane as it approaches the western tip of Cuba sometime on Tuesday and then into the southeastern Gulf Tuesday night and Wednesday. 00Z track guidance has again shifted slightly east, and NHC has again nudged the track very slightly back to the east once again, a little further away from our forecast area. Our Tropical Storm force wind probabilities have again decreased slightly. Most of our area is now also outside of the Forecast Tack Cone, but it should be emphasized that one should not be focusing on the exact forecast track toward the end of the forecast period due to some continuing uncertainties. It does appear however, that track guidance is becoming slightly more concentrated as we get into the middle part of next week. So while uncertainties may be lessening slightly, some do still exist and there is the possibility that the track changes could still occur (either shifting east or west) and we will continue to monitor the situation for future changes, particularly as they relate to the western FL panhandle. /12

NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None.